Paraguay will continue their push for a first World Cup appearance since 2010 when they host Chile in Asunción for a crucial CONMEBOL qualifier on Thursday night. Currently sitting in sixth place, occupying the final automatic qualification spot, La Albirroja have turned their campaign around after a sluggish start. Meanwhile, Chile, after a difficult opening to their qualifying journey, have shown signs of revival and are looking to make a late charge for at least a playoff berth.
Paraguay have been more entertaining in recent fixtures after a series of cagey performances in the early rounds. While their first nine qualifiers produced just five goals, their last three matches alone have yielded 10, signaling a more attacking approach. A hard-fought win over Venezuela in October was followed by an incredible upset victory against Argentina and a valuable away draw against Bolivia at altitude, securing seven points from a possible nine. These results have given Paraguay a four-point cushion over the playoff spot, while also keeping them within touching distance of fifth-placed Brazil and even second-placed Uruguay.
Historically, Paraguay’s games in this qualifying cycle have been tight affairs, including the reverse fixture against Chile, which ended in a goalless draw. However, they will be wary of their recent friendly against La Roja, where they suffered a 3-0 defeat before last summer’s Copa América. Despite this, the hosts will take confidence from their recent form and the fact that they have become harder to break down as the campaign has progressed.
Chile, on the other hand, appear to be hitting their stride at just the right time under Ricardo Gareca. Their 4-2 victory over Venezuela last time out lifted them off the bottom of the standings and kept them within four points of a potential playoff position. Prior to that, they had suffered a last-minute defeat to Brazil and drawn against Peru in an underwhelming display. While their qualification bid looked doomed after a poor start, a strong March window could propel them back into contention.
La Roja have also shown glimpses of their old attacking prowess, as demonstrated by a 6-1 friendly thrashing of Panama in February. However, their trip to Paraguay is followed by a difficult home fixture against in-form Ecuador, meaning they must take something from this match to maintain realistic hopes of qualification. With key veterans such as Alexis Sánchez, Arturo Vidal, Eduardo Vargas, and Charles Aránguiz still forming the backbone of the squad, Chile will rely on their experience to navigate what is expected to be a physical and tactical battle in Asunción.
Paraguay have been dealt a blow with the absence of captain Gustavo Gómez, who has been left out as a precaution despite recently returning from injury. The squad is relatively young, with just two players boasting over 50 caps, but Julio Enciso will be hoping to make an impact after scoring a late equalizer against Bolivia in their last outing. Chile, meanwhile, have recalled their core players after experimenting in February, though injuries to Marcelino Núñez, Erick Pulgar, and Williams Alarcón leave them somewhat short in midfield.
With both sides evenly matched and Paraguay’s reputation for low-scoring encounters still relevant despite their recent upturn in form, this game has all the makings of a tense and cautious affair. A draw would not be the worst result for either side, as it would keep Paraguay in the automatic qualification spots while ensuring Chile remains in the hunt for a playoff place.
周四晚上,巴拉圭将在Asunción主场迎战智利,参加一场至关重要的南美足联预选赛,他们将继续努力,争取自2010年以来首次参加世界杯。目前排名第六,占据了最后一个自动出线的位置,在开局不佳之后,拉齐奥已经扭转了局面。与此同时,在经历了艰难的预选赛之旅后,智利队已经表现出了复苏的迹象,他们希望在最后时刻为至少一个季后赛席位而努力。
巴拉圭在前几轮的一系列谨慎表现后,在最近的比赛中表现得更加有趣。虽然他们前九场预选赛只进了5个球,但仅最近三场比赛就进了10个球,这表明他们的进攻方式更具攻击性。在10月份艰难战胜委内瑞拉之后,又不可思议地击败阿根廷,并在高海拔地区客场战平玻利维亚,从可能的9分中获得7分。这样的结果让巴拉圭在季后赛席位上有了4分的缓冲,同时也让他们与排名第五的巴西,甚至是排名第二的乌拉圭保持着密切的距离。
从历史上看,巴拉圭在这个预选赛周期中的比赛都是激烈的,包括与智利的比赛,双方以0比0战平。然而,他们将对最近与西班牙皇家的友谊赛保持警惕,在去年夏天的美洲杯之前,他们在那里以0 - 3惨败。尽管如此,东道主将从他们最近的状态中获得信心,而且随着比赛的进行,他们变得越来越难以被击败。
另一方面,在里卡多·加雷卡的带领下,智利似乎在恰当的时机取得了长足的进步。他们上次4-2战胜委内瑞拉的比赛使他们脱离了积分榜的最后一名,并使他们离潜在的季后赛席位只差4分。在此之前,他们在最后一刻输给了巴西,在平淡无奇的比赛中战平了秘鲁。虽然在糟糕的开局后,他们的出线之路似乎注定要失败,但一个强劲的3月窗口可能会把他们重新推向竞争。
在2月6-1大胜巴拿马的友谊赛中,西班牙皇家军团也展现了他们昔日的进攻实力。然而,在巴拉圭之行之后,他们将在主场迎战状态良好的厄瓜多尔,这意味着他们必须从这场比赛中有所收获,以保持出线的现实希望。像亚历克西斯Sánchez、阿图罗·维达尔、爱德华多·巴尔加斯和查尔斯Aránguiz这样的老将仍然是球队的中坚力量,智利队将依靠他们的经验来应对Asunción的身体和战术之战。
由于队长古斯塔沃Gómez的缺席,巴拉圭受到了打击,尽管他最近刚刚伤愈复出,但作为预防措施,他没有参加比赛。这支球队相对年轻,只有两名球员出场超过50次,但胡里奥·恩西索希望在最后一场对阵玻利维亚的比赛中扳平比分,从而产生影响。与此同时,智利在2月份的试验后召回了他们的核心球员,尽管马塞利诺Núñez、埃里克·普尔加和威廉姆斯Alarcón的受伤使他们的中场有些不足。
双方势均力敌,尽管巴拉圭最近的状态有所好转,但他们在比赛中得分较低,因此这场比赛将是一场紧张而谨慎的比赛。平局对任何一方来说都不是最坏的结果,因为平局将使巴拉圭保持自动出线资格,同时确保智利继续争夺季后赛席位。