Europa League action! On Thursday night, 4 Europa League quarterfinal games will happen, and one of them is going to be between Eintracht and Tottenham. In this game, I predict Eintracht's win.
A week ago, teams met in London, and the match finished 1:1. Stat-wise, Tottenham had a little advantage, but the difference wasn't huge. Tottenham had 56% ball control, 2 big scoring chances (Eintracht had 1), 10 shots in total (Eintracht - 4) and an xG of 0.94, while Eintracht created 0.36. As we see, the difference wasn't huge, and this game ended more favorably for Eintracht because now they are going to play at home.
During the league phase, Eintracht had 3 wins and 1 draw at home, a total of 7 goals scored and 3 conceded. The only draw was at the start of the season, during the 1st home match against Plzen. Eintracht is also the 3rd-best home team in the Bundesliga, having 9 wins and 3 draws in 15 games, a total of 35 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the Europa League's 1st playoff round, Eintracht played awesome at home, as they managed to beat Ajax 4:1. Eintracht has created an xG of 7.1 in 5 Europa League home games, xGA is at 3.5, with a difference of 3.6.
Tottenham was 1 position higher than Eintracht during the league phase, but the team struggled a little on the road as they had 2 wins and 1 draw in 4 games, a total of 8 goals scored and 7 conceded. The team lost to Galatasaray on the road and drew against Rangers. In the last round, Tottenham even lost to AZ on the road, showing road struggles. Overall, Tottenham has created an xG of 6.5 on the road, xGA is at 9.6, with a difference of -3.1. In the Premier League, Tottenham has the 4th-worst road record with 5 wins and 1 draw in 16 games, a total of 27 goals scored and 22 conceded.
Eintracht will miss only 1 player, and that's Ansgar Knauff. As for Tottenham, Son Heung-min is a doubt after getting injured over the weekend in the Premier League.
I see Eintracht as a favorite here. Eintracht is tough to beat at home, and with Tottenham's struggles on the road, I see a good chance for them not to lose during the regular time.
欧联杯比赛!周四晚上,将有四场欧联杯四分之一决赛,其中一场将在法兰克福和热刺之间进行。在这场比赛中,我预测法兰克福会赢。
一周前,两支球队在伦敦相遇,比赛以1:1结束。数据方面,热刺有一点优势,但差距并不大。热刺的控球率为56%,有2次进球机会(德国队1次),射门次数为10次(德国队4次),xG为0.94,德国队创造了0.36。正如我们所看到的,差距并不大,这场比赛对法兰克福来说更有利,因为他们现在要在主场比赛了。
联赛阶段,法兰克福主场3胜1平,进7球失3球。唯一的平局是在赛季初的第一个主场对阵普拉岑的比赛中。同时,拜仁也是德甲排名第三的主队,在15场比赛中取得了9胜3平的成绩,进35球失20球。在欧联杯第一轮季后赛中,法兰克福在主场表现出色,他们以4:1击败了阿贾克斯。在5场欧联杯主场比赛中,拜仁的xG值为7.1,xGA值为3.5,两者相差3.6。
在联赛阶段,托特纳姆热刺比法兰克福领先1位,但球队在客场表现不佳,他们在4场比赛中取得了2胜1平的战绩,进8球失7球。球队客场不敌加拉塔萨雷队,战平流浪者队。上一轮,热刺甚至客场不敌阿斯利康,表现出客场的挣扎。总的来说,热刺在客场创造的xG值为6.5,xGA值为9.6,两者相差-3.1。在英超联赛中,热刺在16场比赛中以5胜1平的战绩排名倒数第四,进27球失22球。
拜仁只会少一名球员,那就是纳夫。托特纳姆热刺方面,孙兴慜在上周末的英超比赛中受伤,能否上场仍是个未知数。
我认为法兰克福是这里的最爱。拜仁在主场很难被击败,而热刺在客场的挣扎,我认为他们很有可能不会在常规时间输球。