解读理由：
The international football is back! On Thursday night, the UEFA Nations League quarterfinals will start, and one of the games will be between Italy and Germany. In this duel, I predict that Germany won't lose.
Last summer, Italy played in the Euro 2024 and in a dramatic fashion qualified for the round 16 but there they lost to Switzerland. In September, Italy started the Nations League tournament, and Italy played well. In 6 games, Italy managed to get 4 wins and 1 draw, while losing only 1 game. The loss was in the last game when Italy lost at home to France 1:3. In total, Italy scored 13 goals and conceded 8.
Germany advanced to Euro 2024 quarterfinals where they lost to the next champion Spain. The Germans had almost a perfect Nations League campaign as they had 4 wins and 2 draws during the 6 game stretch. Despite a bigger ball control and 10 more shots in total, Germany drew against the Netherlands on the road and also drew against Hungary on the road. That was unlucky draw because the opponents scored a penalty in the 99th minute. In total, Germany scored a total of 18 goals and conceded only 4.
If we look at the head-to-head stats, the advantage is for Germany. The teams met twice in 2022, and Germany drew on the road and won at home. In that road game, Germany had a bigger ball control and more shots in total. If we look deeper, the last 6 matchups have ended with Germany's win or draw.
I like this German team better. Their recent results have been better, and the Italian football has struggled a little. I'm not saying they are weak, but I wouldn't be surprised to see draw in this match. Either way, I'm backing Germany in this duel as they won't lose.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
国际足球又回来了！周四晚上，欧足联国家联赛四分之一决赛将开始，其中一场比赛将在意大利和德国之间进行。在这场决斗中，我预测德国不会输。
去年夏天，意大利参加了2024年欧洲杯，并戏剧性地晋级16强，但在那里他们输给了瑞士。9月，意大利开始了国家联赛，意大利踢得很好。在6场比赛中，意大利取得了4胜1平的成绩，只输了1场。这场失利发生在上一场比赛中，当时意大利主场1:3输给了法国。意大利总共进了13个球，丢了8个球。
德国晋级2024年欧洲杯四分之一决赛，但输给了下一届冠军西班牙队。德国队在6场比赛中取得了4胜2平的成绩，这几乎是一场完美的国家联赛。尽管控球能力更强，射门次数也多了10次，但德国队还是在客场战平了荷兰队，也在客场战平了匈牙利队。那是一个不幸的平局，因为对手在第99分钟罚进了一个点球。德国队总共进了18个球，只丢了4个球。
如果我们看一下正面交锋的数据，优势是德国。两队在2022年相遇两次，德国在客场战平，在主场获胜。在那场客场比赛中，德国队的控球能力更强，射门次数也更多。如果我们再深入研究一下，就会发现最近6场比赛的结果都是德国取胜或平局。
我更喜欢这支德国队。他们最近的成绩更好，意大利足球有些挣扎。我不是说他们很弱，但我不会对这场比赛打成平局感到惊讶。不管怎样，我都支持德国队，因为他们不会输。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。