On Sunday night, we will have the 2nd leg games of the UEFA Nations League. One of the games will be between Denmark and Portugal. After the 1st game, Denmark is leading 1:0 and I predict that Denmark won't lose by more than 1 goal.

What happened Thursday? Denmark showed a lot better football. Yes, Portugal had 56% ball control, but they didn't make many goal-scoring opportunities. In total, Portugal had 8 shots, 2 of which were on target while generating an xG of 0.51. As for Denmark, they missed a penalty in the 24th minute. After that, Denmark was attacking more, they had 23 shots in total, 9 were on target and they generated an xG of 2.78.

Denmark was consistently piling numbers forward when they were in transition, crashing the box and causing Portugal problems. Portugal can dominate lesser competition and put up big numbers, but they are a terrible out-of-possession team because they have a lot of passengers who don’t want to do any defensive work, which allows teams to exploit them. Denmark's lone goal came off a high turnover and situations like this became the norm for the match.

Cristiano Ronaldo is completely cooked, they basically only funnel the ball to their wingers in hopes they can create something, but when they play good competition and more specifically good low blocks, they struggle to create chances.

Portugal now needs to get 1:0 to force game into the overtime. It's tough to see how Portugal can play better than a few days ago. Yes, they will be at home, but Denmark is a very solid team that has performed very well in recent years. Denmark was so dominant in that first leg and is undervalued here on Sunday. I'm backing Denmark and predicting that the visitors won't lose by more than 1 goal.

周日晚上，我们将进行欧足联国家联赛的第二回合比赛。其中一场比赛将在丹麦和葡萄牙之间进行。第一场比赛后，丹麦1:0领先，我预测丹麦不会输超过1球。

星期四发生了什么？丹麦踢得好得多。是的，葡萄牙有56%的控球率，但他们没有创造很多进球机会。葡萄牙总共有8次射门，其中2次射正，xG值为0.51。丹麦在第24分钟错失了一个点球。在那之后，丹麦队的进攻更多了，他们总共有23次射门，9次射正，射门命中率为2.78。

丹麦队在换防时不断向前推进，冲击禁区，给葡萄牙队制造麻烦。葡萄牙可以在较弱的比赛中占据主导地位，也可以打出大量的数据，但他们是一支糟糕的无控球球队，因为他们有很多不想做任何防守工作的乘客，这让其他球队可以利用他们。丹麦的唯一进球来自于高失误，这样的情况成为了比赛的常态。

c罗完全被煮熟了，他们基本上只会把球传给边锋，希望他们能创造一些东西，但是当他们打得很好，更具体地说，是很好的低位封盖时，他们很难创造机会。

葡萄牙现在需要1:0的比分才能进入加时赛。很难想象葡萄牙会比几天前踢得更好。是的，他们将在主场比赛，但丹麦是一支非常稳固的球队，近年来表现非常出色。丹麦在第一回合的比赛中占据了绝对优势，但在周日的比赛中却被低估了。我支持丹麦队，并预测客队不会输超过1球。