My main reasons for this are class, home advantage, and Champion's league. More below:

Freiburg have lost 3 of their 14 games, Dortmund have won 3 of their away matches out of 13! They are not as good as they sound.

In the xG-table Dortmund have a few points advantage, in the actual table it is the other way around.

Freiburg hosts Borussia Dortmund at Dreisamstadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday. Freiburg is in 7th place ahead of this round, while Dortmund sits in 10th, four points behind Julian Schuster's team. Both teams are eager to fight for a spot in the most competitive European battle, and Freiburg is just three points behind 4th-placed Mainz!

Freiburg has been strong in defense this season – according to expected goals conceded, they are the 4th best defensive team in the league. However, they've conceded more goals than expected, which could be due to bad luck or weak goalkeeping. In the big picture, it's hard to see Schuster's team climbing into the top four.

The home team will be without Daniel Kofi-Kyereh, Noah Atubolu, Merlin Röhl, and Bruno Ogbus due to health issues. Florian Müller will replace Atubolu in goal.

Dortmund's season has been far from satisfying in the Bundesliga, but next week they will face Barcelona in the Champions League knockout stage. Under Niko Kovac, they've played 11 matches with mixed results. Based on expected goals, Dortmund should be closer to 4th than 10th, so they might still mount a strong push toward the end of the season.

The visitors are missing two key players due to suspension, Nico Schlotterbeck and Yan Couto, after accumulating yellow cards. Niklas Süle, Emre Can, and Serhou Guirassy are also doubts. Felix Nmecha, Kjell Wätjen, and Marcel Sabitzer will not play.

Freiburg is a tough opponent for Kovac's squad! Saturday looks like a Freiburg victory! Dortmund has a big night ahead in Barcelona, and given their current league situation and absences, Freiburg could very well take advantage at home.

Good luck!

我这样做的主要原因是阶级、主场优势和冠军联赛。更多的以下:

弗赖堡14场比赛输了3场，多特蒙德13场客场比赛赢了3场！它们并不像听起来那么好。

在xg积分榜上，多特蒙德有一些积分优势，但在实际积分榜上，情况正好相反。

周六，弗莱堡将在德甲德赖萨姆球场迎战多特蒙德。弗赖堡在本轮比赛中排名第七，而多特蒙德排名第十，落后朱利安·舒斯特尔的球队四分。两支球队都渴望在竞争最激烈的欧洲联赛中获得一席之地，而弗赖堡仅落后第四名美因茨三分！

弗莱堡本赛季的防守很强大——根据预期失球数，他们是联赛防守第四好的球队。然而，他们丢的球比预期的要多，这可能是由于运气不好或守门员能力差。从整体来看，舒斯特尔的球队很难进入前四。

由于健康问题，主队将失去科菲-基列、阿图博卢、梅林Röhl和布鲁诺-奥格布斯。弗洛里安·米<e:1>勒将代替阿图博卢出线。

多特蒙德本赛季在德甲的表现远非令人满意，但下周他们将在欧冠淘汰赛阶段面对巴塞罗那。在尼科·科瓦奇的带领下，他们打了11场比赛，结果好坏参半。根据预期目标，多特蒙德应该更接近第4而不是第10，所以他们可能在赛季结束前仍然有很强的推动力。

客队两名关键球员因累积黄牌而停赛，他们分别是尼科·施洛特贝克和扬·库托。尼古拉斯·塞勒、埃姆雷·詹和塞尔侯·吉拉西也有疑问。恩米查、谢尔Wätjen和萨比策将不会参加比赛。

对于科瓦奇的队伍来说，弗赖堡是一个难以对付的对手！周六看起来弗赖堡会赢！多特蒙德将在巴塞罗那迎来一个重要的夜晚，考虑到他们目前的联赛状况和缺阵，弗赖堡很可能在主场取得优势。

好运！