Albania vs Andorra

Albania host Andorra at Air Albania Stadium in Tirana for this interesting betting-wise FIFA World Cup 2022 qualification match. Both teams have already lost their chance to earn a ticket as a group winner for the World Cup or qualification rounds for the 2nd best team in each country. Andorra, of course, never even had a real chance to qualify. Let's take a closer look at this early Tuesday morning Beijing time match..

Indeed, Albania lost their hope of qualification three days ago when they were crushed by England at Wembley Stadium in London. England were of course massive favorites coming into the match and did not give Albania much of a chance. They were able to break the Albanian defense early in the match. and cruised to a 5-0 win. Had Albania been able to survive early pressure from the hosts the match might have turned out to be a lot tighter one.. England definitely deserved to win but the 5-0 does not quite reflect the events on the pitch. The final score indeed does flatter England. The ball possession was 59%-41% in their favor and shots on goal where 6-4 indicating that England were pretty efficient in making the most of their chances. Let's remember England are a top-8 football country in the world and I would not give too much emphasis on the match when estimating this match versus Andorra. In fact, I believe the clear loss affects the odds here too much.. The difference in raw class is big here! Andorra are micro state in Southern Europe and have never achieved anything worth mentioning in international football.They have, however, raised their level a bit in recent years which seems to have led the betting market to believe they are better than they really are.. Yes, they have six points in this group but they all came against the absolutely worst football country in Europe, San Marino. Most of the eight goals they have scored were also recorded in the two matches against this horribly bad micro state. They have allowed 23 goals so far which tell a lot about their weak defense! In their most recent match they were crushed by Poland 4-1 at home. Yes, they did get a red card but still it was easy to see - even before the sending off - just how limited they are. Poland had about 70% ball possession and close to 20 scoring attempts, whereas Andorra had two. Poland shot eight times on target - Andorra just once. Poland are of course better than Albania but we must remember if Andorra were to ever to pull a surprise it would likely be at home, not away from home where they almost always lose by at least two goals difference. A historical fact also reflects their lack of class: Andorra have lost 43 - 70% that is - of their 61 World Cup qualification matches this century by two or more goals..

However, the pick is mainly based on Albania being clearly under-valued in the betting market - once again and even more than before after the defeat to England! Yes, we lost the +2.5 goals pick on the in that match. This was in fact one of the two lost picks in FIFA World Cup qualifying on this platform but luckily there are 13 picks won! We for example easily won a pick on Albania a few months ago when they played against Hungary - they won the match 1-0 at home. I have also profited betting on them many times before too! Yes, Albania have not achieved major success in international football - no denying that - and probably never will, but they have definitely been on the rise over the past ten years! They for example heroically qualified for the EURO 2016 tournament. And there were less countries in the tournament than this summer. In EURO 2016 they even defeated Romania and were narrowly defeated by Switzerland and put up a respectable fight against mighty France and allowed the first goal only in the 90th minute when the deadly world-class striker Antoine Griezmann netted the ball. They are a pretty small and poor country, probably even the poorest in Europe, and do not get a lot of media attention globally. They also do not have any good clubs by European standards. These are, I believe, some of the factors explaining the under-valuation in the betting market.. They also much play better as a team than the list of players would indicate and are a very patriotic nation.

History aside, Albania have played well in most of the group matches so far even beating Hungary also in Budapest - usually a difficult place for visitors to play at.. Albania even created more scoring chances in that match - nine whereas Hungary had six. Let's remember Hungary played well in the EURO taking a draw versus top-5 countries Germany and France and were only broken late in the second half versus yet another good country Portugal! In the match before facing England they lost to Poland at home 0-1 but the match was a balanced one and the hosts could also have won!

To sum up, Albania will surely want to delight their fans and prove they can play good football and have a good chance to win by at least two goals difference. Albania -1.5 goals handicap is my pick for my fans to win yet another World Cup Qualifying pick with my fans!

阿尔巴尼亚将在地拉那的阿尔巴尼亚航空体育场举办这场有趣的 2022 年 FIFA 世界杯预选赛，届时安道尔将主场迎战安道尔。两支球队都已经失去了获得世界杯小组赛冠军或每个国家第二好的球队资格赛门票的机会。当然，安道尔甚至从来没有真正的机会获得资格。让我们仔细看看这场北京时间周二凌晨的比赛。

事实上，阿尔巴尼亚三天前在伦敦温布利球场被英格兰击败，失去了晋级的希望。英格兰当然是进入比赛的大热门，并没有给阿尔巴尼亚太多机会。他们能够在比赛初期打破阿尔巴尼亚的防守。并以 5-0 获胜。如果阿尔巴尼亚能够从东道主的早期压力中幸存下来，那么这场比赛可能会变得更加紧张。英格兰绝对应该获胜，但 5-0 并不能完全反映球场上的情况。最终得分确实如此更讨人喜欢的英格兰。他们的控球率为 59%-41%，射门率为 6-4，表明英格兰队在充分利用他们的机会方面非常有效。让我们记住英格兰是世界排名前八的足球国家，在估计这场对阵安道尔的比赛时，我不会过分强调这场比赛。事实上，我认为明显的损失对这里的赔率影响太大了..这里的原始类差异很大！安道尔是南欧的微型国家，从未在国际足坛取得过任何值得一提的成就。然而，近年来他们的水平有所提高，这似乎让博彩市场相信他们比实际情况更好。是的，他们在这个小组中得到了 6 分，但他们都是对阵欧洲绝对最差的足球国家圣马力诺。他们打进的八个进球中的大部分也是在与这种可怕的糟糕微观状态的两场比赛中记录的。到目前为止，他们已经允许了23个进球这说明了他们薄弱的防守！在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场4-1不敌波兰。是的，他们确实得到了一张红牌，但仍然很容易看出——甚至在被罚下之前——他们是多么有限。波兰拥有约 70% 的控球率和近 20 次得分尝试，而安道尔则有两次。波兰八次射中目标——安道尔仅射中一次。波兰当然比阿尔巴尼亚好，但我们必须记住，如果安道尔要出人意料的话，那很可能是在主场，而不是在客场，他们几乎总是以至少两球的差距输球。一个历史事实也反映了他们缺乏级别：安道尔在本世纪的 61 场世界杯预选赛中以两个或更多的进球输掉了 43 - 70%。

然而，这个选择的主要原因是基于阿尔巴尼亚在市场上明显被低估了——在输给英格兰之后，这一次甚至比之前还要严重！是的，我们在那场比赛中输掉了 +2.5 球的选秀权。这其实是在这个平台上的 FIFA 世界杯预选赛中失去的两个选秀权之一，但幸运的是有 13 个选秀权获胜！例如，我们在几个月前对阵匈牙利的比赛中轻松赢得了阿尔巴尼亚的选秀权——他们在主场以 1-0 赢得了比赛。我之前也多次下注他们获利！是的，阿尔巴尼亚并没有在国际足坛取得重大成功——不可否认——而且可能永远不会，但他们在过去十年中肯定一直在上升！例如，他们英勇地获得了 2016 年欧洲锦标赛的参赛资格。与今年夏天相比，参加比赛的国家更少。在2016年欧锦赛上，他们甚至击败了罗马尼亚，被瑞士以微弱优势击败，与强大的法国进行了一场体面的战斗，并且在第90分钟，世界级的致命前锋安托万·格里兹曼（Antoine Griezmann）将球打进了第一个进球。他们是一个非常小的贫穷国家，甚至可能是欧洲最贫穷的国家，在全球范围内没有得到很多媒体的关注。他们也没有任何符合欧洲标准的好俱乐部。我相信，这些是解释博彩市场估值偏低的一些因素。他们作为一个团队的表现也比球员名单显示的要好得多，并且是一个非常爱国的国家。

撇开历史不谈，阿尔巴尼亚迄今为止在大部分小组赛中都表现出色，甚至在布达佩斯击败了匈牙利——这对于游客来说通常是一个很难打的地方。阿尔巴尼亚在那场比赛中甚至创造了更多的得分机会——9 次，而匈牙利有 6 次。让我们记住，匈牙利在欧元区打得不错，与排名前五的国家德国和法国打成平手，但在下半场比赛后期才在与另一个优秀国家葡萄牙的比赛中被打破！在面对英格兰之前的比赛中，他们在主场0-1输给了波兰，但这场比赛是一场平衡的比赛，东道主也可以获胜！

总而言之，阿尔巴尼亚肯定希望让他们的球迷感到高兴，并证明他们可以踢出出色的足球并且有很好的机会以2球的优势赢得比赛。阿尔巴尼亚 -1.5 是我本场的选择。