I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

In last 2 hours odds on Lugano win slashed by 0.25 on the biggest Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. Lugano is really underrated here and their chances to avoid loss are much bigger than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

St.Gallen today will play without their 4 key players - defenders Kempter and Lunchinger (both played in 10 matches in current season). In addition to that key midfielder Stillhart (16 matches) and key striker Guillemenot (13 matches) are suspended. Because of those problems today on the pitch we will see many second-choice players like defenders Sutter (7 matches) and Stergiou (8 matches), midfielder Diarrassouba or striker Babic (6 matches). That should have very bad impact on their performance today. In comparison to that - Lugano today will play with their best possible line up and we will see all their key players on the pitch. Every single player from first squad played at least in 11 matches in current season. Team have good consistency and rhythm together and that should make big difference today.

Lugano currently have excellent streak against St. Gallen as they didn't lost against them in last 6 matches in a row. I believe they have all required tools to continue that streak today. Hosts are without good form at all at the moment-they lost last 3 matches in a row, they scored only one goal and conceded 8. Morale in team must be on very low level. On the other hand guests flying high at the moment-they won 5 of last 6 matches in all competitions and they lost only on away against title defenders Young Boys. Their confidence before today's match for sure is very big. I trust them.