Kashiwa Reysol VS Kashima Antlers
Kashiwa Reysol host Kashima Antlers in this J1 League round 5 battle at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium in Kashiwa Saturday afternoon Beijing time. This is the first tier of Japanese football. As a whole the J1 League is of rather mediocre quality by global standards. However, by Asian standards it is of high level.. Footbotball fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly better than average level by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another lucrative betting opportunity to extend the red hot streak of six consecutive winning picks! Both teams have had a fine start to the season. Indeed, the hosts, in fact, top the standings with 10 points to their account. However, last season they finished in 17th/20 place with a poor 41 points – coming close to being relegated. In 2023 they ended up in 17th (second-last) place! Kaswiwa Antlers were much better than the hosts in both 2023 and 2024! Reysol have scored six goals and have conceded six goals. However, they have been lucky in terms of both expected goals (xG) and expected goals allowed (xGA). Their xG per game is 1.32 and xGA 1.48! Kashiwa Reysol will most probably not finish even in the top-5! The bookies see them as slim favourites at the time of writing this analysis early Saturday morning Beijing time. However, before the kickoff I expect the smart money from professional bettors to pile up on the visitors – who – with the expected lineups - should be the favourites here – albeit not very clear. They have performed better than the hosts so far – despite having one point less to their account. They have an excellent score difference of 8:2. We will place a bet on Kashima Antlers with the +0.5 goals handicap!
Let's remember that Antlers are the bigger team in terms of players estimated total market value.. The visitors have lost only one of their last 14 games, winning three of their most recent matches! They must, as a result, be high in confidence. I also trust their head coach in terms of tactics and as a leader. In their last game they defeated FC Tokyo at home, recording many more shots on goal – 7-1 to be precise! They also had more big scoring chances and generated 0.64 more in xG. Before this they lost to Albirex Niigata at home 1-2 but recorded more goal attempts and shots off goal. The visitors, who defended better than expected, managed one more shot on target though.. In round Antlers crushed Verdy 4-0. Yes, Verdy were terrible, but the hosts performed extremely well - having a very high 21 goal attempts and recorded hugely more shots on goal - 10-2. The xG numbers were 2.34-0.37. In round 1 Antlers were not at their best, losing to Shonan Bellmare 0-1 away from home. However, the hosts had only one more shot on goal. Antlers' offense was, in all honesty, a bit lame – lacking speed and passing accuracy but the hosts also defended very well.. The hosts have won three of their last 10 competitive games. In their most recent match they took a lucky 2-0 win over Urawa Reds on the road. The hosts recorded nine more goal attempts and also had more shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks and shots inside the penalty box. The xG numbers were 1.35-0.53. Before this Reysol beat Cerezo Osaka 2-1 at home after a pretty balanced clash. Reysol were the favourites on the betting market but the visitors had more goal attempts. Both teams had the same number of shots on goal and big scoring chances. In2 round Reysol took a point from Kawasaki Frontale at home through a 1-1 draw. Either team could easily have won the games as they had one big scoring each and the xG numbers were 0.94-0.91.
GOOD LUCK!
鹿岛鹿角VS鹿岛鹿角
北京时间周六下午,在日本J1联赛第五轮的比赛中,鹿岛鹿角队将在三共边城鹿城体育场迎战鹿岛雷索尔队。这是日本足球的第一梯队。以全球标准来看,J1联赛的整体水平相当平庸。然而,按照亚洲的标准,它是高水平的。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个赚钱的投注机会来延续连续六次获胜的连胜纪录!两队本赛季都有一个良好的开端。事实上,东道主以10分的成绩高居榜首。然而,上赛季他们以可怜的41分排名第17 /20位,差一点就降级了。2023年,他们最终排名第17(倒数第二)!Kaswiwa鹿角队在2023年和2024年都比东道主好得多!雷索尔进了6球,丢了6球。然而,他们在预期目标(xG)和允许的预期目标(xGA)方面都很幸运。他们的场均xG是1.32,xGA是1.48!Kashiwa Reysol很可能连前五都进不了!在北京时间周六凌晨撰写这篇分析时,博彩公司认为他们的胜算不大。然而,在开球之前,我预计来自专业投注者的聪明的钱会堆积在客队身上——谁——在预期的阵容下——应该是最受欢迎的——尽管不是很清楚。到目前为止,他们的表现比东道主要好——尽管他们少了一分。他们有8分2秒的优异成绩差。我们将投注鹿岛鹿角与+0.5目标障碍!
让我们记住鹿角队在球员估计总市场价值方面是更大的球队。客队在过去的14场比赛中只输了一场,最近的比赛赢了三场!因此,他们必须高度自信。我也相信他们的主教练在战术和领导方面的能力。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场击败了东京FC,他们的射门次数更多——准确地说,是7:1 !他们也有更多的大得分机会,并且在xG上产生了0.64个。在此之前,他们在主场1-2不敌新潟,但他们的射门次数和射偏次数更多。客队的防守比预期的要好,但他们又射正了球门。在一轮比赛中,鹿角队以4比0击败了佛迪队。是的,Verdy踢得很糟糕,但是东道主表现得非常好——他们有21次射门,射门次数也非常多——10比2。xG值为2.34 ~ 0.37。在第一轮比赛中,鹿角队表现不佳,在客场0-1不敌尚南贝尔梅尔队。然而,东道主只有一次射门机会。鹿角队的进攻,说实话,有点蹩脚-缺乏速度和传球准确性,但东道主防守也很好。东道主在最近10场比赛中赢了3场。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场2-0战胜浦和红军。东道主的进球尝试次数增加了9次,射正、射偏、角球和禁区内的射门次数也增加了。xG值为1.35 ~ 0.53。在此之前,雷索尔在一场势均力敌的比赛中以2比1击败了大阪Cerezo。雷索尔在博彩市场上是最受欢迎的,但客队的进球次数更多。两支球队都有相同的射门次数和进球机会。第二轮,雷索尔主场1-1战平川崎前锋,从川崎前锋手中拿到一分。两队各有一记大进球,xG值为0.94-0.91,本可以轻松取胜。
好运!