On Wednesday night, the last 4 UEFA Champions League top 16 round games will happen and one of the games will be between Atletico Madrid and Madrid Real. In this game, I predict that Real won't lose.

Last week, the teams played in Real home stadium, and Real won 2:1. While 3 goals were scored, both teams had a combined xG of 0.88. At the same time, Real Madrid had 7 more total shots and 5 more shots on target. Atletico now has to win by at least 1 goal to force overtime but I don't think this is happening.

In the last 7 games, Atletico has 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. After last week's loss to Real, Atletico also lost on the road in the La Liga to Getafe 1:2. It was a very unfortunate loss because Atletico was leading when they got a red card, and the opponents scored two goals in 88th and 92nd minute. Real Madrid won their La Liga game as they beat Rayo Vallecano 2:1.

While Atletico has 3 wins and 1 loss in 4 Champions League home games, the team has conceded in every match, showing that Real will have opportunities to score. Real Madrid has 3 wins and 2 losses in 5 road games, and they have the best road xG. Yes, they have struggled on defense, but it's not like both teams can surprise with something, meaning Real knows how to play against Atletico. Their 1st meeting in the Atletico stadium this season ended 1:1. Atletico had a little bit better xG rating, but all the shooting stats were almost identical.

Koke is the only player Atletico won't have on Wednesday. As for Real, Dani Ceballos, Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao will be out for the match.

Both squads are in almost the best possible rosters, and I'm backing Real. Out of the last 10 meetings, 8 have ended with Real's win or draw. Despite some road struggles, they are a better team, and their offensive player is a huge threat that Atletico can't handle.

周三晚上，欧洲冠军联赛16强的最后4场比赛将进行，其中一场比赛将在马德里竞技和马德里皇家之间进行。在这场比赛中，我预测皇马不会输。

上周，两队在皇马主场比赛，皇马2:1获胜。虽然两队共进了3个球，但两队的总xG值为0.88。与此同时，皇马的射门次数增加了7次，射正的次数增加了5次。马竞现在必须至少赢一球才能进入加时赛，但我认为这不会发生。

在过去的7场比赛中，马竞取得了2胜3平2负的成绩。在上周输给皇马之后，马竞在西甲客场1:2不敌赫塔菲。这是一场非常不幸的失利，因为马竞在领到红牌时处于领先地位，对手在第88分钟和第92分钟连进两球。皇马2:1战胜巴列卡诺，赢得了西甲联赛的胜利。

虽然马竞在4场欧冠主场比赛中取得了3胜1负的成绩，但球队每场比赛都有失球，这表明皇马有机会得分。皇马5场客场3胜2负，他们有最好的客场xG。是的，他们在防守上挣扎，但并不是两支球队都能让人惊讶，这意味着皇马知道如何对付马竞。他们本赛季在马竞球场的第一次交锋以1:1结束。马竞的xG值稍好一些，但所有的射门数据几乎相同。

科克是周三马竞唯一没有的球员。至于皇马，塞巴略斯、卡瓦哈尔和米里托将缺席本场比赛。

两支球队的阵容几乎都是最好的，我支持皇马。在过去的10次交锋中，皇马8次以胜或平告终。尽管在客场有些挣扎，但他们是一支更好的球队，他们的进攻球员是马竞无法应对的巨大威胁。