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2025-04-15

Tapio

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Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba VS Club Atlético Lanús



Godoy Cruz welcome Lanus for this Liga Profesional Apertura round 13 clash at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas in Mendoza  early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Argentinian football. The level of this league is somewhat high by global standards. In South America it is the second-best league – only the Brazilian Serie A is better. Football fans and us serious bettors can expect a match of much somewhat mediocre quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly my fans and I have another very promising betting opportunity! Indeed, we have won six of the last eight picks betting on this league.The visitors currently occupy the 7th place in Group A. A total 16 teams play in both groups. Lanus have grabbed 15 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 13.22. They have netted the ball 11 times and have conceded nine goals in 12 games. However, I want to emphasize that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) per game is 1.39! Godoy Cruz, on the other hand, are in 12th  place in Group B – they have 12 points to their account. Their number of xPTS is 14.03. They have scored only seven goals but this is very misleading. Indeed, their number of expected goals (xG) per match is 1.38. They would have to attack a little faster – and the midfielders should be more active in attacking – to score more goals. I see them having potential to improve significantly in this area of the game as the season progresses. They have allowed 14 goals in this league so far. At home Godoy Cruz have lost only one the six games in Liga Profesional. Moreover, Lanus have won just one away game in this league. However, there will be no spectators at the stadium which means that the home advantage is, of course, smaller than usual.


With the expected lineups, the visitors deserve to be the favourites – but only by a thin margin. Indeed, the current odds of around 2.20 on the Lanus win are way too low. Consequently we will place a +0.5 goals handicap on the hosts. The visitors will be without Acosta, Aguillar, Canelo, Loaiza, Morgantini and Pena Biafore. As for the hosts, only Ulariga is out. Let's remember that lanus have not won any of the last seven games between the two teams! According to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known and respected source, Lanus are the bigger team - but only by a pretty small margin – some 27 million vs. Around 23 million. The hosts have lost only one of their last eight games. In their most recent match they defeated Sp. Luqueno 2-0, a Paraguayan team, 2-0, after a strong performance. They recorded more shore shots on target (6-3) and also managed a fine six big scoring chances – the visitors had none! The xG numbers were 2.76-0.71. It was a Copa Sudamericana group stage round 2 clash. Before this they faced Ind. Rivadavia at home – as underdogs on the betting market. It was a 1-1 draw but Godoy Cruz generated much more in xG – 1.12-0.48. On the 2nd of this month (Brazil time) they were excellent, beating Grau, a dangerous Peruvian team, 2-0 on the road.The Argentinian visitors generated 1.89 in xG – allowing the hosts only 0.39. I was impressed with the way Godoy Cruz defended as a team. Lanus have won two of their last nine games. In their most recent match they faced FCB Melgar at home, a Peruvian team at home. It was a Copa Sudamericana battle. Lanus did deserve to win but the final score definitely flatters them. Indeed, the visitors had a high 65% ball possession and both teams recorded eight total shots. Lanus generated only 0.75 more in xG than Melgar.



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

戈多伊·克鲁兹·安东尼奥·托姆巴VS亚特兰蒂斯俱乐部Lanús



北京时间周二凌晨,戈多伊·克鲁兹欢迎拉努斯参加在门多萨阿根廷马尔维纳斯球场举行的西甲联赛第13轮比赛。这是阿根廷足球的最高水平。按照国际标准,这个联赛的水平算是高的。在南美,它是第二好的联赛,只有巴西的意甲比它更好。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看质量一般的比赛!最重要的是,我的粉丝和我有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!事实上,我们在过去的8次选秀中赢了6次。客队目前在A组排名第7,两个组共有16支球队参赛。拉努斯拿下了15分。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)只有13.22。他们在12场比赛中打进11球,丢了9球。然而,我想强调的是,他们每场比赛的预期进球数(xGA)是1.39!另一方面,戈多伊克鲁兹在B组排名第12,他们有12分。它们的xPTS数是14.03。他们只进了7个球,但这很容易误导人。事实上,他们每场比赛的预期进球数(xG)是1.38个。他们必须加快进攻速度,中场球员在进攻中应该更加积极,这样才能进更多的球。我认为随着赛季的进行,他们有潜力在这方面取得显著的进步。到目前为止,他们在联赛中丢了14球。在主场,戈多伊克鲁兹在职业联赛的六场比赛中只输了一场。此外,拉努斯在这个联赛中只赢过一场客场比赛。然而,体育场将没有观众,这意味着主场优势当然比平时要小。


在预期的阵容中,客队理应成为夺冠热门——但只是微弱的优势。事实上,目前拉努斯获胜的赔率约为2.20,这实在太低了。因此,我们将给东道主+0.5个进球的不利条件。阿科斯塔、阿吉拉尔、卡内洛、洛阿伊扎、摩根蒂尼和佩纳·比亚福尔将缺席。至于东道主,只有乌拉里加出局了。让我们记住,拉努斯在两队之间的最近七场比赛中没有赢过一场!根据Transfermarkt.com,一个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源,拉努斯是一支更大的球队——但只是很小的差距——大约2700万对2300万。东道主在最近八场比赛中只输了一场。在最近的一场比赛中,他们以2比0击败了巴拉圭队Luqueno。他们记录了更多的射正(6比3),并且还创造了6次绝佳的得分机会——客队一个也没有!xG值为2.76 ~ 0.71。这是一场南美杯小组赛第二轮的比赛。在此之前,他们在主场迎战印第安纳里瓦达维亚队——在博彩市场上处于劣势。比分是1-1平,但戈多伊·克鲁兹在xG - 1.12-0.48中创造了更多的进球。本月2日(巴西时间),他们表现出色,在客场以2比0击败了危险的秘鲁球队格劳。阿根廷客队的得分为1.89,东道主仅为0.39。我对戈多伊·克鲁兹的防守方式印象深刻。拉努斯在最近的九场比赛中赢了两场。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场迎战秘鲁球队FCB Melgar。这是一场南美杯之战。拉努斯确实应该获胜,但最终的比分绝对让他们感到高兴。事实上,客队的控球率高达65%,两队总共射门8次。拉努斯在xG的生成只比梅尔加多0.75。



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