For me it's the best bet for Wednesday!
2021-11-24

Przem

外籍分析师

欧冠

11/25 04:00

已完赛

里斯本
1:0
多特蒙德
解读理由:

In my opinion Sporting have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

First match between both teams finished with Borussia 1:0 home win, but that was very lucky win: expected goals scored for Borussia 0.28, for Sporting 0.36.

Since that game Sporting is in red hot form. They recorded 9 wins in a row in all competitions and they have all required tools to continue that streak today. What is the most important-they don't have any important absences before today's match. Freshness as well should be on their side as they played last match 6 days ago at home in Cup. They don't have to travel anywhere. In addition to that, not too many Sporting players were involved in National teams matches. Team is in good form, fresh, fully prepared and focused for today's match.

On the other hand Borussia still have big squad problems. Their best player and best scorer Haaland is still unavailable same as Reyna, key winger Hazard had positive test result and he will not play. Borussia don't have too many options upfront at the moment - only Reus is in good form, but he is 32 years old already. Defensive formation as well looks very unstable for me. Team captain and key central defender Hummels is suspended and this is huge blow. Since match against Sporting, they conceded at least one goal in 7 of 9 matches.

Borussia have 2 days less to recover than Sporting because they played their last match at Saturday. They won 2:1 against Stuttgart at home, but that wasn't convincing at all. Players looked tired. Almost all Borussia first team players were involved in National team matches in previous week. Now they have less time to rest and they have to travel to Lisbon.

Sporting is very strong at home. They didn't lost any match at home in previous league season and they are still without loss in current season. On the other hand Borussia is much worse when have to play on away-in Bundesliga they lost 3 of 5 away matches so far, when they have perfect 7/7 record at home.

Freshness, home advantage, great form with mixture of big confidence should give at least one point for Sporting today front of home crowd.

在我看来,里斯本竞技真的很有机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

两队的第一场比赛以多特蒙德 1:0的主场胜利结束,但那是非常幸运的胜利:多特蒙德的预期进球为0.28,而里斯本竞技为0.36。

自从那次比赛以来,里斯本竞技就处于火热状态。他们在所有的比赛中都取得了9连胜,今天他们需要继续连胜。最重要的是,他们在今天比赛前没有任何重要的缺阵。球员状态更好,因为他们6天前在主场打了上一场比赛。他们不需要去任何地方。除此之外,参加国家队比赛的球员并不多。球队状态良好,精力充沛,准备充分,专注于今天的比赛。

另一方面,多特蒙德仍然有很大的阵容问题。他们最好的球员和得分手哈兰德和雷纳一样还不能上场,关键边锋阿扎尔的检测结果呈阳性,他将不能上场。目前,多特蒙德没有太多的选择——只有罗伊斯状态不错,但他已经32岁了。防守阵型在我看来也很不稳定。球队队长和关键的中后卫哈梅尔斯被禁赛,这是一个巨大的打击。自从与里斯本竞技的比赛以来,他们在9场比赛中有7场至少失球。

因为他们的最后一场比赛是在周六,所以他们的恢复时间比里斯本竞技少2天。他们在主场2:1战胜了斯图加特,但这一点都不令人信服。球员看起来很累。几乎所有的一队球员都参加了上周的国家队比赛。现在他们休息的时间更少了,他们不得不前往里斯本。

里斯本竞技在主场状态很好。他们在之前的联赛中没有在主场输过一场比赛,而且他们在本赛季仍然没有输过。另一方面,多特蒙德在客场比赛中表现得更糟,在德甲,他们目前5场客场比赛中输掉了3场,而他们在主场取得了7胜7负的完美战绩。

球员状态,主场优势,出色的状态,再加上十足的自信,在主场观众面前里斯本竞技应该能够得分。

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