La Liga 85% WINS! 西甲 莱加内斯VS巴萨
2025-04-12

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

On Saturday night, we are having 4 games in the Spanish La Liga and one of them is between Leganes and Barcelona. After 30 games, Leganes has 6 wins, 10 draws, 14 losses, a total of 28 points and 18th place, while Barcelona has 21 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses, a total of 67 points and 1st place. In this game, I predict Barcelona's win with at least a 2-goal margin.

Leganes is fighting not to be relegated, but they have 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 4 games. They were lucky to get a point last round because they scored a penalty late in the game, and the opponents had a better xG rating. Leganes is the 4th-worst home team with 5 wins and 3 draws in 15 games, a total of 16 goals scored and 23 conceded. The team has created an xG of 15.4 at home, xGA is at 23.7, with a difference of -8.3.

Barcelona has 8 wins and 1 draw in the last 9 games. Last week, they struggled at home against Real Betis and drew 1:1, despite dominating the xG battle (1.39 vs. 0.31). Wednesday, Barcelona ran over Dortmund in the Champions League (4:0) and they can feel very safe about advancing to the semifinal. That's not the case in La Liga because they are just 4 points above Real Madrid, and there are still 8 games remaining in the season. Barcelona is the best road team in the league with 10 wins and 3 draws in 15 games, a total of 42 goals scored and 18 conceded. The team has created an xG of 32.8 on the road, xGA is at 21.7, with a difference of 11.1.

Leganes will once again be without Enric Franquesa, but Oscar Rodriguez will return to the squad. As for Barcelona, Dani Olmo, Marc Casado, Marc Bernal and Marc-Andre ter Stegen are out, but there could be some more roster changes.

Despite some possible rotations, I'm backing Barcelona. They can feel safer about advancing to the Champions League semifinal than winning the La Liga title, so they should be ready for this game. It's important to note that Barcelona lost at home to Leganes in the 1st meeting, and this should serve as a very big motivation.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六晚上,我们在西甲有4场比赛,其中一场是莱加内斯和巴塞罗那之间的比赛。经过30场比赛,莱加内斯6胜10平14负,积28分排名第18,而巴塞罗那21胜4平5负,积67分排名第1。在这场比赛中,我预测巴塞罗那将以至少2球的优势获胜。

莱加内斯正在为保级而战,但他们最近4场比赛1平3负。他们很幸运地在上一轮拿到了一分,因为他们在比赛的最后阶段打进了一个点球,而对手的xG评分更高。莱加内斯在15场比赛中5胜3平,进16球丢23球,是排名倒数第四的主队。球队在主场创造的xG值为15.4,xGA值为23.7,两者之差为-8.3。

巴塞罗那在最近的9场比赛中取得了8胜1平的成绩。上周,他们在主场与皇家贝蒂斯的比赛中表现不佳,最终1:1战平,尽管他们在xG比赛中占据了优势(1.39比0.31)。周三,巴塞罗那在冠军联赛中击败了多特蒙德(4:0),他们可以很有把握地晋级半决赛。西甲联赛的情况并非如此,因为他们只领先皇马4分,而本赛季还有8场比赛。巴萨是联赛中最好的客场球队,15场比赛10胜3平,共进42球失18球。该团队在客场创造的xG值为32.8,xGA值为21.7,两者相差11.1。

莱加内斯将再次失去恩里克·弗兰克萨,但奥斯卡·罗德里格斯将回归球队。至于巴塞罗那,丹尼·奥尔莫,马克·卡萨多,马克·伯纳尔和马克-安德烈·特尔斯特根都不在名单上,但可能会有更多的阵容变动。

尽管可能会有一些轮换,我还是支持巴塞罗那。他们晋级欧冠半决赛比赢得西甲冠军更有安全感,所以他们应该为这场比赛做好准备。值得注意的是,巴塞罗那在第一次主场输给了莱加内斯,这应该是一个很大的动力。

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