On Thursday night, we will have the 2nd leg of the Europa League TOP16 round! One of the games will be between Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar. In this duel, I predict that Tottenham will win during the regular time.

A week ago, AZ Alkmaar won 1:0. Despite having a 62% ball control, Tottenham didn't have many goal-scoring chances, their xG was much lower (0.44 vs. 1.61).

Over the weekend, Tottenham drew in the English Premier League game against Bournemouth - 2:2. It's not the best season for the team in the Premier League, they are far away from the TOP6, so this tournament is their only chance to get European competition next season. Tottenham is a dominant force at home in the Europa League. At home, Tottenham has 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 Europa League games, a total of 9 goals scored and 2 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 8.0, xGA is at 5.1 with a difference of 2.9.

AZ Alkmaar didn't have a game in the Eredivisie over the weekend. During the League phase in the Europa League, AZ Alkmaar had 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. On the road, the team struggled as they had 1 draw and 3 losses, a total of 5 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the 1st playoff round, AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray. At home, they won 3:1 but drew on the road 2:2, although they had a much better xG rating. Overall, AZ has generated an xG of 7.1 on the road, xGA is at 6.8, with a difference of 0.3.

Tottenham will be without Rodrigo Bentancur, Radu Dragusin, Dejan Kulusevski, Richarlison and Ben Davies, while AZ Alkmaar will be missing Mayckel Lahdo, Denso Kasius, Sven Mijnans, Ruben van Bommel, Jayden Addai, and Mexx Meerdink.

I'm backing Tottenham. They are a much better team and should take the win. The team already won the 1st home game against AZ Alkmaar in October. The match ended 1:0, but there was a big xG difference. I could see this game going into overtime, but that can only happen if Tottenham is leading after 90 minutes.

周四晚上，我们将迎来欧联杯16强第二回合的比赛！其中一场比赛将在热刺和阿尔克马尔之间进行。在这场决斗中，我预测热刺会在常规时间获胜。

一周前，阿兹·阿尔克马尔1:0获胜。尽管控球率为62%，但热刺没有多少进球机会，他们的xG也低得多（0.44比1.61）。

上周末，热刺在英超联赛中以2:2战平伯恩茅斯。这不是球队在英超联赛中表现最好的一个赛季，他们离TOP6还很远，所以这次比赛是他们下赛季参加欧洲比赛的唯一机会。托特纳姆热刺是欧联杯主场的统治力量。在主场，热刺在4场欧联杯比赛中取得3胜1平的成绩，进9球丢2球。该团队生成的xG为8.0，xGA为5.1，相差2.9。

阿兹·阿尔克马尔周末没有在荷甲比赛。在欧联杯的联赛阶段，阿尔克马尔取得了3胜2平3负的成绩。在客场，球队表现不佳，1平3负，进5球丢9球。在第一轮季后赛中，阿尔克马尔击败了加拉塔萨雷。他们在主场以3:1获胜，但在客场以2:2战平，尽管他们的xG评级要好得多。总的来说，AZ在路上产生的xG为7.1，xGA为6.8，相差0.3。

热刺将失去本坦库尔、德拉古辛、库卢塞夫斯基、理查利森和本戴维斯，而阿尔克马尔将失去拉多、卡修斯、米南斯、范博梅尔、阿代和梅尔丁克。

我支持热刺。他们是一支更好的球队，应该拿下这场胜利。这支球队已经在10月份赢得了对阿尔克马尔的第一场主场比赛。比赛以1:0结束，但双方的比分相差很大。我可以预见这场比赛会进入加时赛，但这只有在热刺在90分钟后领先的情况下才会发生。