On Wednesday night, the last 4 games of the Champions League TOP32 round are going to be played and one of the matches will be between PSV and Juventus. After the 1st game, Juventus is up 2:1 and I predict that Juventus won't lose this match.
Juventus started the series with a 2:1 win. To be fair, Juventus was a little bit better team. The team created more goal-scoring chances (1.27 vs. 0.81). While they didn't have more shots in total, they had 6 more shots on target and that's a huge difference. Juventus was able to stop PSV's offensive possessions. Now the teams will play in front of PSV fans, and PSV has played some high-scoring matches. At the same time, Juventus has shown great defense. While their road xGA is at 6, the team has conceded only 4 goals away from home.
PSV scored 3 goals against Liverpool but their xG was only 1.34. Against Shakhtar, the team scored 3 goals with an xG of 2.78. That's a solid result but not the best opponent. PSV also had 4 goals against Girona with an xG of 2. The last 3 Champions League road games have gone under for Juventus and they have conceded just 1 time. Juventus road xGA stands at 6 and that's the 12th-best result among all teams.
PSV will be without Ricardo Pepi, Sergino Dest, Malik Tillman, Rick Karsdorp and Olivier Boscagli. As for Juventus, Dusan Vlahovic, Bremer, Juan Cabal and Arkadiusz Milik are all out of action for the long term, Pierre Kalulu and Douglas Luiz are still unavailable.
I'm backing Juventus in this one. The team also beat Inter over the weekend, and Juventus is in high spirits. They should be able to limit PSV threats on offense. If PSV tries to pressure the ball, Juventus will be able to go on counterattacks.
周三晚上,欧冠32强的最后4场比赛将进行,其中一场比赛将在埃因霍温和尤文图斯之间进行。第一场比赛后,尤文图斯2:1领先,我预测尤文图斯不会输掉这场比赛。
尤文图斯以2:1的比分开始了这个系列赛。公平地说,尤文图斯是一支更好的球队。球队创造了更多的进球机会(1.27比0.81)。虽然他们总共没有更多的射门,但他们有6次射正,这是一个巨大的差异。尤文图斯能够阻止埃因霍温的进攻。现在两队将在埃因霍温球迷面前比赛,而埃因霍温已经踢了一些得分很高的比赛。与此同时,尤文图斯也展示了强大的防守。虽然他们的客场平均胜率是6,但球队在客场只丢了4球。
埃因霍温对利物浦打进3球,但他们的xG值只有1.34。与矿工队的比赛中,球队攻入3球,xG值为2.78。这是一个稳定的结果,但不是最好的对手。埃因霍温在对阵赫罗纳的比赛中也有4个进球,xG为2。最近3场欧冠客场比赛尤文图斯都失败了,他们只丢了1球。尤文图斯客场xGA排名第6,在所有球队中排名第12。
埃因霍温将失去里卡多·佩皮、塞尔吉诺·戴斯特、马利克·蒂尔曼、里克·卡尔斯多普和奥利维尔·博斯卡利。至于尤文图斯,弗拉霍维奇、布雷默、卡巴尔和米利克都将长期缺阵,卡鲁卢和路易斯也将无法上场。
这次我支持尤文图斯。球队还在周末击败了国际米兰,尤文图斯士气高昂。他们应该能够在进攻端限制埃因霍温的威胁。如果埃因霍温试图压球,尤文图斯将能够进行反击。