This won’t be an easy game for Alavés.

Since they unexpectedly changed their coach—despite avoiding relegation last season and having full support from the players—they have shown no real improvement. In fact, they have won just one game in the last three months: a 3-1 victory over Betis, which came after a red card for the hosts in the 55th minute when the score was 1-1, making things significantly easier for them.

Alavés are struggling to maintain a high level for a full 90 minutes, often making defensive errors that lead to conceding goals. While they have improved slightly in attack—mainly thanks to striker K. García, who has scored six goals in his last seven games (though clearly overperforming)—they have been unable to keep a clean sheet. This defensive vulnerability is a major issue against a solid side like Getafe, who have recorded the third-most clean sheets in La Liga (7), two more than Barcelona, for example.

At home, Alavés have also been far from their usual strength, winning just three of their 10 home matches this season.

On the other hand, Getafe are a tough, well-organized team that thrives in matches against direct relegation rivals. They have managed to avoid defeat against all teams below them in the table. Despite having one of the weakest squads in the league on paper, they remain highly competitive under one of Spain’s best coaches, who ensures they are disciplined defensively and incredibly frustrating for opponents to break down.

Defensively, they have been outstanding, conceding only 17 goals—fewer than Real Madrid or Barcelona. Only Atlético Madrid (14) has conceded fewer in La Liga. However, their attacking struggles are evident, with just 17 goals scored, making them the second-worst offense in the league, ahead of only bottom-placed Valladolid.

A key boost for Getafe is the return of their best player, Borja Mayoral, after a long injury layoff. They also made solid signings in the transfer window, bringing in Juanmi, Bernat, and Terrats, which not only improves their squad quality but also provides much-needed depth.

In midweek, Getafe suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat to Atlético Madrid in the Copa del Rey, though they rotated heavily and had little interest in the competition. However, I expect that loss to serve as extra motivation for them in this match.

The reverse fixture ended 2-0 in favor of Getafe, and I expect Alavés to be somewhat nervous here, given their position in the relegation zone—two points from safety—and the pressure of playing at home, needing a win. This plays right into Getafe’s hands. They will slow the tempo, disrupt the game with fouls, and wait patiently for counterattacking opportunities while maintaining a solid defensive structure.

I expect a low-scoring, slow-paced match where Getafe will feel much more comfortable. In terms of quality, this is a 50-50 game, but tactically and in terms of match dynamics, Getafe has a clear advantage.

这对alav<s:1>人来说不是一场轻松的游戏。

自从他们出人意料地换了教练之后——尽管上赛季保级并且得到了球员们的全力支持——他们并没有表现出真正的进步。事实上，在过去的三个月里，他们只赢了一场比赛：3-1战胜贝蒂斯，在比分为1-1的第55分钟，主队得到了一张红牌，这让他们的比赛变得轻松了很多。

在90分钟的比赛中，阿根廷人很难保持高水平，经常出现防守失误，导致失球。虽然他们在进攻端略有改善——主要归功于前锋K. García，他在最近7场比赛中打进6球（尽管明显表现超群）——但他们未能保持零封。面对像赫塔菲这样实力雄厚的球队，这种防守上的脆弱性是一个主要问题，赫塔菲在西甲联赛中有7次零封，比巴塞罗那多两次。

在主场，阿拉法特的表现也远没有达到他们平时的水平，本赛季他们在主场的10场比赛中只赢了3场。

另一方面，赫塔菲是一支强硬的，组织良好的球队，在对阵直接降级对手的比赛中表现出色。他们成功地避免了输给积分榜上所有低于他们的球队。尽管他们是联赛中最弱的球队之一，但在西班牙最好的教练之一的带领下，他们仍然具有很强的竞争力，他确保他们在防守上纪律严明，让对手难以置信地崩溃。

防守方面，他们表现出色，只丢了17个球，比皇马和巴萨还少。只有马德里航空公司（14）在西甲联赛中失球比他们少。然而，他们的进攻困难是显而易见的，只有17个进球，使他们成为联盟第二差的进攻，仅次于垫底的巴利亚多利德。

赫塔菲最好的球员博尔哈·马约拉尔在长期受伤后回归，这对赫塔菲来说是一个关键的推动。他们还在转会窗口签下了可靠的球员，引进了胡安米、伯纳特和泰拉茨，这不仅提高了球队的实力，而且提供了急需的深度。

周中，赫塔菲在国王杯比赛中0 - 5惨败给马德里航空公司，尽管他们轮换频繁，对比赛兴趣不大。然而，我希望这场失利能成为他们在这场比赛中的额外动力。

相反的比赛以2比0的比分结束，赫塔菲获胜，我想阿拉维斯在这里会有些紧张，因为他们处于降级区——离安全区只有2分——而且在主场比赛的压力很大，需要一场胜利。这正中赫塔菲的下怀。他们会放慢节奏，用犯规扰乱比赛，耐心等待反击机会，同时保持稳固的防守结构。

我期待一场进球少，节奏慢的比赛，赫塔菲会感觉舒服得多。就质量而言，这是一场五五开的比赛，但就战术和比赛动态而言，赫塔菲有明显的优势。