Liverpool's only match at Anfield resulted in five goals, and they have defeated PSG twice in three previous meetings. With 19 dribbles in the first leg, the most against Liverpool since 2018, PSG's offensive trio of Ousmane Dembélé (28 goals this season), Bradley Barcola, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia can cause problems for any defence. However, in their previous four home European games, Liverpool's defence, which is led by Virgil van Dijk and Alisson, has only given up once. Due of their need to pursue the game, PSG may be exposed to Liverpool's counterattacks, which are spearheaded by a revitalised Diogo Jota and Mohamed Salah (three goals, four assists in UCL play).

Liverpool’s home dominance is staggering—14 consecutive Champions League ties won when leading after the first leg, and a 67% win rate this season when scoring over 1.5 goals at Anfield. PSG have scored in 8 of 10 UCL games this year, averaging 2.4 goals per game, but their away record against elite sides is shaky—losses at Arsenal and Bayern underline this.

PSG's ability to generate chances was demonstrated in the first leg (2.3 xG to 0.27 for Liverpool), but their finishing let them down. They will have to contend with a hostile crowd at Anfield and a Liverpool team that is unlikely to replicate their lacklustre showing in Paris. Slot will try to have the upper hand, forcing PSG to attack, which will create room for Liverpool's deadly forwards. PSG could tie if they convert early, although a home victory is more likely given their past 0–2 record at Anfield and Liverpool's 8–9 home UCL victories by 2+ goals.

It's unlikely, in my opinion, that PSG will win at Anfield. Given PSG's past troubles here, Liverpool's home record, and their first-leg lead, the Reds should win. Liverpool has 42.6% odds of winning this leg, according to the Opta supercomputer, while PSG's away knockout record (2 of 5 draws reversed after a home loss) gives them little hope. Although PSG scores, they lose, and I predict Liverpool to win 2-1 or 3-1.

利物浦在安菲尔德的唯一一场比赛进了五球，他们在之前的三场比赛中两次击败了巴黎圣日耳曼。首回合有19次运球，这是自2018年以来对阵利物浦的最多运球，PSG的进攻三人组奥斯曼·登巴姆萨梅斯（本赛季打进28球）、布拉德利·巴科拉和克维奇哈·克瓦拉茨基利亚可以给任何防守带来麻烦。然而，在之前的四场欧洲主场比赛中，由范迪克和阿利松领衔的利物浦后防线只放弃了一次。由于他们需要继续比赛，巴黎圣日耳曼可能会受到利物浦的反击，这些反击由恢复活力的迪奥戈·约塔和穆罕默德·萨拉赫（在欧冠比赛中打入3球，4次助攻）带头。

利物浦的主场优势是惊人的——在首回合领先的情况下，连续14场欧冠比赛获胜，本赛季在安菲尔德攻入1.5球以上的胜率为67%。巴黎圣日耳曼今年在10场欧冠比赛中有8场进球，场均2.4球，但他们在客场对阵强队的战绩并不稳定，输给阿森纳和拜仁更是证明了这一点。

巴黎圣日耳曼创造机会的能力在第一回合得到了证明（2.3比0.27），但他们的射门让他们失望了。他们将不得不在安菲尔德面对充满敌意的球迷，而利物浦也不太可能复制他们在巴黎的低迷表现。Slot将试图占据上风，迫使巴黎圣日耳曼进攻，这将为利物浦致命的前锋创造空间。如果巴黎圣日耳曼早日转变，他们可能会追平比分，尽管主场获胜的可能性更大，因为他们过去在安菲尔德的战绩为0-2，利物浦在欧冠联赛的主场战绩为8-9胜2球以上。

在我看来，巴黎圣日耳曼不太可能在安菲尔德获胜。考虑到巴黎圣日耳曼过去在这里的麻烦，利物浦的主场战绩，以及他们首回合的领先优势，红军应该会赢。根据Opta超级计算机的数据，利物浦有42.6%的胜率，而巴黎圣日耳曼的客场淘汰赛记录（主场输球后5平2平）让他们几乎没有希望。虽然巴黎圣日耳曼进球了，但他们输了，我预测利物浦会以2-1或3-1获胜。