On Saturday night, 3 games in the Italian Serie A are going to happen and one of the matches will be between Verona and Atalanta. After 23 games, Verona has 7 wins, 2 draws, 14 losses, a total of 23 points and 13th place while Atalanta has 14 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses, a total of 47 points and 3rd place. In this game, I predict Atalanta's win.
Verona has 1 win and 1 draw in the last 2 games. Last week, they beat Monza on the road but the winning goal was an own goal and Verona had only 34% ball control. Before that, Verona drew on the road against Venezia 1:1 but they had a better xG rating so a win could have been more fairer outcome. Verona has struggled a lot at home where they have 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 games. Yes, most of the opponents have been very good but Atalanta is also one of the best teams. Overall, Verona has 3 wins and 1 draw in 11 home games, a total of 11 goals scored and 25 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 11.5 at home, xGA is at 16 with a difference of -4.5.
Atalanta has 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 3 games. In the Champions League, Atalanta drew on the road against Barcelona so that's a good outcome. At home, Atalanta dominated against Torino, missed a penalty in the 2nd half and drew 1:1. In the Italian Cup, the team lost to Bologna 0:1 at home. Atalanta has been a very good road team with 7 wins and 3 draws in 12 games, scored a total of 20 goals and conceded 10. Atalanta has generated an xG of 20, xGA is at 12.3 with a difference of 7.7.
Verona will be without Reda Belahyane and Suat Serdar, as well as Ondrej Duda who will serve a suspension. Atalanta is without Giorgio Scalvini and Gianluca Scamacca for the rest of the season, and they will also be missing Sead Kolasinac, Ademola Lookman, and first-choice goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi.
While they have the Champions League next week, Atalanta is just 5 points above the 5th place so 3 points against such team as Verona is very necessary. Atalanta won the 1st meeting of the season 6:1. While I don't expect the same difference, Atalanta should get the job done as they are a better team overall.
周六晚上,意甲将进行三场比赛,其中一场是维罗纳和亚特兰大之间的比赛。经过23场比赛,维罗纳7胜2平14负,积23分排名第13,亚特兰大14胜5平4负,积47分排名第3。在这场比赛中,我预测亚特兰大会赢。
维罗纳最近2场比赛1胜1平。上周,他们在客场击败蒙扎,但制胜球是一个乌龙球,维罗纳只有34%的控球权。在此之前,维罗纳在客场1:1战平了威尼斯,但他们有更好的xG评级,所以一场胜利可能会更公平。维罗纳在主场打得很艰难,最近5场比赛1平4负。是的,大多数对手都很出色,但亚特兰大也是最好的球队之一。总的来说,维罗纳在11场主场比赛中取得了3胜1平的成绩,共进11球失25球。这支球队在主场的xG值为11.5,xGA值为16,两者之差为-4.5。
亚特兰大最近3场比赛2平1负。在冠军联赛中,亚特兰大客场战平了巴塞罗那,这是一个很好的结果。在主场,亚特兰大在对阵都灵的比赛中占据了优势,但在下半场错失了一个点球,最终1:1战平。在意大利杯上,球队在主场0:1输给了博洛尼亚。亚特兰大是一支非常出色的客场球队,在12场比赛中取得了7胜3平,进了20球丢了10球。亚特兰大的xG值为20,xGA值为12.3,差值为7.7。
维罗纳将失去贝拉希亚尼和塞尔达尔,以及将停赛的杜达。亚特兰大在本赛季剩下的时间里将失去乔治·斯卡尔维尼和吉安卢卡·斯卡马卡,他们也将失去塞德·科拉西纳茨、阿德莫拉·卢克曼和第一门将马尔科·卡尼塞基。
虽然亚特兰大下周要参加欧冠,但他们只比第五名多5分,所以在对阵维罗纳这样的球队时得到3分是非常必要的。亚特兰大队以6:1赢得了本赛季的第一场比赛。虽然我不期望同样的差异,但亚特兰大应该完成任务,因为他们整体上是一支更好的球队。