COPPA ITALIA! 100% WINS! 意大利杯 博洛尼亚VS恩波利
2025-04-24

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

One game we are having in the Italian Cup is Bologna hosting Empoli. The winner of the semifinal will advance to the final. After the 1st match, Bologna is leading, and I'm predicting they are going to win 2nd-leg as well.

The 1st game happened on the 1st day of April, and Bologna dominated. They had a bigger ball control (67% vs. 33%), more shots in total (14 vs. 7), more shots on target (7 vs. 1), and more big chances (5 vs. 2). After that, Bologna has drawn against Napoli, lost to Atalanta and beat Inter. Fair to say that all of these opponents have been very hard. Bologna has been a very good home team all season long, and especially in the recent stretch. Since January 18, Bologna has 8 wins and 1 draw in front of their fans. In the Serie A, Bologna has 10 wins and 6 draws in 17 games, a total of 31 goals scored and 14 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 29.2, xGA is at 14.4, with a difference of 14.8.

Empoli has been bad all season long. They were somehow lucky to advance to the semifinal. They scored first against Juventus and conceded only once, winning in the penalty shootout. If we take out this game, the stats are dramatic. Since December 13, Empoli has had 6 draws and 13 losses. On the road in the Serie A, Empoli has 3 wins and 6 draws in 17 games, a total of 19 goals scored and 30 conceded. The team has created an xG of 19.0 on the road, xGA is at 27.5, with a difference of -8.5.

We know that Bologna will be without Lewis Ferguson, Davide Calabria, Lukasz Skorupski and Nicolo Casale. Empoli has a long list of absentees - Youssef Maleh, Christian Kouame, Szymon Zurkowski, Nicolas Haas, Saba Sazonov, Pietro Pellegri and Ardian Ismajli.

The series is over, of course. Bologna is competing for the Champions League zone in the Serie A (only 1 point above 5th-placed Juventus), while Empoli is 1 point from the 17th place, which would allow them to stay in the Serie A. Empoli has bigger roster problems, Bologna has a deeper roster and they should win this game.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我们在意大利杯有一场比赛是博洛尼亚主场迎战恩波利。半决赛的胜者将进入决赛。第一场比赛之后,博洛尼亚领先,我预测他们也会赢得第二回合。

第一场比赛发生在4月1日,博洛尼亚占据了优势。他们的控球能力更强(67%比33%),射门次数更多(14比7),射正次数更多(7比1),机会也更多(5比2)。之后,博洛尼亚先后战平那不勒斯、负于亚特兰大和击败国米。公平地说,所有这些对手都非常难对付。博洛尼亚整个赛季都是一支非常出色的主场球队,尤其是最近这段时间。自1月18日以来,博洛尼亚在球迷面前取得了8胜1平的战绩。意甲方面,博洛尼亚在17场比赛中取得了10胜6平的成绩,进31球失14球。球队的xG值为29.2,xGA值为14.4,两者相差14.8。

恩波利整个赛季都很糟糕。不知怎的,他们进入了半决赛。他们在对阵尤文图斯的比赛中率先进球,只丢了一次球,在点球大战中获胜。如果我们不玩这款游戏,数据会很惊人。自12月13日以来,恩波利取得了6平13负的战绩。在意甲客场,恩波利在17场比赛中取得了3胜6平的成绩,共进19球失30球。球队在客场创造的xG值为19.0,xGA值为27.5,两者相差-8.5。

我们知道博洛尼亚将失去路易斯·弗格森,大卫·卡拉布里亚,卢卡斯·斯科鲁普斯基和尼科洛·卡萨尔。恩波利的缺阵名单很长——马勒、库梅、祖尔科夫斯基、哈斯、萨巴·萨佐诺夫、佩莱格里里和伊斯马吉利。

当然,这个系列已经结束了。博洛尼亚正在争夺意甲的冠军联赛区(仅比排名第五的尤文图斯高出1分),而恩波利距离第17名仅1分,这将使他们能够留在意甲。恩波利的阵容问题更大,博洛尼亚的阵容更强,他们应该赢得这场比赛。

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