On Thursday night, the playoffs in the Europa League will start and one of the games will be between USG and Ajax. In this game, I predict that Ajax won't lose and there will at least a stalemate after the 1st match.

During the League phase, USG had 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, a total of 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home, USG had 2 wins and 2 draws, a total of 5 goals scored and 3 conceded. USG managed to beat Nice at home and draw against Roma but they also drew against Bodo/Glimt and beat Braga despite having a twice lower xG rating. Overall, USG created an xG of 14.2, xGA was at 11.2 with a difference of 3.

Ajax had 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses during the League phase, with 16 goals scored and 8 conceded. On the road, Ajax had 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses, a total of 4 goals scored and 4 conceded. Despite having a better xG, Ajax drew on the road against Slavia Prague. It was followed by a commanding 3:0 win over Qarabag. After that, Ajax lost to Real Sociedad on the road (0:2) and they somehow lost to RFS in Riga despite having 68% ball control and much better xG. Overall, Ajax created an xG of 15.4, xGA was at 9.2 with a difference of 6.2.

USG will be without Ross Sykes due to suspension. As for Ajax, they will be missing Wout Weghorst, Youri Regeer, Owen Wijndal and Mika Godts.

While there are some roster concerns, I'm backing Ajax in this one. After the embarrassing loss to RFS, the team has won 3 games in a row, including matches over Feyenoord and Galatasaray. They are a very experienced team and they should start the series well.

周四晚上，欧联杯的季后赛将开始，其中一场比赛将在USG和阿贾克斯之间进行。在这场比赛中，我预测阿贾克斯不会输，第一场比赛后至少会有一个僵局。

在联赛阶段，USG取得了3胜2平3负的成绩，进8球丢8球。在主场，USG取得2胜2平，进5球丢3球。USG在主场击败了尼斯，战平了罗马，但他们也战平了博多/格里姆特，击败了布拉加，尽管他们的xG评级低了两倍。总体而言，USG创造的xG为14.2，xGA为11.2，相差3。

阿贾克斯在联赛阶段取得了4胜1平3负的成绩，进16球丢8球。客场，阿贾克斯1胜1平2负，共进4球失4球。尽管拥有更好的xG，阿贾克斯还是在客场战平了布拉格斯拉维亚。随后以3:0大胜卡拉巴格。在那之后，阿贾克斯客场输给了皇家社会（0:2），他们莫名其妙地在里加输给了RFS，尽管他们有68%的控球权和更好的xG。总的来说，Ajax创建的xG为15.4，xGA为9.2，两者相差6.2。

罗斯·赛克斯将因停赛被禁赛。至于阿贾克斯，他们将失去韦霍斯特，尤里·雷吉尔，欧文·维金达尔和米卡·戈茨。

虽然有一些阵容问题，但我支持阿贾克斯。在尴尬地输给RFS之后，球队已经取得了3连胜，包括对费耶诺德和加拉塔萨雷的比赛。他们是一支经验丰富的球队，他们应该在这个系列赛中开局不错。