BIG LA LIGA GAME! 80% WINS! 西甲 马竞VS巴列卡诺
2025-04-24

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

On Thursday night, we are going to have 4 games in the Spanish La Liga, and one of the matches will be between Atletico and Rayo Vallecano. After 32 games, Atletico has 18 wins, 9 draws, 5 losses, a total of 63 points and 3rd place, while Rayo Vallecano has 10 wins, 11 draws, 11 losses, a total of 41 points and 10th place. In this game, I predict Atletico's win.

Last week, Atletico lost on the road to Las Palmas 0:1. It was a frustrating loss, because Atletico had a little better xG rating, and Las Palmas scored only in the 93rd minute. Before that, Atletico won 2 games in a row, so it can't be said that they are in bad shape. At the same time, we can say that Atletico prefers playing at home. Since November, Atletico has 12 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at home in all tournaments. If we look only at La Liga, Atletico has 11 wins and 4 draws in 16 games, a total of 31 goals scored and 14 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 32.2 at home, xGA is at 12.3, with a difference of 19.9.

Rayo Vallecano isn't having the best stretch of the season. In the last 9 games, Rayo has 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses. Last week, Rayo drew against Valencia, but that should have been a loss because opponents had an xG of 1.99 while Rayo had only 0.57. The only win during this stretch was over the 3rd-worst team Alaves, but Rayo's xG was 0.59, while Alaves had 1.49. On the road this season, Rayo has 5 wins and 5 draws in 16 games, a total of 14 goals scored and 15 conceded. The team has created an xG of 16.4 on the road, xGA is at 23.7, with a difference of -7.3.

Atletico have reported no fresh injury concerns, meaning that they should have a fully-fit squad. As for Rayo Vallecano, they will be without Abdul Mumin, Jonathan Montiel, and Sergio Camello.

I'm backing Atletico in this game. They are fighting for the 2nd place, and beating Real Madrid is a big motivation. While Rayo Vallecano can cause problems, they are struggling recently, and Atletico should be able to take down this team.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周四晚上,我们将在西甲进行4场比赛,其中一场是马竞和巴列卡诺之间的比赛。经过32场比赛,马竞取得18胜9平5负的成绩,积63分排名第3,而巴列卡诺则取得10胜11平11负的成绩,积41分排名第10。在这场比赛中,我预测马竞会赢。

上周,马竞客场0:1输给了拉斯帕尔马斯。这是一场令人沮丧的失利,因为马竞的xG评分稍好一些,而拉斯帕尔马斯在第93分钟才进球。在那之前,马竞取得了两连胜,所以不能说他们的状态不好。同时,我们可以说马竞更喜欢在主场比赛。自去年11月以来,马竞在各项赛事的主场战绩为12胜2平2负。如果只看西甲,马竞在16场比赛中取得了11胜4平的成绩,进31球失14球。这支球队在主场的xG值为32.2,xGA值为12.3,两者相差19.9。

巴列卡诺并没有打出本赛季最好的状态。在最近的9场比赛中,雷诺取得了1胜3平5负的成绩。上周,雷约与瓦伦西亚战平,但这应该是一场失利,因为对手的xG值为1.99,而雷约只有0.57。在这段时间里,唯一一场胜利是对阵倒数第三的阿拉维斯,但雷约的xG是0.59,而阿拉维斯的xG是1.49。本赛季在客场,雷约在16场比赛中取得5胜5平的成绩,进14球失15球。球队在客场创造的xG值为16.4,xGA值为23.7,两者相差-7.3。

马竞已经报告没有新的伤病问题,这意味着他们应该有一个完全健康的阵容。至于巴列卡诺,他们将失去穆明、蒙蒂尔和卡梅洛。

这场比赛我支持马竞。他们正在为第二名而战,击败皇马是一个很大的动力。虽然巴列卡诺可以制造麻烦,但他们最近正在挣扎,马竞应该能够击败这支球队。

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