4th WINNER in a row?
2021-11-24

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧冠

11/25 04:00

已完赛

里斯本
1:0
多特蒙德
解读理由:

Sporting vs Dortmund

Sporting welcome visitors from Germany for this UEFA Champions League Round 5 clash with high stakes! Both teams have scored six points and have a genuine chance of qualifying for the playoff rounds as the second best team in this group. Ajax Amsterdam, now with 12 points, from the Netherlands will win the group. Let's take a closer look at today's match..

First of all I must say I perhaps slightly under-rated Sporting before this year's Champions League and Liga Portugal started and whilst they do not have a stunning record in the Champions League - two wins and two losses I have liked the way they have played in most matches! In their domestic league they have been excellent and have scored 29 points so far without losing a match. Porto have a similarly good record - also 29 points in the bank - Sporting are currently in second place. Both teams have recorded nine wins and two draws so far. Porto have a better goal difference but Sporting's number of goals allowed - only four - which proves how good their defense has been.. They did suffer a clear loss 1-5 to Ajax and there is now denying that it was not a good match from the Portuguese team and Ajax were clearly better but the 1-5 still flatters the Dutch club. Ball possession was almost 50-50% and Sporting even recorded more attacks.. Ajax also had only eight shots on goal so they were extremely effective in that match! I suspect that heavy loss still affects the odds here.. It was just one match and I never give too much emphasis on just one game. We must also remember that Ajax are an extremely good team and did beat Dortmund 3-1 in Germany - and had 64% ball possession and more than double the amount of both attacks and dangerous attacks compared to Dortmund. In Amsterdam Ajax crushed the Germans 4-0!

Dortmund did beat Sporting in late September 1-0 at home. I just watched the match again and it was indeed a pretty balanced match overall.. The hosts had 55% ball possession but Sporting even had even more scoring attempts - seven whereas Dortmund had six. In Lisbon, with a substantial home advantage, I see the hosts as of course not as huge but still as solid favorites. Dortmund have a very bad situation with their squad at the moment.. Indeed they are very depleted as they will still be without several players for this trip to Portugal. Erling Braut Haaland, their best player and a true world-class striker is still out due to a hip injury. This is a huge loss for the German club! Perhaps even bigger than the betting marker realizes.. Marcel Schmelzer has a knee injury. Nico Schulz, Mateu Morey and Dan-Axel Zagadou have also been all ruled out. Three players - Giovanni Reyna, Marius Wolf and Youssoufa Moukoko are doubtful at the time of writing this. Thorgan Hazard was tested positive for COVID-19 and is forced to stay in quarantine. Veteran defender Mats Hummels is suspended. Malen is expected to lead the line again as Haaland is out. Reus and Brandt will probably join him in offense. Good players but simply can't replace Haaland - not even close! The hosts will be without Coates and Tomas.

To sum up, the hosts have a very good chance to take at least a draw here. Sporting +1 is my pick for my growing fan-base!


葡萄牙体育迎战来自德国的多特,这是欧洲冠军联赛第 5 轮比赛!两支球队都得到了 6 分,并有真正的机会作为本组第二好的球队晋级季后赛。来自荷兰的阿贾克斯阿姆斯特丹目前积 12 分,将赢得小组赛冠军。让我们仔细看看今天的比赛..

首先,我必须说,在今年的欧冠和葡萄牙联赛开始之前,我可能稍微低估了葡萄牙体育,虽然他们在欧冠中的战绩并不惊人——两胜两负我喜欢他们踢球的方式大多数比赛!在他们的国内联赛中,他们表现出色,迄今为止没有输过一场比赛,得到了29分。波尔图也有类似的好记录——在银行也有 29 分——葡萄牙体育目前排名第二。到目前为止,两支球队都取得了9胜2平的成绩。波尔图有更好的净胜球,但葡萄牙体育的进球数 - 只有四个 -这证明了他们的防守有多好..他们确实以 1-5 输给了阿贾克斯,现在否认这不是葡萄牙队的一场好比赛,阿贾克斯显然更好,但 1-5 仍然让阿贾克斯受宠若惊荷兰俱乐部。控球率几乎达到了 50-50%,而葡萄牙体育甚至记录了更多的进攻。阿贾克斯也只有 8 次射门,所以他们在那场比赛中非常有效!我怀疑重大损失仍然会影响这里的赔率..这只是一场比赛,我从不过多强调只有一场比赛。我们还必须记住,阿贾克斯是一支非常优秀的球队,在德国队确实以 3-1 击败了多特蒙德——与多特蒙德相比,他拥有 64% 的控球率和两倍以上的进攻和危险进攻。在阿姆斯特丹阿贾克斯以 4-0 击败德国人!

多特蒙德在 9 月下旬在主场以 1-0 击败了葡萄牙体育。我刚刚再次观看了比赛,总体而言确实是一场非常平衡的比赛。 主队拥有 55% 的控球率,但葡萄牙体育甚至拥有更多的得分尝试——七次,而多特蒙德有六次。在里斯本,拥有巨大的主场优势,我认为东道主当然不是那么庞大,但仍然是坚实的最爱。多特蒙德目前的球队情况非常糟糕。事实上,他们非常疲惫,因为这次葡萄牙之行他们仍然没有几名球员。 Erling Braut Haaland,他们最好的球员和真正的世界级前锋,由于髋部受伤仍然缺阵。这对德国俱乐部来说是一个巨大的损失!也许甚至比投注标记所意识到的还要大.. Marcel Schmelzer 膝盖受伤。 Nico Schulz、Mateu Morey 和 Dan-Axel Zagadou 也都被排除在外。在撰写本文时,三名球员 - Giovanni Reyna、Marius Wolf 和 Youssoufa Moukoko 尚存疑虑。 Thorgan Hazard 的 新冠检测呈阳性,并被迫隔离。老将后卫马茨·胡梅尔斯被停赛。随着哈兰德缺阵,马伦有望再次领先。雷乌斯和布兰特可能会加入他的行列罪行。优秀的球员,但根本无法取代哈兰德 - 甚至接近!东道主将没有科茨和托马斯。

综上所述,葡萄牙体育至少可以获得一分。

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