80% WINS LAST WEEK! 欧冠 国际米兰VS拜仁
2025-04-16

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Champions League 2nd leg games are here! On Wednesday night, we have 2 more quarterfinal matches, and one of them is going to be between Inter and Bayern. After the 1st match, Inter is up by 2:1. In this game, I predict that Bayern won't lose during the regular time.

While Inter won the 1st game 2:1, Bayern was playing better and producing more goal-scoring opportunities. Bayern had 58% ball control, and they created 2.30 expected goals while Inter had only 0.78. Bayern had 5 big goal-scoring chances while Inter had only 1. Overall, Bayern had 20 shots in total while Inter had 10, showing they were better.

Inter has won all Champions League home games this season, but the opponents haven't been at the same level as Bayern. The only game we can highlight is a win over Arsenal, but again, the English team created more moments and had a better xG. Yes, Bayern lost to Aston Villa and Barcelona, but that was in October. In the last 2 road games, Bayern beat Leverkusen and Celtic.

With a one-goal advantage, I would guess Inter would sit back, but they did try to press Bayern out of their 5-3-2, but Bayern was constantly dropping their forwards into create a midfield overload, and also found it pretty easy to play down the flanks.

This series is far from over. Bayern is one of the best teams in the world, and they should be able to cause some trouble. If they get a 1:0 lead, it means 2:2 in the series, and I wouldn't be surprised to see this game going into extra time. Both teams met 3 years ago, and Bayern won both matches 2:0. I do think that last week's game was unlucky for Bayern, and we should see a better performance from them.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

欧冠第二回合比赛开始了!周三晚上,我们还有两场四分之一决赛,其中一场将在国米和拜仁之间进行。第一场比赛结束后,国际米兰以2:1领先。在这场比赛中,我预测拜仁在常规时间不会输。

当国际米兰2:1赢得第一场比赛时,拜仁踢得更好,创造了更多的进球机会。拜仁有58%的控球率,他们创造了2.30个预期进球,而国米只有0.78个。拜仁有5次进球机会,而国米只有1次。总的来说,拜仁总共有20次射门,而国米有10次,这表明他们更好。

国米本赛季赢得了所有的欧冠主场比赛,但是对手的水平还没有达到拜仁的水平。我们唯一能突出的比赛是战胜阿森纳,但同样,英格兰队创造了更多的时刻,并且有一个更好的xG。是的,拜仁输给了阿斯顿维拉和巴塞罗那,但那是在十月份。在最近的两场客场比赛中,拜仁击败了勒沃库森和凯尔特人。

在一球优势的情况下,我猜国米会坐以守备,但他们确实试图将拜仁挤出5-3-2阵型,但拜仁不断地让前锋进入中场,造成中场负荷过重,而且发现在侧翼进攻也很容易。

这个系列远未结束。拜仁是世界上最好的球队之一,他们应该有能力制造一些麻烦。如果他们1:0领先,那就意味着系列赛的比分是2:2,如果这场比赛进入加时赛,我不会感到惊讶。两支球队在三年前相遇,拜仁都以2:0获胜。我确实认为上周的比赛对拜仁来说是不走运的,我们应该看到他们有更好的表现。

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