Two german picks for the Sunday!
2021-12-19

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

HANNOVER - WERDER BREMEN

This should be a tight game.

Hannover are really being underrated (or Bremen overrated) in this spot. In terms of squad quality, Hannover is a top five team in this league beyond doubts. For different reasons, they have been way too unsteady so far in this season.

Former manager Zimmermann has failed, and probably the players played against him at some point in this season. There were meetings between leader players and the president, discussing whether Zimmermann should remain the manager or not. After the terrible 4:0 defeat in Karlsruhe, Zimmermann was ultimately fired.

Then, Dabrowski, the former U23 manager, took over and among him, they won two out of two games so far. One at home against strong Hamburg when they allowed almost nothing defensively against the best team in the league, and then last week away at poor Ingolstadt.

The improvement since the manager change has been significant. They finally bring their quality on the pitch and given how they played in the last two games, they should never stand +0.5 in a home game.

Bremen have also shown a significant improvement since their manager change. I believe that signing Ole Werner was exactly the right choice, and I really liked their display in Regensburg last week.

Nevertheless, they are still shaky in the defense, and I don't think that they will be able to keep a clean sheet at Hannover with their high individual quality. Bremen's offensive style will be suitable for Hannover, who prefer to play counter football (as already mentioned, Hannover's last home game was a similar spot when they beat Hamburg 1:0 at home).

Hannover have shown great form, and new manager Dabrowski has finally brought a good atmosphere back to Hannover after the unsuccessful Zimmermann period.

KARLSRUHER - HANSA ROSTOCK

Karlsruhe have been too weak lately to have a -0.5 handicap against decent away side Rostock. It will be a close match in which I expect Rostock to become very dangerous for Karlsruhe due to pace advantages.

Rostock are without topscorer Verhoek and important defensive player Fröde. However, I would have benched Verhoek for this game anyway. Mamba, the fastest player in Bundesliga 2, is going to replace Verhoek, and this should cause much trouble for Karlsruhe, who have the slowest defense in BL2. Mamba runs like 5 km/h faster than central back Gordon. And with regard to Fröde, I consider Rhein an almost equal replacement.

Also Karlsruhe has injury problems. All their right backs are injured, so Van Rhijn has to play for the second time. He was shaky last week against Heidenheim. In the last game Karlsruhe were super lucky to beat Heidenheim (3:2). They had massive defense problems and only benefited from Heidenheim's terrible conversion of chances.

In general, Karlsruhe have been out of form since November. Maybe because vital players like Bormuth, Jung and Thiede are injured or maybe they also just overperformed at earlier stages in this season. It is difficult to verdict this. But what is clear is that they currently don't have the performance level of last season or the one of earlier in this season.

Then, finally, almost no fans are allowed, so the home advantage will be severely weakened. Due to the fact that Rostock have pace advantages and always look good when they can sit back and counter (their strong away record is reasoned by that), this line with full win at the draw is certainly too big.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

汉诺威-云达不来梅

这应该是一场势均力敌的比赛。

汉诺威在这一点上真的被低估了(或者不来梅被高估了)。在阵容素质方面,汉诺威无疑是联赛前五名。由于各种原因,他们在这个赛季到目前为止都太不稳定了。

前主教练齐默尔曼失败了,可能球员们在本赛季的某些时候曾与他对抗过。主要球员和总统进行了会谈,讨论齐默尔曼是否应该继续担任主教练。在卡尔斯鲁厄4:0惨败后,齐默尔曼最终被解雇。

然后,前U23教练Dabrowski接管了球队,到目前为止,他们赢得了两场比赛中的两场。一场是在主场对阵强大的汉堡,他们在面对联赛中最好的球队时几乎没有任何防守,然后是上周客场对阵可怜的因戈尔施塔特。

自从经理变动以来,改善是显著的。他们终于在球场上展现了自己的实力,考虑到他们在过去两场比赛中的表现,他们在主场不应该保持+0.5的成绩。

不来梅在更换主教练后也表现出了显著的进步。我相信签下沃纳是正确的选择,而且我真的很喜欢他们上周在雷根斯堡的表现。

尽管如此,他们的防守仍然不稳定,我不认为他们能够以他们的高个人素质在汉诺威保持不失球。不莱梅的进攻风格将适合汉诺威,汉诺威更喜欢打反式足球(如前所述,汉诺威上次主场1:0击败汉堡时也是类似的情况)。

汉诺威表现出了良好的状态,新主帅达布罗斯基终于为汉诺威带来了一个良好的氛围。


卡尔斯鲁厄-汉莎·罗斯托克

卡尔斯鲁厄最近太弱了,在对阵客场劲旅罗斯托克的比赛中有-0.5的不利条件。这将是一场势均力敌的比赛,由于速度优势,我预计罗斯托克对卡尔斯鲁厄来说会变得非常危险。

罗斯托克失去了头号得分手Verhoek和重要的防守球员Fröde。无论如何,这场比赛我会让费尔虎克坐冷板凳。曼巴,德甲二甲速度最快的球员,将取代费尔虎克,这将给防守最慢的卡尔斯鲁厄带来很多麻烦。曼巴的速度比中后卫戈登快5公里。至于Fröde,我认为莱茵几乎是一个同等的替代品。

卡尔斯鲁厄也有伤病问题。他们所有的右后卫都受伤了,所以范莱金必须参加第二次比赛。他在上周对阵海登海姆的比赛中表现不佳。在最后一场比赛中,卡尔斯鲁厄非常幸运地以3:2击败了海登海姆。他们有大量的防守问题,只能从海登海姆糟糕的机会转换中获益。

总的来说,卡尔斯鲁厄自去年11月以来状态一直不佳。也许是因为像博尔姆斯、荣格和蒂德这样的关键球员受伤了,或者他们只是在本赛季早期表现过度。对此很难下定论。但很明显的是,他们现在没有上个赛季或者本赛季早期的表现水平。

然后,最后,几乎没有球迷被允许,所以主场优势将被严重削弱。由于罗斯托克在速度上有优势,而且当他们能够坐下来反击的时候看起来总是很好(他们强大的客场记录就是由此得出的),这条平局全胜的线显然太大了。

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