On Saturday, we are having 6 games in the German Bundesliga and one of them is going to be between Freiburg and Dortmund. After 27 games, Freiburg has 12 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses, a total of 42 points and 7th place, while Dortmund has 11 wins, 5 draws, 11 losses, a total of 38 points and 10th place. In this game, I predict that Freiburg won't lose.

Last week, Freiburg returned to action with a 1:2 loss to Union Berlin. While the team lost, Freiburg had a much better xG rating (1.40 vs. 1.03), showing that a draw or a win would have been a more fair outcome. Before that, Freiburg had 4 wins and 3 draws in 7 games. Freiburg has been a very solid home team with 8 wins and 2 draws in 13 games, a total of 25 goals scored and 15 conceded. The team has created an xG 18.0, xGA is at 13.8, with a difference of 4.2.

Borussia won at home last week against Mainz 3:1. It was a good and dominant performance, but now they are heading on the road, where they have been very shaky. Dortmund has 3 wins and 2 draws in 13 road games, a total of 14 goals scored and 25 conceded. The team has created an xG of 19.2 on the road, xGA is at 19.1, with a difference of 0.1.

Freiburg will be without Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, Merlin Rohl and Noah Atubolu. As for Dortmund, they have a long list of absentees: Emre Can, Niklas Sule, Yan Couto, Nico Schlotterbeck and Serhou Guirassy.

I'm backing Freiburg in this game. They are playing very well at home and they should be very motivated after last week's loss. To add more: Dortmund is having a Champions League game next week, so they could be resting a couple of important players.

周六，我们在德甲有6场比赛，其中一场是弗赖堡和多特蒙德之间的比赛。经过27场比赛，弗赖堡12胜6平9负，共积42分，排名第7，而多特蒙德11胜5平11负，共积38分，排名第10。在这场比赛中，我预测弗莱堡不会输。

上周，弗莱堡以1:2的比分输给了柏林联盟。虽然球队输了，但弗赖堡的xG评分要高得多（1.40比1.03），这表明平局或胜利将是更公平的结果。在此之前，弗赖堡在7场比赛中取得了4胜3平。弗赖堡在13场比赛中取得了8胜2平的成绩，是一支非常稳定的主场球队，进了25球丢了15球。该团队创造的xG为18.0，xGA为13.8，相差4.2。

俄罗斯上周在主场3:1战胜美因茨。这是一场很好的、有统治力的比赛，但现在他们要上路了，他们在路上一直很不稳定。多特蒙德在13场客场比赛中取得了3胜2平的成绩，共进14球失25球。该团队在路上创造的xG为19.2，xGA为19.1，相差0.1。

弗莱堡将失去丹尼尔-科菲·基列、梅林·罗尔和诺亚·阿图博卢。至于多特蒙德，他们有一长串缺阵名单：埃姆雷·詹、尼古拉斯·苏雷、扬·库托、尼科·施洛特贝克和塞尔侯·吉拉西。

在这场比赛中我支持弗赖堡。他们在主场踢得很好，在经历了上周的失利后，他们应该很有动力。更重要的是，多特蒙德下周有一场欧冠比赛，所以他们可能会让几名重要的球员休息。