My suggestion is to take a high handicap for both of the away teams here. One of them beats the handicap, you win.

MANCHESTER CITY – LIVERPOOL

Rough 1x2 estimations to win:

25% - 25% - 50%**

As expected, Manchester City was eliminated from the Champions League after losing the second leg of their tie against Real Madrid 1–3 away. Their most recent league match at home against Newcastle was a return to their usual high standards, with a 4–0 victory orchestrated mainly by their new signing, Omar Marmoush, who scored a hat-trick.

Liverpool, on the other hand, has had to settle for back-to-back 2–2 away draws against Everton and Aston Villa. In the Merseyside derby against Everton, Liverpool’s performance was nervous and unconvincing. However, against Aston Villa on Wednesday, their display would have deserved a full three points.

The balance of power between these two teams has completely shifted for the season. Liverpool’s level of play has reached heights that were difficult to expect from any team besides City—especially in the current season. I assess the visitors as favorites with a 50% probability.

Below are the recent performances with xG of both teams in the EPL:

There are good City results too, but mostly against the weak teams. See what happened with Arsenal?

There is not much to complain. As it is football you can not win them all, and Everton is always a special case.

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EMPOLI – ATALANTA

15% - 23% - 62%

Empoli has played at a higher level throughout the season than their actual results suggest. However, recent injuries have slowed them down, and the return of defender Ardian Ismajli to the lineup would be highly welcome.

Atalanta was also eliminated in the first knockout round of the Champions League after losing 2–5 on aggregate to Club Brugge. Striker Ademola Lookman made his expected return in that match but missed a penalty, and coach Gasperini’s post-match comments have sparked considerable debate.

While Atalanta has faced greater physical strain than Empoli, the clear difference in overall quality still makes them the favorites, with more than a 60% chance of winning.. Additionally, Empoli has an important Coppa Italia quarterfinal against Juventus next week, which could further affect their focus.

In short, Atalanta have several times looked like the best team in Serie A, both home and away, and even if Empoli could had earned a few more points they still do belong into a relegation battle, and an earlish goal might be decisive, and let Atalanta to run into a big victory.

我的建议是对两支客场球队都设置高差点。其中一个超过了障碍，你就赢了。

曼城-利物浦

大概1x2的估计：

25% - 25% - 50%**

不出所料，曼城在客场1-3不敌皇马的欧冠第二回合比赛中被淘汰出局。他们最近在主场对阵纽卡斯尔的比赛恢复了他们一贯的高水平，4-0的胜利主要是由他们的新签约奥马尔·马穆什（Omar Marmoush）精心安排的，他上演了帽子戏法。

另一方面，利物浦不得不背靠背2-2战平埃弗顿和阿斯顿维拉。在默西塞德郡对埃弗顿的德比中，利物浦的表现令人紧张和难以置信。然而，在周三对阵阿斯顿维拉的比赛中，他们的表现应该得到整整三分。

这两支球队之间的力量平衡在本赛季已经完全改变了。利物浦的比赛水平已经达到了除了曼城之外的任何球队都难以企及的高度，尤其是在本赛季。我估计访客队有50%的胜算。

以下是两队最近在英超联赛中使用xG的表现：

曼城也有不错的成绩，但大多是对阵弱队。看看阿森纳发生了什么？

没有什么可抱怨的。足球就是这样，你不可能赢得所有的比赛，埃弗顿总是一个特例。

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恩波利-亚特兰大

15% - 23% - 62%

恩波利整个赛季的表现都比他们的实际成绩所显示的要高。然而，最近的伤病已经拖慢了他们的速度，后卫阿迪安·伊斯马吉里的回归将是非常受欢迎的。

亚特兰大也在欧冠第一轮淘汰赛中以总比分2-5不敌布鲁日俱乐部，被淘汰出局。前锋阿德莫拉·卢克曼在那场比赛中复出，但罚丢了一个点球，教练加斯佩里尼的赛后评论引发了相当大的争论。

虽然亚特兰大面临着比恩波利更大的体力压力，但整体实力的明显差异仍然使他们成为夺冠热门，有超过60%的获胜机会。此外，恩波利下周还有一场重要的意大利杯四分之一决赛，对手是尤文图斯，这可能会进一步影响他们的注意力。

简而言之，亚特兰大有几次在主场和客场看起来都是意甲最好的球队，即使恩波利可以多拿几分，他们仍然属于保级战，一个早期的进球可能是决定性的，让亚特兰大取得一场大胜。