100% THIS WEEK! GREAT ODDS! 欧冠 巴黎圣曼VS维拉
2025-04-09

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

The Champions League is back! On Wednesday night, we will have 2 more quarterfinal games, and one of them is going to be between Paris Saint-Germain and Aston Villa. In this game, I predict PSG's win.

PSG has been a dominant force. Last week, they secured the Ligue 1 title, and now they can fully focus on the Champions League. They had a tough last round against Liverpool. While they lost at home, they should have won because PSG dominated in the xG battle (1.78 vs. 0.27). On the road, PSG managed to score and forced overtime, where they won in the penalty shootout. PSG has won 16 of the last 17 games, and they have been unstoppable at home. In 6 Champions League home games, PSG has scored a total of 14 goals, conceded 6, created an xG of 14.3, while xGA is at 4.1, with a difference of 10.2.

Aston Villa is also on a good streak with 8 wins in a row. To be fair, we can't compare Villa's opponents to PSG. In the last Champions League round, Villa played against Club Brugge. They won the 1st game on the road 3:1, and it was followed by a 3:0 win at home, but the opponents got an early red card. On the road in the Champions League, Aston Villa has scored 9 times and conceded 5, generated an xG of 6.9, xGA is at 6.8, with a difference of 0.1.

PSG will be without Lee Kang-in and Marquinhos in this game, while Aston Villa will miss Ross Barkley.

While both teams are in great shape, I'm backing PSG. First of all, they will be at home where they have dominated all season long. They have won every xG battle at home. If we look at Aston Villa's performance on the road in the Premier League, they struggle a lot and they have the 4th-worst xG difference on the road. PSG should take down the opponents in the 1st game in a high-scoring game.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

欧冠又回来了!周三晚上,我们还有两场四分之一决赛,其中一场将在巴黎圣日耳曼和阿斯顿维拉之间进行。在这场比赛中,我预测巴黎圣日耳曼会赢。

巴黎圣日耳曼一直是球队的主导力量。上周,他们获得了法甲冠军,现在他们可以完全专注于欧冠。他们上一轮对利物浦打得很艰难。虽然他们在主场输了,但他们应该赢,因为PSG在xG战中占据了主导地位(1.78比0.27)。在客场,巴黎圣日耳曼设法得分并迫使加时,他们在点球大战中获胜。巴黎圣日耳曼在过去的17场比赛中赢了16场,他们在主场势不可挡。在6场欧冠主场比赛中,巴黎圣日耳曼共进14球,失6球,创造出的xG值为14.3,而xGA值为4.1,两者相差10.2。

阿斯顿维拉也取得了8连胜的好成绩。公平地说,我们不能把维拉的对手比作巴黎圣日耳曼。在上一轮欧冠联赛中,维拉对阵布鲁日俱乐部。他们在客场以3:1获胜,随后在主场以3:0获胜,但对手早早得到了红牌。在欧冠客场,阿斯顿维拉打进9球丢5球,产生的xG值为6.9,xGA值为6.8,两者相差0.1。

巴黎圣日耳曼在本场比赛中将失去李康仁和马奎诺斯,而阿斯顿维拉将失去巴克利。

虽然两支球队的状态都很好,但我还是支持巴黎圣日耳曼。首先,他们将在整个赛季都占据统治地位的主场。他们在主场赢得了所有的xG战斗。如果我们看看阿斯顿维拉在英超客场的表现,他们很挣扎,他们在客场的xG差是倒数第四。巴黎圣日耳曼应该在第一场比赛中拿下对手。

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