For me it's the best bet for Monday!
2021-12-06

Przem

外籍分析师

意甲

12/07 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Empoli have really good chances to avoid loss today. Empoli +0 AH looks like the best bet from Monday matches for me.

Empoli coming for this game with the strongest possible line up, they don't have any absences. On the other hand Udinese have huge squad problems-today they will play without 5 first team players: two key defenders Becao (15 matches, played in last round) and Molina (15 matches, played in last round) and three key midfielders Larsen (11 matches), Pereyra (13 matches) and Walace (15 matches, second-best player according to the ratings, played in last round). It's a huge blow for the guests and for sure that will have very bad impact on their performance today.

Is extremely hard to trust for Udinese. Since middle of September they played 12 Serie A matches and they recorded only one win. I saw their last match against Lazio (4:4, they luckily avoided loss). Defensive formation don't have any stability at the moment and problem should be even bigger today as they have so depleted squad at the back. Udinese have only 40.9% average ball possession in current season - the lowest figure in whole league. Today they are without their key central midfielder so Empoli should be able to control middle zone without too many problems.

Hosts are in much better form without any shadow of doubt. They didn't lost in 5 of last 7 Serie A matches. In last home match they won 2:1 against strong Fiorentina (5th place). In last round they played on away against Torino and they made one point after good match. Morale in team should be good and they wants to go with momentum today.

Empoli for sure have good mental advantage as they won last two home matches against Udinese. In addition to that Udinese lost last 7 away matches in a row against Tuscan teams (only 4 goals scored and conceded 13).

Udinese failed to win in last 6 Serie A away matches in a row. In today's circumstances is hard to see 3 points for them. I see bigger chances for Empoli than bookies wants to suggest for us in odds.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

恩波利带着最强的阵容来参加这场比赛,他们没有任何缺阵。另一方面,乌迪内斯有很大的阵容问题——今天他们将缺少5名一线队球员:贝考(上轮15场)和莫利纳(上轮15场)两名主力后卫,拉尔森(11场)、佩雷拉(13场)和华莱士(上轮15场,排名第二)三名主力中场球员。这对客人来说是一个巨大的打击,肯定会对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。

乌迪内斯是很难信任的。自9月中旬以来,他们打了12场意甲比赛,只赢了一场。我看了他们与拉齐奥的最后一场比赛(4:4,他们幸运地避免了输球)。现在的防守阵型没有任何稳定性,今天的问题会更大,因为他们的后防线已经很弱了。乌迪内斯本赛季平均控球率只有40.9%,是全联盟最低的。今天他们失去了他们的核心中场,所以恩波利应该能够很好地控制中场。

毫无疑问,宿主的状态要好得多。在最近的7场意甲比赛中,他们有5场没有输球。在上一场主场比赛中,他们2:1战胜强大的佛罗伦萨(第五名)。在上一轮他们客场对阵都灵,他们在一场精彩的比赛后得了一分。团队的士气应该很好,他们今天想要保持干劲。

恩波利肯定有很好的心理优势,因为他们赢了上两场主场对乌迪内斯的比赛。此外,乌迪内斯在最近7场客场比赛中输给了托斯卡纳队(只有4个进球和13个失球)。

乌迪内斯连续6场意甲客场失利。在今天的情况下,很难看到他们的3分。我认为恩波利的胜算实际给我们的赔率要大。

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