In my opinion Lazio have all the required tools to make 3 points in today's match up.
Lazio came for this game with big mental advantage as they won all 3 previous matches against Venezia. First match of the season between both teams finished with Lazio 3:1 win at home and according to the expected goals scored model, that was fully deserved result (Lazio had 2.39, Venezia 0.62).
Venezia at home had problems with top teams, they lost already against Inter, Atalanta and Roma - team from Lazio level. In addition to that, team is without any confidence. They lost last 3 consecutive matches (failed to score in last two in a row) and conceded 6 goals in the process. I believe today Venezia also going to concede more than one goal. They are still without their first goalkeeper Stankovic. It's huge blow as he was the best team player in current season of Serie A.
On the other hand, Lazio offensive formation is in great form. They scored 9 goals in last 3 matches. They just came from scoring 2 goals against Napoli, leader of the table! Everything clicking together for Lazio in attack and for me is hard to imagine less than two goals for guests in this game.
Lazio in current season producing comfortable wins on the road against teams form bottom half of the table and I see continuation of that streak today. In current season Lazio won on away Cagliari, Verona, Lecce, Monza or Como. Why not against out of form Venezia?
在我看来,拉齐奥拥有在今天的比赛中取得3分所需的一切条件。
拉齐奥在这场比赛中有很大的心理优势,因为他们赢得了之前对威尼斯的所有3场比赛。两队在本赛季的首场比赛中,拉齐奥主场3:1获胜,根据预期进球数模型,这是完全应得的结果(拉齐奥2.39,威尼斯0.62)。
威尼斯在主场遇到了顶级球队的麻烦,他们已经输给了国际米兰,亚特兰大和罗马——拉齐奥级别的球队。除此之外,球队没有任何信心。他们最近3场连败(最近2场没有进球),丢了6个球。我相信今天威尼斯也会丢不止一个球。他们仍然没有首发门将斯坦科维奇。这是一个巨大的打击,因为他是本赛季意甲最好的球员。
另一方面,拉齐奥的进攻阵型状态很好。他们在最近3场比赛中进了9球。他们刚刚在对阵那不勒斯的比赛中打进两球,领跑积分榜!拉齐奥在进攻端的一切都很完美,对我来说,很难想象在这场比赛中客队会少进两个球。
拉齐奥本赛季在客场轻松战胜了积分榜后半部分的球队,我认为这种连胜势头今天还会继续。本赛季,拉齐奥客场战胜了卡利亚里、维罗纳、莱切、蒙扎和科莫。为什么不对阵状态不好的威尼斯队呢?