The best Champions League bet for today!
2021-12-07

Przem

外籍分析师

欧冠

12/08 01:45

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Manchester City have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

First match between both teams finished with big Citizens 6:3 win. I expecting another goals festival today. In overall City have excellent record against German teams as they won 13 of last 14 matches against them in Champions League. On the other hand Leipzig lost last three matches in a row against English teams.

Obviously, City already have guaranteed first place in group and qualification into next round, but I can't image they will tank this match or so. Guardiola team have very long, high-quality bench and for sure many second-choice players will wants to show up today. Defender Zinchenko said: ''Everyone is fighting, working hard and you have to give everything so in the end, you can say to yourself: ‘I have done my best, I have given 100%.’ If you deserve it, you play and if not, you didn’t do enough. Of course. It's so important to have these kind of players. We have such a long squad; everyone is working hard, waiting for his chance to show his best things.''Currently City have only two players unavailable - Ferran Torres and Gabriel Jesus. On press conference Guardiola confirmed his the best player Kevin De Bruyne will play in today's match and for sure he will make huge troubles for RBL defensive formation. Atmosphere in teamsl is good as they are leaders in Premier League and for sure they wants to go with momentum today.

RBL is in very bad state at the moment. Because of restrictions today they will play without supporters on empty stadium, without any shadow of doubt it's huge disadvantage and this is more like match on neutral ground. In addition to that they are without a coach - Jesse Marsch lost his position after third straight loss in Bundesliga and new coach is not selected yet. Hosts have big squad problems before today's match, they have to play without their 4 key players: striker Poulsen, offensive midfielder Olmo, central midfielder Haidara and central defender Orban. This is huge blow for the team and for sure that will have bad impact on their performance today.

According to the expected goals scored model, Manchester City have the best offensive power in whole Champions League so far with 3.2 expected goals scored per game. City scored more than one goal in last 7 matches in a row in all competitions and I believe they are able to score more than one goal today as well. RBL defensive formation don't have any stability at the moment-they conceded at least one goal in 11 of last 13 matches in all competitions and more than one in 3 of last 4 matches. At Friday they lost 1:2 on away against Union in Bundesliga and Union had 3.24 expected goals scored in that game.

In theses circumstances City looks like very good bet, they are simply much better team, in much better shape.


在我看来,曼城有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得胜利。

两队首场比赛以曼城6:3取胜告终。我期待今天的另一场进球大战。总体而言,曼城对阵德国球队的战绩非常出色,他们在过去的 14 场欧冠比赛中赢了 13 场。另一方面,莱比锡连续三场输给英格兰球队。

显然,曼城已经保证了小组第一和进入下一轮的资格,但我无法想象他们会在这场比赛中陷入困境。瓜迪奥拉队拥有非常出色的替补球员,今天肯定会有很多第二选择的球员想要出场。后卫津琴科说:“每个人都在战斗,努力工作,你必须付出一切,所以最后,你可以对自己说:‘我已经尽力了,我已经付出了 100%。’如果你应得的,你就上场如果没有,你做得还不够。当然。拥有这样的球员非常重要。我们有这么长的阵容;每个人都在努力工作,等待着他展示自己最好的东西的机会。目前曼城只有两名球员无法出场——费兰·托雷斯和加布里埃尔·赫苏斯。在新闻发布会上,瓜迪奥拉确认了他最好的球员凯文·德布劳内将在今天的比赛中出场,他肯定会给莱比锡的防守阵型带来巨大的麻烦。

球队的气氛很好,因为他们是英超联赛的领头羊,当然他们今天想要保持势头。

莱比锡目前处于非常糟糕的状态。由于今天的限制,他们将空场的情况下比赛,毫无疑问,这是一个巨大的劣势,这更像是在中立场地比赛。除此之外,他们没有主教练 - 杰西马什在德甲连续第三场失利后失去了位置,新教练尚未选择。主队在今天的比赛前有很大的阵容问题,他们缺少 4 名关键球员的情况下比赛:前锋波尔森、进攻型中场奥尔莫、中场海达拉和中后卫欧尔班。这对球队来说是巨大的打击,并且肯定会对他们今天的表现产生不利影响。

根据预期进球数模型,曼城目前在整个欧冠联赛中的进攻能力最强,场均进球数为3.2。在过去的 7 场比赛中,曼城在所有比赛中连续 7 场比赛打进一球以上,我相信他们今天也能够打进一球以上。

莱比锡的防守并没有任何稳定性——他们在所有比赛的最后13场比赛中有11场至少失一球,最近4场比赛中有3场以上失球。周五他们在德甲客场1:2输给了柏林联合,柏林联合在那场比赛中的预期进球数为3.24。

在这种情况下,曼城看起来是一个很好的选择,他们是更好的球队,状态更好。

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