On Sunday night, 4 games in the Spanish La Liga will happen and one of them is going to be between Getafe and Real Betis. After 24 games, Getafe has 7 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses, a total of 30 points and 14th place while Real Betis has 8 wins, 8 draws, 8 losses, a total of 32 points and 8th place. In this game, I predict that Real Betis won't lose.
Getafe has 4 wins and 2 draws in the last 6 games. Despite those good results, in 5 games Getafe's xG was equal or worse compared to opponents. Getafe has been a below-average home team with 3 wins and 7 draws in 12 games, with a total of 9 goals scored and 6 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 12.4, xGA is at 9.9 with a difference of 2.5.
Real Betis has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 La Liga games. In the loss against Celta, Real Betis blew a 2:0 lead and lost 2:3. Real Betis created a much better xG in the last Europa League game against Gent but they got a red card and lost 0:1 but they advanced to the next round. On the road, Real Betis has 3 wins and 3 draws in 12 La Liga away games, with a total of 11 goals scored and 17 conceded. The team has created an xG of 12.4 on the road, xGA is at 19.8 with a difference of -7.4.
Getafe is again expected to be without the services of Luis Milla due to a muscular problem. As for Real Betis, Romain Perraud is available again after serving a suspension, but Pablo Fornals, Hector Bellerin and William Carvalho are all out of the contest due to injury problems.
I'm backing Real Betis in this game. While they have bad road xGA, that's because of some tough road games against Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao which created big xG's. Getafe isn't a great home team, and the only wins have been over Espanyol (a bottom-tier team), Alaves (2nd-worst) and Real Valladolid (the worst team). 7 of the last 8 meetings have ended with a Real Betis win or draw and I'm expecting the same outcome in this match.
周日晚上,西甲将进行四场比赛,其中一场将在赫塔菲和皇家贝蒂斯之间进行。经过24场比赛,赫塔菲7胜9平8负,共积30分,排名第14位,而皇家贝蒂斯8胜8平8负,共积32分,排名第8位。在这场比赛中,我预测皇家贝蒂斯不会输。
赫塔菲最近6场比赛4胜2平。尽管取得了这些好成绩,但在5场比赛中,赫塔菲的xG与对手持平或更差。赫塔菲是一支低于平均水平的主场球队,在12场比赛中取得3胜7平,共进9球失6球。球队的xG值为12.4,xGA值为9.9,两者相差2.5。
皇家贝蒂斯在最近的4场西甲比赛中取得了2胜1平1负的成绩。在输给塞尔塔的比赛中,皇家贝蒂斯丢掉了2比0的领先优势,以2比3输掉了比赛。皇家贝蒂斯在上一场欧联杯对阵根特的比赛中创造了一个更好的xG,但他们得到了一张红牌,以0:1输掉了比赛,但他们晋级了下一轮。在客场,皇家贝蒂斯在西甲的12场客场比赛中取得了3胜3平的成绩,共进11球失17球。球队在客场创造的xG值为12.4,xGA值为19.8,差值为-7.4。
赫塔菲又一次因为肌肉问题失去了路易斯·米拉。至于皇家贝蒂斯,佩罗在停赛后再次复出,但福尔纳尔斯、贝莱林和卡瓦略都因伤缺席了比赛。
这场比赛我支持皇家贝蒂斯队。虽然他们的客场xG很糟糕,但那是因为他们在对阵皇马和毕尔巴鄂竞技的一些艰难的客场比赛中创造了很大的xG。赫塔菲不是一个伟大的主场球队,唯一的胜利是对西班牙人(一个底层球队),阿拉维斯(倒数第二)和皇家巴利亚多利德(最差的球队)。在过去的8次交锋中,有7次都以皇家贝蒂斯取胜或平局告终,我预计这场比赛也会有同样的结果。