PSG obviously will win the title, but this is not the time to start letting matches go as there is still the Champions league to play for! Below the top of the table in Ligue 1 with some xG-numbers.

Paris Saint-Germain, having a dominant season, will host Olympique de Marseille on Sunday in Le Classique. PSG leads their second-placed rivals by 16 points, and if Roberto De Zerbi’s side fails to claim victory in Paris, the Ligue 1 title will be all but secured. Even with an away win, Marseille’s title hopes would remain highly unrealistic, as PSG has been by far the superior team in terms of performance.
Under Luis Enrique, PSG has conceded the fewest goals and scored the most in Ligue 1 this season. On Tuesday, they also made a statement in Europe, pushing their match against Liverpool into extra time at Anfield before Gianluigi Donnarumma’s penalty heroics secured their place in the Champions League quarter-finals. If they pick up three points on Sunday, PSG can fully shift their focus to European competition after the international break.
Team news - PSG:
Full squad available, although Marquinhos is slightly doubtful. If Luis Enrique doesn’t rotate too much, a strong lineup is expected. Désiré Doué, who made a great impact off the bench against Liverpool, is likely to start.
Marseille hasn’t played in European competitions this season, allowing them to fully concentrate on domestic matches—a strategy that has paid off for De Zerbi’s squad. Statistically, Marseille has been one of Ligue 1’s biggest overperformers when comparing expected goals (xG) to actual goals scored. Though they have suffered a couple of losses in their last five games, they remain one of the standout teams in French football this season. They have been result-wise the 2nd best also in their away matches with 27 points, but the expected points show only 18! They have been lucky on the road.
Team news - Marseille:
The visitors will be without injured players Faris Moumbagna, Amir Murillo, Amine Harit, and Pierre-Emile Højbjerg. Derek Cornelius has served his suspension, while Chancel Mbemba is expected to remain sidelined due to a technical decision, with a summer transfer likely on the horizon.
PSG’s strength was evident in their two-legged battle against Liverpool, and based on that, a comfortable home win by a margin of at least two goals seems likely on Sunday. A -1.5 handicap bet looks promising— the 4 latest encounters also below:

巴黎圣日耳曼显然会赢得冠军,但现在不是开始放弃比赛的时候,因为还有冠军联赛要打!在法甲排名靠前,有一些xg数据。
本赛季表现抢眼的巴黎圣日耳曼将于周日在Le Classique主场迎战马赛奥林匹克队。巴黎圣日耳曼领先排名第二的对手16分,如果罗伯托·德泽比的球队未能在巴黎取得胜利,法甲冠军将几乎锁定。即使客场获胜,马赛的夺冠希望仍然是非常不现实的,因为巴黎圣日耳曼在表现方面一直是最好的球队。
在路易斯·恩里克的带领下,巴黎圣日耳曼本赛季是法甲失球最少、进球最多的球队。周二,他们也在欧洲发表了声明,将他们在安菲尔德与利物浦的比赛推进到加时赛,然后多纳鲁马的点球英雄主义确保了他们进入欧冠四分之一决赛。如果他们在周日的比赛中拿到三分,巴黎圣日耳曼就可以在国际比赛日之后将注意力完全转移到欧洲赛场上。
球队新闻-巴黎圣日耳曼:
虽然马昆尼奥斯有点不确定,但全队都可以上场。如果路易斯·恩里克没有太多的轮换,一个强大的阵容预计。在对阵利物浦的比赛中替补发挥出色的杜瓦尔很可能首发。
马赛本赛季没有参加欧洲比赛,这使得他们能够完全专注于国内比赛——这一策略为德泽比的球队带来了回报。从统计数据来看,在比较预期进球数(xG)和实际进球数时,马赛一直是法甲表现最好的球队之一。虽然他们在最近的五场比赛中遭遇了两场失利,但他们仍然是本赛季法国足坛最出色的球队之一。他们在客场比赛中也以27分排名第二,但预期积分只有18分!他们在路上一直很幸运。
球队新闻-马赛:
客队将没有受伤的球员法里斯·蒙巴尼亚、阿米尔·穆里略、阿明·哈里特和皮埃尔-埃米尔·赫比约格。德里克-科尼利厄斯已经服完禁赛,而姆本巴由于技术原因可能会继续缺阵,夏季转会可能即将到来。
在对阵利物浦的两回合比赛中,巴黎圣日耳曼的实力显而易见,在此基础上,周日主场以至少两球的优势轻松获胜似乎是可能的。赔率为-1.5的赌注看起来很有希望——最近的四场比赛也如下: