Sporting Cristal VS Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal challenge Palmeiras in this Copa Libertadores group stage round 1 clash at morning Beijing time. This is the biggest international club competition in South America. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of somewhat mediocre quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity! Indeed, we have won six of the last seven picks betting on his competition. The hosts are a Peruvien team,the visitors come from Brazil. Sporting Cristal finished in 3rd place last season in the Liga 1 (Apertura) but have not quite met expectations this season in the Liga 1 Apertura. They currently occupy the 6th place with 10 points in their pocket after six games. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is bigger. They have a score difference of 11:6. They can improve in all areas of the game as the season progresses. Yes, the Brazilian Serie A is, of course, better than the Peruvian Liga 1 but the Brazilians will most probably not take an easy win here. Cristal have loud and enthusiastic fans and this will surely boost the hosts here! Even so, they cannot match Palmairas in any area of the game. I expect to defend in an organized way here . Mainly relying on set pieces and fast counter attacks – which is something they are, in fact, pretty good at! I see the game having a lower goal expectancy than the bookies do.. The current odds of around 1.50 on the away win are much too low so we will place a bet on the Peruvians with the +1.5 handicap option.
Cristal have won 8 of their last 11 games and should be pretty high in confidence. Indeed, in their last game they crushed Binacional 5-0 at home, recording a whopping 26 goal attempts. Moreover, they recorded six bif scoring chances – allowing the opponen none.. They also generated a massive 4.23 in expected goals (xG)! Before this they lost to FBC Melgar 0-1 on the road – as pretty clear underdogs - but could easily have even won the game! Indeed, the ball possession was 50-50% and Cristal even recorded many more goal attempts and shots on target – 5-3. The xG numbers were 2.01-1.12 in their favour. Palmeiras have failed to win any of their last three games. Rather amazingly, they failed to to score a single goal in these three matches. Their offense has recently lacked creativity, speed and passing accuracy in critical moments/areas of the pitch. Palmeiras' most recent win, over three weeks ago, was a narrow 1-0 win.. In their last game they faced Botafogo RJ at home but no goals were scored. The visitors recorded more shots on target – both teams had 13 goal attempts. The odds of around 1.70 offered on the Palmeiras win were definitely too low.. Before this it was another 0-0 draw – this time against Corinthians on the road. Palmeiras did record one more shot on goal but did not impress me.. They were priced around 2.20 to win on the betting market.
GOOD LUCK!
水晶竞技VS帕尔梅拉斯
北京时间上午,在解放者杯小组赛第一轮比赛中,水晶竞技将迎战帕尔梅拉斯。这是南美洲最大的国际俱乐部比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以这个联盟的标准来看有点平庸的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!事实上,我们在他的比赛中赢得了过去7次选秀中的6次。东道主是秘鲁队,客队来自巴西。水晶竞技上赛季在西甲联赛中排名第三,但本赛季在西甲联赛中并没有达到预期的水平。在6场比赛后,他们以10分的积分排名第6。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)更大。他们的比分差是11:6。随着赛季的进行,他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高。是的,巴西甲级联赛当然比秘鲁甲级联赛好,但巴西人很可能不会轻易获胜。水晶有大声和热情的球迷,这肯定会提高东道主!即便如此,他们在比赛的任何领域都无法与帕尔马伊拉斯匹敌。我希望以一种有组织的方式进行辩护。主要依靠定位球和快速反击——事实上,这是他们非常擅长的!我认为这场比赛的进球预期比博彩公司预测的要低。目前客场获胜的赔率约为1.50,这太低了,所以我们将以+1.5的赔率选项下注秘鲁人。
水晶在最近的11场比赛中赢了8场,他们应该有很高的信心。事实上,在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以5比0击败了阿根廷队,并记录了惊人的26次射门。此外,他们创造了6次重要的得分机会,让对手一次也没有得到。他们还产生了4.23的预期进球(xG)!在此之前,他们在客场0-1输给了FBC Melgar,他们显然处于劣势,但他们甚至可以轻松赢得比赛!事实上,控球率是50% -50%,克里斯托甚至有更多的进球尝试和射正——5比3。他们的xG值在2.01-1.12之间。帕尔梅拉斯最近三场比赛一场都没赢。令人惊讶的是,他们在这三场比赛中一个球也没进。他们的进攻最近缺乏创造力,速度和传球准确性在球场的关键时刻/区域。帕尔梅拉斯最近的一场胜利是在三周前以1比0险胜。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场面对博塔弗戈RJ,但没有进球。客队的射门次数更多,两队都有13次射门尝试。帕尔梅拉斯队获胜的赔率约为1.70,这显然太低了。在此之前,又是一场0-0的平局——这次是客场对阵科林蒂安。帕尔梅拉斯确实又射正了一次,但没有给我留下深刻印象。在博彩市场上,它们的价格在2.20左右。
好运!