CHAMPIONS LEAGUE! 85% WINS! 欧冠 凯尔特人VS拜仁
2025-02-12

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

On Wednesday night, the next 4 Champions League playoff games will happen and one of them will be between Celtic and Bayern. In this game, I predict Bayern's win with at least a 2-goal margin.

During the League phase, Celtic had 3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses and a total of 12 points. At home, Celtic had 3 wins and 1 draw, 10 goals scored and 3 conceded. At the same time, wins were against Slovan (5:1), RB Leipzig (3:1) and Young Boys (1:0) while the draw was against Club Brugge. It's fair to say that these weren't the toughest opponents at home. Celtic created an xG of 12 in the League phase, xGA was at 13.3 with a difference of -1.3.

Bayern had 5 wins and 3 draws during the League phase, with a total of 15 points. On the road, Bayern had 1 win and 3 losses, a total of 6 goals scored and 9 conceded. Bayern lost on the road to Aston Villa (0:1 but Bayern had a much better xG), Barcelona (1:4) and Feyenoord (0:3 but Bayern had a much better xG) while the only win was over Shakhtar (5:1). All the losses were against teams that are higher in standings than Celtic and Bayern had many goal-scoring opportunities which are showed by xG. Overall, Bayern created an xG of 21.1, xGA is at 8.0 with a difference of 13.9.

Celtic will be without Jota, Paulo Bernardo and James Forrest while Bayern will miss Joao Palhinha, Serge Gnabry and Alphonso Davies.

I'm backing Bayern in this one. They are a much better team and xG stats show that. Celtic good results at home are a little bit misleading, and Bayern's impressive offense should take care of the business. Bayern should be able to start the playoffs with a commanding win.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周三晚上,接下来的4场欧冠季后赛将进行,其中一场将在凯尔特人和拜仁之间进行。在这场比赛中,我预测拜仁将以至少2球的优势获胜。

在联赛阶段,凯尔特人取得了3胜3平2负的成绩,总共得到了12分。在主场,凯尔特人3胜1平,进10球失3球。与此同时,胜利分别是对阵斯洛文尼亚(5:1)、莱比锡RB(3:1)和年轻男孩(1:0),平局是对阵布鲁日俱乐部。公平地说,他们并不是在主场最难对付的对手。凯尔特人在联赛阶段创造了12的xG, xGA为13.3,差值为-1.3。

拜仁在联赛阶段取得了5胜3平的成绩,总积分为15分。在客场,拜仁1胜3负,进6球丢9球。拜仁在客场输给了阿斯顿维拉(0:1,但拜仁有更好的xG),巴塞罗那(1:4)和费耶诺德(0:3,但拜仁有更好的xG),而唯一的胜利是对矿工(5:1)。所有的输球都是对阵排名比凯尔特人高的球队,拜仁有很多进球机会,这一点可以从xG身上看出来。总的来说,拜仁创造了21.1的xG, xGA是8.0,相差13.9。

凯尔特人将失去约塔、保罗·贝尔纳多和詹姆斯·福雷斯特,而拜仁将失去若奥·帕尔欣哈、塞尔日·格纳布里和阿方索·戴维斯。

这次我支持拜仁。他们是一支更好的球队,xG的数据可以证明这一点。凯尔特人在主场的好成绩有点误导人,拜仁令人印象深刻的进攻应该会照顾到这一点。拜仁应该能够以一场压倒性的胜利开始季后赛。

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