Israel vs Faroe Islands

Israel host Faroe Islands at Netanya Stadium for this interesting, not as great entertainment, but mostly betting-wise match. This is the last round of FIFA World Cup 2022 qualification. Both teams have already lost their chances to earn a ticket as a group winner for the World Cup or even for the extra qualification rounds, for the 2nd best team in each group. Faroe Islands, not an actual country, but a Danish territory, of course, never even had a real chance to qualify.. Let's take a closer look at this early Tuesday morning Beijing time match..

Israel started this qualification pretty well and at some point had not a great, but still realistic chance of qualifying for the World Cup next year. This hope, however, is now gone when Israel got no help from Moldova who, as expected, lost to Scotland at home and a few hours before we won yet another World Cup qualification pick when Austria defeated Israel in Klagenfurt with relative ease 4-2. It was perhaps even clearer domination by the hosts than I expected, and even when Israel took a 1-0 lead in the first half and 2-1 lead in the second did it not look like they are going to win the match.. Austria had 59% ball possession, created 25 scoring chances - Israel had 7 and shots were 13-3 in the hosts' favor. They also recorded a lot more attacks, dangerous attacks and completed passes. Despite the fact that Austria are a good team, much better than today's opponent, Israel most certainly did not play well!

Israel beat Austria 5-2 at home but this must be one of the most undeserved clear wins in international football at the European stage for a long time! First of all the visiting Austrians had 57% ball possession and created 19 scoring attempts whereas the Israelis managed to create only nine. It is also worth realizing that two of Israel goals were scored in situations where the scoring chance was less than around 2-2.5% . This can and will happen in football and as a result I think Israel are over-valued in this match too! Israel is difficult place to play for visiting teams for many reasons - for example because of the safety procedures for away teams which often results in the visitors arriving the day before the match - not an ideal preparation to say the least.. Israel have indeed achieved good results at home in the past but still the +2.5 goals is big handicap for a match with pretty low stakes and possibly some player rotating. Israel were for example totally demolished by Denmark in this group some months ago - the score was 5-0 and total domination by the Danes. This is another piece of evidence that Israel are not a great team.

Faroe Islands - still of course a lot worse than Israel by raw class - on the other hand have raised their level in recent years and pretty often only lose by one or the two goals difference - even against very tough opponents! Three days ago they lost to Denmark away from home "only 3-1". The Danes did dominate the match with around 60% ball possession and created a lot more scoring chances. The shots on target, however, were only 4-2 in favor of the hosts. Faroe Islands did defend pretty well. A similar performance would mean they have very good chance of keeping this match relatively close. Scotland beat Faroe Islands 1-0 and Austria 2-0. Not clear defeats at all.. The atmosphere in Netanya probably will not be that great in this match which also might affect the hosts' motivation level and as a result - lowers the probability of clear Israeli win..

To sum up, Faroe Islands are expected to defend well again and my pick is +2.5 goals handicap for them. Let's win yet another World Cup qualification match pick!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

以色列将在内坦亚球场主场迎战法罗群岛队，这场比赛很有趣，虽然不是很有趣，但主要是赌球。这是2022年世界杯的最后一轮预选赛。这两支球队都已经失去了以小组第一的身份获得世界杯入场券的机会，甚至连参加预选赛的机会都没有了。法罗群岛不是一个真正的国家，但它是丹麦的领土，当然，它从来没有真正有机会获得资格。让我们仔细看看北京时间周二早上的这场比赛。

以色列在预选赛中开局不错，虽然在某些方面表现不佳，但仍然有机会进入明年的世界杯。然而，这个希望现在已经破灭了，因为摩尔多瓦在主场不出所料地输给了苏格兰，几小时后，奥地利在克拉根福以相对轻松的4-2击败以色列，我们赢得了另一个世界杯预选赛。东道主的统治可能比我预期的更明显，即使以色列在上半场1-0领先，在下半场2-1领先，他们看起来也不像是会赢得比赛。奥地利队的控球率为59%，创造了25次得分机会，以色列为7次，东道主的射门率为13-3。他们也记录了更多的进攻，危险的进攻和完整的传球。尽管奥地利是一支很好的球队，比今天的对手要好得多，但以色列肯定打得不好!

以色列在主场以5-2击败了奥地利，但这肯定是欧洲足球舞台上长期以来最不值得的胜利之一!首先，客队的奥地利人控球率为57%，并创造了19次进球机会，而以色列人只创造了9次。同样值得注意的是，以色列有两粒进球是在进球机会低于2-2.5%的情况下进球的。这在足球界是可能也会发生的，因此我认为以色列在这场比赛中也被高估了!由于许多原因，客队很难在以色列比赛，例如由于客队的安全程序，客队往往在比赛前一天到达，至少可以说，这不是一个理想的准备。以色列确实在过去的主场取得了不错的成绩，但是+2.5的进球对于一场赌注很低的比赛来说仍然是个很大的障碍，而且可能会有一些球员轮换。例如，几个月前，在这个小组中，以色列被丹麦彻底打败了——比分是5比0，丹麦人占据了全部优势。这是另一个证据，证明以色列不是一个伟大的团队。

法罗群岛- - -当然仍然比以色列差很多- - -另一方面，近年来他们的水平提高了，而且经常只差一到两个球- - -即使是面对非常强大的对手!三天前，他们客场1:3负于丹麦。丹麦人以60%的控球率统治了比赛，创造了更多的得分机会。然而，射正的比分仅为4比2，东道主获胜。法罗群岛防守得很好。类似的表现意味着他们有很好的机会保持这场比赛相对接近。苏格兰队以1比0击败了法罗群岛队，以2比0击败了奥地利队。完全没有明显的失败…在这场比赛中，内坦亚的气氛可能不会那么好，这也可能会影响东道主的积极性，从而降低以色列明显获胜的可能性。