On Thursday night, we will have 8 games in the Europa League TOP32 phase. One of the matches will be between Real Sociedad and Midtjylland. After the 1st game, Real Sociedad is up by 2:1. In this game, I predict another Real Sociedad win.
Last week, Real Sociedad won despite controlling the ball for only 40%. The Spanish team had a little bit better xG and that's also thanks to a penalty shot. The Spanish team showed a very good performance on defense though. During the league phase, Real Sociedad had 3 wins and 1 loss at home, a total of 8 goals scored and 2 conceded. After the 1st home loss to Ajax, the team won the next 3 matches, scored a total of 7 goals and didn't concede a single one. Sociedad's xG at home in the Europa League is 8.1, xGA is at 3.1 with a difference of 5.
In the League phase, Midtjylland had 2 wins and 2 losses on the road, with a total of 4 goals scored and 4 conceded. The team beat Maccabi and Ludogorets while losing to FCSB and Porto. Both wins were against teams that didn't advance further while both losses were against teams that are still in the tournament. Midtjylland's xG on the road is 5.7, xGA is at 7.1 with a difference of -1.4.
Real Sociedad will be without Hamari Traore, Jon Pacheco (muscle), Martin Zubimendi and Jon Aramburu. As for Midtjylland, Oliver Sorensen, Cho Gue-sung and Kristoffer Olsson all are out.
I'm going with Real Sociedad. They are playing well at home, having 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 11 games. Real Sociedad lost to Getafe 0:3 but the xG difference was very slim. Midtjylland struggles on the road, having 2 wins and 6 losses in the last 8 games.
周四晚上,我们将在欧联杯32强阶段进行8场比赛。其中一场比赛将在皇家社会和米特日兰之间进行。第一场比赛结束后,皇家社会以2:1领先。在这场比赛中,我预测皇家社会会再次获胜。
上周,皇家社会赢得了比赛,尽管控球率只有40%。西班牙队的xG稍微好一点,这也要归功于一个点球。西班牙队在防守方面表现得很好。在联赛阶段,皇家社会主场3胜1负,进8球丢2球。在主场第一次输给阿贾克斯之后,球队赢得了接下来的3场比赛,总共进了7个球,没有丢一个球。社会在欧联杯主场的xG值是8.1,xGA值是3.1,相差5。
在联赛阶段,米特日兰客场2胜2负,进4球丢4球。球队击败马卡比和卢多戈雷茨,但输给了FCSB和波尔图。两场胜利都是对阵没有晋级的球队,而两场失利都是对阵仍在锦标赛中的球队。中场的xG值为5.7,xGA值为7.1,差值为-1.4。
皇家社会将失去特拉奥雷、帕切科、祖比门迪和阿拉姆布鲁。至于米德日兰,奥利弗·索伦森、赵圭成和克里斯托弗·奥尔森都将缺席。
我支持皇家社会。他们在主场打得很好,最近11场比赛9胜1平1负。皇家社会0:3不敌赫塔菲,但比分差距很小。米德日兰在客场表现不佳,最近8场比赛2胜6负。