BUNDESLIGA 86% WINS! 德甲 奥格斯堡VS法兰克福
2025-04-20

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

On Sunday, we are going to have 3 games in the German Bundesliga and one of them is going to be between Augsburg and Eintracht. After 29 games, Augsburg has 11 wins, 9 draws, 9 losses, a total of 42 points and 10th place, while Eintracht has 15 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses, a total of 51 points and 3rd place. In this game, I predict that Eintracht will get at least a point.

Since February, Augsburg has 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss. While the results have been good, only in one game Augsburg had a big xG advantage, while in other games, xG's were similar or even better for the opponent. At home, Augsburg has 6 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses, a total of 22 points and 9th place. At home, the team has generated an xG of 16.2, xGA is at 14.7, with a difference of 1.5.

Eintracht lost to Tottenham on Thursday, meaning their UEFA Europa League season has ended. Now the full focus is on the Bundesliga and their goal is to stay in TOP4 that will give the Champions League spot next season. Eintracht has 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 games. The results on the road have been mixed but overall, they have 6 wins and 3 draws in 14 games, a total of 23 goals scored and 22 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 23.8 on the road, xGA is at 25.9, with a difference of -2.1.

Augsburg will be without Kristijan Jakic, Yusuf Kabadayi, and Arne Maier, while Mario Gotze will probably be out for Eintracht.

In their 1st meeting, both teams scored 2 goals, but Eintracht was better xG-wise. I like Eintracht's chances to get at least a point because they are more likely to score. 9 of the last 10 meetings have ended with Eintracht winning or drawing, so I'm backing them once more.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周日,我们将在德甲进行三场比赛,其中一场是奥格斯堡和法兰克福之间的比赛。29场比赛结束后,奥格斯堡11胜9平9负,共积42分排名第10,而法兰克福15胜6平8负,共积51分排名第3。在这场比赛中,我预测法兰克福至少能得一分。

自2月以来,奥格斯堡取得了4胜5平1负的战绩。虽然结果很好,但奥格斯堡只有在一场比赛中有很大的xG优势,而在其他比赛中,xG对对手来说差不多甚至更好。在主场,奥格斯堡取得6胜4平4负,共积22分,排名第9。在主场,球队的净胜球为16.2,净胜球为14.7,两者相差1.5。

周四,德国队输给了热刺队,这意味着他们的欧联杯赛季已经结束。现在他们的全部注意力都集中在德甲联赛上,他们的目标是保持在联赛前四,这样才能获得下赛季的欧冠资格。在最近的4场比赛中,德国队取得了3胜1负的成绩。客场比赛的结果喜忧参半,但总的来说,他们在14场比赛中取得了6胜3平,共进23球失22球。球队在客场的xG值为23.8,xGA值为25.9,两者相差-2.1。

奥格斯堡将没有雅基奇、卡巴达伊和迈尔,而格策可能会缺席拜仁。

在他们的第一次交锋中,两队都进了2个球,但在战术上,法兰克福更胜一筹。我喜欢德国队至少得一分的机会,因为他们更有可能得分。在过去的10次交锋中,有9次以法兰克福取胜或平局告终,所以我再次支持他们。

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