If Monaco is able to win today's match? 摩纳哥能够取胜吗?
2021-01-15

Przem

外籍分析师

法甲

01/16 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Montpellier have really good chances to make at least one point in this match up.

Montpellier currently have really good streak against Monaco. They lost only once in last 7 Ligue matches against them. In last match between both teams at this stadium Montpellier made comfortable win 3:1.

Montpellier coming for today's with the strongest possible line up, they don't have any important absences. On the other hand Monaco today is without key central midfielder Fabregas (1 goal and 2 assists in 10 matches) and talented central midfielder Luis (6 matches).

In overall Montpellier is very solid Ligue 1 team, they finished last 3 seasons in a row inside top10. They plays good season now as well - 8th place after 19 rounds. They lost 4 of last 11 league matche, but they played against strong teams like Marseille, Lille or Paris. Montpellier don't have problems with goalscoring, they scored at least one goal in 16 of 19 league matches so far, 9 times they scored more than one goal. They are extremely solid at home - they went unbeaten in 60 of last 81 home league matches. In current season they were able to beat at home very strong Lyon 2:1(leader of the table).

I don't see Monaco as a so big favorite of this match. They have only 5 points more in the table than Montpellier. Of course Monaco is superb team at home, but they plays on much lower level when they have to play on away. Obviously, Monaco won last two matches in a row and I believe we see today overreaction in odds because of that, but I still don't trust for them. Monaco didn't won 3 away matches in a row since 2017. In current season Monaco lost 5 of 9 away matches. For example - they lost on away against Brest (relegation zone). They had a lot of problems in last years with away matches - since season 2018/2019 Monaco played 42 away league matches and they recorded only 11 wins. In current season Monaco conceded 14 goals in 9 away matches, they conceded at least one goal in 7 of last 8 away matches. I believe Monaco central defenders Maripan & Badiashile will have a lot problems today with Montpellier attacking duo - Laborde (6 goals and 5 assists) & Delort (8 goals and 6 assists).

I believe these odds are really incorrect and for me is hard to see Monaco as a so big favorite on away against very solid at home Montpellier. Hosts should be able to score at least one goal and finish today's match with at least one point.

在我看来,蒙彼利埃在这场比赛中有很好的机会至少进一分。

蒙彼利埃目前在对摩纳哥的比赛中表现不错。在最近的7场比赛中,他们只输了一场。在上一场在这个体育场举行的两队比赛中,蒙彼利埃以3:1轻松获胜。

蒙彼利埃带着最强的阵容来参加今天的比赛,他们没有任何重要的缺阵。另一方面,今天的摩纳哥缺少了核心中场法布雷加斯(10场比赛1球2助攻)和天才中场路易斯(6场比赛)。

总的来说,蒙彼利埃是一支非常稳固的法甲球队,他们在过去的三个赛季中连续进入前10名。他们现在打得也不错,19轮之后排名第八。他们在最近的11场联赛中输了4场,但他们的对手是像马赛、里尔或巴黎这样的强队。蒙彼利埃在进球方面没有问题,到目前为止,他们在19场联赛中有16场至少进了一个球,有9次进球超过一个。他们在主场非常稳固——他们在最近81场主场比赛中有60场保持不败。本赛季他们在主场2:1击败了里昂(积分榜第一)。

我不认为摩纳哥会是这场比赛的大热门。他们在积分榜上只比蒙彼利埃多5分。当然,摩纳哥在主场是一支极好的球队,但他们在客场比赛时的水平要低得多。很明显,摩纳哥赢得了最后两场比赛,我相信我们今天看到了过度的反应,因为这一点,但我仍然不相信他们。自2017年以来,摩纳哥没有连续赢过3场客场比赛。在本赛季的9场客场比赛中,摩纳哥输掉了5场。例如,他们在客场输给了布雷斯特(降级区)。他们在去年的客场比赛中遇到了很多问题——自2018 - 2019赛季以来,摩纳哥在客场踢了42场比赛,他们只取得了11场胜利。本赛季,摩纳哥在9场客场比赛中丢了14个球,在最近8场客场比赛中有7场至少丢了一个球。我相信摩纳哥的中卫马里潘和巴迪阿什勒今天会遇到很多麻烦,因为蒙皮利埃的攻击型二人组——拉博德(6球5助攻)和德洛特(8球6助攻)。

对我来说,很难看到摩纳哥在客场对阵非常稳固的蒙彼利埃的比赛中有如此大的胜算。蒙彼利埃应该至少能进一个球,至少能够在本场比赛中保持不败。

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