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2025-04-14

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Fortaleza VS Internacional RS



Fortaleza host Internacional in this Brazil Serie A round 3 clash at Castelão in Fortaleza Monday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Brazilian football. The level of this league - as a whole – is high by global standards. In South America it is the best league – followed by the Argentinian Liga Profesional. Football fans and us serious bettors can expect a match of much better than average quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly my fans and I have another very lucrative betting opportunity! The hosts have grabbed four points so far. They have netted the ball three times and have conceded one goal in two games. The visitors, too, have four points in their pocket. Let's remember that Fortaleza have won four of the last five games between the two teams. Indeed, the teams last locked horns in December 2024 and Fortaleza took a fine 3-0 win in front of their fans. They recorded five shots on goal and also generated more big scoring chances as well as generated more in expected goals (xG). However, the final score does flatter Fortaleza.


As this is only the third game of the Serie A season for both teams we should take a look at last season's numbers to best determine the probabilities here.. Fortaleza played better than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis – finishing in fourth place with a fine 68 points in their pocket. They scored 53 goals and allowed 39 goals. I want to highlight that at home they did not lose any of the 19 home games – winning 14/19. Their score difference at home was phenomenal – 32:8 to be precise. Internacional ended up in 5th place with 65 points. The bookies see Internacional as the favourites, priced around 2.45 win but - with the expected lineups - according to my expert analysis the hosts deserve to be narrow favourites. We will, of course, place a bet on Fortaleza with the +0.5 handicap option. The visitors will be without Bruno Gomes, Drummond, Juninho, Mercado, Rochet, Victor Gabriel. As for Fortaleza, Breno Lopes, Britez, Pocjettino and Tinga are out.T hey faced Colo Colo, the reigning champions of Chile, away from home some days ago. It was a Copa Libertadores group stage round game. Colo Colo were clear favourites on the betting market. The game was abandoned in the 93th minute due to spectator unrest. The score was 1-1 and both teams recorded one big scoring chance. The Chilieans generated 0.34 more in xG but Fortaleza's performance - as a whole – was okay.


In their last (completed) game Fortaleza took a point from Mirassol through a 1-1 draw – despite being far from their best. Mirassol were priced around 2.40 to win at the time of kickoff. Before this they were disappointing, in the opening round of Copa Libertadores, losing 0-3 to Racing Club at home – as favourites on the betting market. The visitors generated significantly more in xG – 2.34-0.58. I will not overreact to this lame performance. In the Serie A opening round 1 Fortaleza beat Fluminense, a dangerous opponent, 2-0 at home. They had only 30% ball possession but defended in a very organized way – allowing the visitors only one shot on goal. Fortaleza generated more in xG and we can say that they deserved the three points. Internacional have won two of their last five games. Some three days ago they beat Atl. Nacional, a Colombian team, 3-0 at home – priced around 1.50 to win. It was a Copa Libertadores clash. Yes, they deserved to win but the final score is misleading. The visitors even recorded four more total shots. Internacional recorded one more shot on target – 6-5 to be precise. The xG numbers were 2.09-1.25.



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

福塔莱萨VS国际RS



北京时间周一上午,巴西甲级联赛第三轮将在福塔莱萨主场迎战国脚。这是巴西足球的最高水平。按照全球标准,这个联赛的整体水平是很高的。在南美洲,它是最好的联赛,其次是阿根廷职业联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场比联赛平均水平高得多的比赛!最重要的是,我和我的粉丝有了另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!东道主到目前为止已经拿到了4分。他们在两场比赛中三次进球,只丢了一个球。客队也拿到了4分。让我们记住,福塔莱萨在两队之间的最近五场比赛中赢了四场。事实上,两队上一次交锋是在2024年12月,福塔莱萨在球迷面前以3比0大胜。他们记录了5次射门,创造了更多的进球机会,也创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。然而,最终的比分确实让福塔莱萨感到高兴。


由于这是两队本赛季的第三场意甲比赛,我们应该看看上赛季的数据,以最好地确定这里的可能性。福塔莱萨的表现比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好,他们以68分的好成绩排名第四。他们进了53球,丢了39球。我想强调的是,在19场主场比赛中,他们没有输掉任何一场,19场赢了14场。他们在主场的比分差距是惊人的——准确地说是32:8。国际队以65分排名第五。博彩公司认为国际队是最受欢迎的球队,胜率在2.45左右,但根据我的专家分析,根据预期的阵容,东道主应该是最受欢迎的球队。当然,我们将在福塔莱萨下注+0.5的障碍选项。客队将失去布鲁诺·戈麦斯、德拉蒙德、朱尼尼奥、梅尔卡多、罗切特和维克托·加布里埃尔。至于福塔莱萨,布列诺·洛佩斯、布列兹、波切蒂诺和廷加都将出局。几天前,他们在客场对阵智利的卫冕冠军科洛科洛队。这是一场解放者杯小组赛。科洛科洛队是博彩市场上的热门球队。由于观众的骚乱,比赛在第93分钟被取消。比分是1比1,两队都有一次大的得分机会。智利人在上个赛季多出了0.34个进球,但福塔莱萨的表现——作为一个整体——还不错。


在他们的最后一场比赛中,福塔莱萨1-1战平了米拉索尔的1分,尽管他们还远未达到最佳状态。开球时,Mirassol的胜率约为2.40英镑。在此之前,他们的表现令人失望,在解放者杯的首轮比赛中,他们在主场以0-3输给了赛马俱乐部,尽管他们是博彩市场上的热门球队。访问者在xG - 2.34-0.58中生成的数据明显更多。我不会对这蹩脚的表演反应过度。在意甲首轮比赛中,福塔莱萨主场2-0击败了危险的对手弗鲁米嫩塞。他们只有30%的控球率,但防守非常有组织,只让客队射门一次。福塔莱萨在比赛中创造了更多的机会,我们可以说他们配得上三分。国际队在最近五场比赛中赢了两场。大约三天前,他们打败了阿特尔队。哥伦比亚国家队在主场以3比0获胜,赔率在1.50左右。这是一场解放者杯的比赛。是的,他们应该赢,但是最后的比分会误导人。客队甚至还多进了四球。国际队又记录了一次射正,准确地说是6比5。xG值为2.09 ~ 1.25。



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