Spanish Supercup semifinals. This is one-leag round so both teams will be looking for a victory in the regular time to avoid ET or penalties. Barcelona asian handicap -0.5 or -0.75 are my bets here.

Real Sociedad is in a really bad moment. Results lately have been terrible, winning only one of the last 13 official games played and losing 4 of the last 6. Physically they look tired, while their defence is in bad form conceding a lot of chances and goals.

They are a team who play great football, very offensive but leaving a lot of spaces at the back. Against strong sides they played good but weren’t able to achieve good results. Lost against Atlético Madrid, Sevilla or Barcelona in the last month, all deservedly.

In the previous game played in December, Barcelona played better than Real Sociedad, especially in the first half. And in this time Barcelona was at 50% of the current level, which is almost the best.

The Real Sociedad defence isn’t ready to stop Messi who is on fire right now, along with Griezmann and Dembele playing well too.

They will miss two key players in the midfield: Nacho Monreal and David Silva. Their absences are crucial because without them, I dont see Real Sociedad able to dominate the match.

Barcelona improved a lot in the last weeks. When they played (dominated and won 2:1) against Real Sociedad 1 month ago they were 8th in La Liga and were playing so bad. But now aree 3rd on table and their level is much better, 3 wins in a row, 6 wins and 2 draws in the last 8 games, and Messi seems unstoppable.

The attack of Barcelona right now is very strong, and I think they will find many chances to score goals here. On the other hand, the strikers of Real Sociedad are far from their best level.

This will be a great match, where both teams will try to dominate the match and have the possession. The team with more control in the midfield will have it easier as both sides have a football based in the domination. And here I see Barcelona above, as they have a better midfield and a a high effectiveness thanks to the quality of their strikers, especially Leo Messi who is almost at his best moment as said.

Physically I see above Barcelona, but also the quality is without any doubt in the catalonian side. The vasque team is far from their best level and I dont see them ready to avoid the defeat in this match.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

西班牙超级杯半决赛。这是一回合的比赛，所以两队都希望在常规时间内取得胜利，以避免加时或点球。

皇家社会正处于一个非常糟糕的时刻。最近的结果很糟糕，在过去的13场正式比赛中只赢了一场，在过去的6场比赛中输了4场。从身体上看，他们看起来很疲惫，而他们的防守状态很差，错失了很多机会和进球。他们非常有进攻性，但在后场留下了很多空间。面对强队，他们踢得很好，但没能取得好成绩。上个月输给了马德里竞技、塞维利亚或巴塞罗那，都是理所应当的。

在12月的前一场比赛中，巴萨表现得比皇家社会好，尤其是在上半场。在这段时间里，巴塞罗那的水平是目前水平的50%，这几乎是最好的。

皇家社会的后防还没有准备好阻止梅西，他现在状态很好，格里兹曼和登贝里也踢得很好。他们将失去两名中场关键球员:纳乔·蒙雷亚尔和大卫·席尔瓦。他们的缺席是至关重要的。

巴塞罗那在过去几周有了很大的进步。一个月前，他们在与皇家社会的比赛中占据了统治地位并以2:1获胜，他们在西甲联赛中排名第八，踢得非常糟糕。但是现在积分榜上已上升到第三，他们的水平也好多了，在过去的8场比赛中3连胜，6胜2平，梅西看起来不可阻挡。

巴萨现在的进攻非常强大，我认为他们会在这里找到很多进球的机会。另一方面，皇家社会的前锋还远没有达到他们的最佳水平。

这将是一场伟大的比赛，两队都将努力控制比赛并控球。在中场有更多控制权的球队将会更容易，因为双方都有一个基于支配的足球。这里我看到了巴塞罗那，因为他们有一个更好的中场和一个高效率，这要归功于他们的前锋的质量，尤其是梅西，他几乎是在他的最佳时刻。

看好巴萨赢下比赛。