What will happen at King Power Stadium? 欧联杯莱斯特城VS华沙军团
2021-11-25

Przem

外籍分析师

欧罗巴

11/26 04:00

已完赛

莱切斯特城
1:0
华沙军团
解读理由:

In my opinion Leicester is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2/3 goals margin.

First match between both teams finished with Legia 1:0 home win, but that wasn't fully deserved result. Expected goals scored for Legia 1.56, for Leicester 1.87.

Situation in group is really complicated. First Napoli (7 points) is only 3 points above 4th Spartak. Leicester is on third position, one point behind Legia. Without any shadow of doubt this is must win game for hosts.

Obviously, there is huge difference between both clubs in terms of quality, ambitions and potential. Leicester is solid Premier League team, Legia is only club from poor Polish league. If You look at created and missed chances in Europa League (expected goals difference), according to that statistic Leicester is fifth best team from whole competition, on the other hand Legia is second-worst from all 32 teams.. Leicestershire is only 12th in Premier League, but only 5 points behind top5. Legia after 13 rounds in Ekstraklasa is in relegation zone..

I trust Leicester motivation here. They are without a win in 5 consecutive matches and now they have perfect opportunity to bounce back front of home crowd. Europa League is not meaningless competition - it's a European Cup at the end of the day and winner will get guaranteed place in next Champions League edition. I'm sure Brendan Rodgers team is fully pumped to get 3 points today and be one step closer to the next round.

Since home win against Leicester, Legia lost 8 of 9 matches. They were able to win only against amateur team in Polish Cup. They lost 7 league matches in a row, this is their worst streak in 85 years. No big hopes for changes at the moment. Atmosphere in club is very bad. There is lack of chemistry and self-belief. I saw their last match on away against average Gornik Zabrze and after first half Legia had 0 shots (!!!) and conceded two goals. They have big squad problems because many key players are unavailable like team captain and first goalkeeper Boruc, key defender Nawrocki or two most creative midfielders Josue and Kapustka (former Leicester player).

Leicester have as well advantage in fitness department because they played last match at Saturday at home against Chelsea. They don't had to travel at all in last days. Legia played last match at Sunday on away against Gornik.

I believe Leicester will use very strong line up today to get a important win. They will be closer to the knockout stage and win today as well will give them a confidence and they will be able to go with momentum in upcoming matches.

Leicester have all required tools to make routine win today.


在我看来,莱斯特城显然是这场比赛的热门,他们应该能够以至少 2到3 球的优势轻松取胜。

两队的首场比赛以莱吉亚 1:0 主场取胜告终,但这并不是正常的结果。

华沙的预期进球数只有1.56,莱斯特城有1.87 的预期进球数。 小组的情况真的很复杂。第一名那不勒斯(7分)仅比第四名斯巴达克高3分。莱斯特排名第三,落后莱吉亚一分。毫无疑问,这是主场必须赢得的比赛。

显然,两队在实力、野心和潜力方面存在巨大差异。莱斯特是一支实力雄厚的英超球队,华沙莱吉亚是唯一一支来自波兰联赛的俱乐部。看看欧罗巴联赛中创造的和错失的机会(预期进球差),根据该统计数据,莱斯特是整个比赛中最好的球队,排名第五,另一方面,莱吉亚在所有 32 支球队中排名倒数第二。莱斯特在联赛中仅排名第 12,但只落后于前五名5分。华沙在联赛中进行了 13 轮比赛后处于降级区。

我相信莱斯特的动力。他们连续5场比赛没有获胜,现在他们有绝佳的机会在主场观众面前反弹。欧罗巴联赛不是毫无意义的比赛 - 获胜者将确保在下一届欧洲冠军联赛中获得一席之地。我相信布伦丹罗杰斯队今天会全力以赴得到 3 分,并且离下一轮更近了一步。

自从主场战胜莱斯特后,华沙莱吉亚在 9 场比赛中输掉了 8 场。他们只能在波兰杯中战胜业余级别的球队。连续7场联赛失利,这是他们85年来的最差纪录。目前他们反弹似乎没有太大的希望。俱乐部的气氛非常糟糕。缺乏化学反应和自信。他们最后一场比赛是在客场对阵平均水平的 Gornik Zabrze,上半场后,Legia 竟然 0 次射门(!!!)并丢了两个球。他们有很大的阵容问题,因为很多关键球员无法出场,比如队长和第一门将博鲁茨、关键后卫纳罗基以及两名最具创造力的中场球员约苏埃和卡普斯特卡(前莱斯特球员)。

莱斯特城在体能方面有优势,因为他们是在周六在主场对阵切尔西。在过去的几场比赛,他们没有客场的比赛。华沙在周日客场对阵戈尔尼克。

我相信莱斯特城今天会使用非常强大的阵容来取得重要的胜利。他们将更接近淘汰赛阶段,今天获胜也将给他们信心,他们将能够在即将到来的比赛中保持势头。

预测莱斯特城至少净胜2球。

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