Perth Glory VS Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory and Brisbane Roar lock horns in this A-league round 23 battle at HBF Park in Perth Saturday afternoon Beijing time. However, in reality the hosts have played 20 games, Brisbane have played 19 games in this league. This is the first tier of Australian football. As a whole this league is not of particularly high quality by global standards. However, by Asia-Pacific standards it is good! Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat low level by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another fine chance of extending the winning streak of three picks – at the time of posting this analysis. Last season Brisbane Roar finished in 9th place – with 39 points to their account. However, this season has been a massive disappointment for them so far. Indeed, they are in 13th (last) place with a pathetic eight points to their account. Rather incredibly, they have won only 1/18 A-League games! As a result they must be low in confidence. Furthermore, according to my sources their team spirit is not all that great at the moment. They have scored 20 goals and have allowed 37 goals. Yes, they can improve as the season progresses but I do not expect a sudden, significant raise in their level. The bookies seem to be giving their potential way too much emphasis – offering odds of around 2.50 on the away win. With the expected lineups – taking the substantial home advantage into account, I see the hosts as the favourites here – albeit not clear, of course.. The Perth +0.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here!
Perth Glory are in 12th place and are, in all honesty, not a great team. Even so, they have grabbed three more points than Brisbane. Perth have netted the ball 13 times and have conceded 45 goals. However, their number of expected goals (xG) per game is 1.17 and number of expected goals allowed (xAG) per match is "only" 1.84. Let's remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Perth are the bigger team here – not by a clear margin though.. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 6.50 million euros. The Brisbane squad is valued at about 4.60 million. Both numbers are, in my expert opinion, more or less correct.. I want to highlight that Brisbane have won only one of their last 20 games – and none of their last five matches. In their most recent game. They took a point from Adelaide away from home – through a 1-1 draw. However, the hosts were the better team – recording many more goal attempts, shots on target, shots off goal, big scoring chances and shots inside the (opponent's) penalty box. They also generated 0.49 more in xG. Perth have lost only one of their last three games. In their last game they faced WS Wanderers – who were too strong – taking a 1-4 win. Perth were not at their best but still had a decent 13 goal attempts. Before this Perth beat Armadale 4-1 in a friendly game – as underdogs on the betting market. In round 20, on the 22nd of last month. Perth pushed Sydney FC well at home. No goals were scored. Perth were very clear underdogs on the betting market but recorded more shots on goal and big scoring chances - 3-1 to be precise. The visitors did have more goal attempts though..
GOOD LUCK!
珀斯荣耀VS布里斯班咆哮
北京时间周六下午,在珀斯HBF公园举行的a联赛第23轮比赛中,珀斯荣耀队和布里斯班咆哮队将展开激战。然而,实际上东道主已经打了20场比赛,布里斯班在这个联赛中打了19场比赛。这是澳大利亚足球的第一梯队。总的来说,按照全球标准,这个联盟的质量并不特别高。然而,以亚太地区的标准来看,这是不错的!足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场低于联赛标准的比赛。最重要的是,我的粉丝和我还有另一个很好的机会来延续连胜的三个选秀权——在发表这篇分析的时候。上赛季,布里斯班咆哮队以39分的成绩排名第九。然而,到目前为止,这个赛季对他们来说是非常失望的。事实上,他们排在第13(最后)位,只有可怜的8分。令人难以置信的是,他们只赢了1/18场a联赛!因此,他们的信心肯定很低。此外,根据我的消息来源,他们的团队精神目前并不是那么好。他们进了20球,丢了37球。是的,他们可以随着赛季的进展而进步,但我不指望他们的水平会突然显著提高。博彩公司似乎对他们的潜力给予了太多的重视——客场获胜的赔率约为2.50。考虑到预期的阵容——考虑到主场的优势,我认为东道主是最受欢迎的球队——当然,尽管还不清楚……珀斯+0.5个进球显然是明智的选择!
珀斯荣耀排在第12位,老实说,这不是一支伟大的球队。即便如此,他们还是比布里斯班多拿了3分。珀斯队有13次进球,丢了45个球。然而,他们每场比赛的预期进球数(xG)是1.17,每场比赛的预期进球数(xAG)“仅”为1.84。让我们记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com,珀斯是这里更大的球队——尽管不是明显的差距。事实上,他们的球员估计总市值约为650万欧元。布里斯班队的身价约为460万美元。在我看来,这两个数字或多或少是正确的。我想强调的是,布里斯班在过去的20场比赛中只赢了一场,而在过去的5场比赛中一场也没有赢。在他们最近的游戏中。他们客场1-1战平阿德莱德,从阿德莱德手中取了一分。然而,东道主表现更好——他们的射门次数、射正、射偏、大得分机会和在(对手)禁区内的射门次数都更多。他们在xG中也多产生了0.49%。珀斯最近三场比赛只输了一场。在上一场比赛中,他们面对的是实力太强的WS流浪者,最终以1-4取胜。珀斯没有达到最佳状态,但仍有13次进球尝试。在此之前,珀斯队在一场友谊赛中以4比1击败了阿玛代尔队——在博彩市场上处于劣势。第20轮,上个月22号。珀斯在主场力推悉尼FC。没有进球。珀斯在博彩市场上显然处于劣势,但他们的射门和进球机会更多——准确地说,是3比1。不过客队确实有更多的射门机会。
好运!