High confidence 葡萄牙vs塞尔维亚
2021-11-14

Daniel

外籍分析师

欧洲预选

11/15 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Portugal are for sure the best team of the group and one of the best in the world in terms of individual quality, but the coach doesn't privilege that talent. He is very competent coach, but very defensive and I think that everyone in Portugal is tired of him as Portugal play so bad for the talent they have. Portugal won the Euro 2016 with a lot of draws and only 1 win in the 90 minutes of the whole tournament. In the group phase they got qualified with 3 points, 3 draws (against Iceland, Austria and Hungary) then they played against Croatia where Rui Patricio made an incredible game and just scored in extra-time at minute 116 by Quaresma, then against Poland they won in penalties and in the semi-finals they won the only game against Wales (2-0). In the final we remember how Eder won the game in the minute 109 or 110 of the game. After that Portugal with the same coach failed in every competition, in 2018 they lost against Uruguay in the first game after the groups and in 2020 the same, the first game after the groups they were eliminated against a weak Belgium that was playing with Eden Hazard and Kevin de Bruyne got injured very early in the game. It's sad when we see Felix on the bench, still playing with 2 defensive midfielders like Danilo and Joao Palhinha. Tomorrow against Serbia Portugal just need 1 point to get the 1st place in the group and for sure the coach will play for the draw, like he did in the last game against Ireland where Portugal with 1 point would reach the 1st place. After the game the coach Fernando Santos said that winning 5-0 or 0-0 against Ireland would be the same as they would keep needing the draw atleast against Serbia. His ambition is too small considering that he is coaching the best generation of Portugal with Ruben Dias, Joao Cancelo, Nuno Mendes, Bruno Fernandes, Joao Felix, Bernardo Silva and still Cristiano Ronaldo. Portugal have a very big absence, the best centre-back Pepe received red card against Ireland and so will miss this important match and will be replaced by Jose Fonte.

Probable line-up: Rui Patricio; Joao Cancelo - Ruben Dias - Jose Fonte - Nuno Mendes; Joao Palhinha - Moutinho - Bruno Fernandes; Diogo Jota - Bernardo Silva and Cristiano Ronaldo.

Serbia were playing really bad in the first games of the qualifying, but improved from game to game in my opinion. They have amazing players since I remember but always failed in terms of collective. And this team was the same in the beginning, but in my opinion now they are much more solid than they were before. In the last 6 games they won 5 and just drew 1 against Ireland (where Portugal didn't win now too). They come from an impressive win by 4-0 against Qatar where they rotated almost the whole team and Qatar is not so easy like I thought as I saw they playing against Portugal and gave a lot of work to Portugal, specially in Qatar where Portugal benefit a lot from the red card of Qatar. Serbia have big must win for this game, both teams are with the same 17 points but the draw is enough for Portugal to get qualified and so this is a very important final for them as they dream to be in the World Cup 2022 of Qatar. If both teams needed to win to get qualified I wouldn't send this bet, but as I know the coach of Portugal and that they reach the objective with only 1 point I need to send this one as I think that Portugal won't win by more than 1 goal (if they win). Serbia have huge chances to surprise this weak Portugal tired of their coach. They don't have big absences and in my opinion will play with the best team possible. The striker Mitrovic is doing an incredible season with 20 goals and 5 games in only 17 games for Fulham, I know that Fulham are playing in Championship but still this numbers are great.

Probable line-up: Rajkovic; Radonjic - Milenkovic - Mitrovic - Pavlovic - Kostic; Gudelj - Milinkovic-Savic; Tadic - Vlahovic and Mitrovic.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

葡萄牙队无疑是小组中最好的球队,就个人素质而言也是世界上最好的球队之一,但教练并不看重他们的天赋。他是一个非常有能力的教练,但是非常有防守能力,我想葡萄牙的每个人都厌倦了他,因为葡萄牙踢得太糟糕了。葡萄牙在2016年欧洲杯上取得了很多平局,在整个比赛的90分钟里只赢了一场。在小组赛阶段,他们得到了合格的3分,3平(对冰岛、奥地利和匈牙利),那么他们对阵克罗地亚,鲁伊会长Patricio做出了一个令人难以置信的游戏,只是在加时赛116分钟夸雷斯马,然后对波兰在半决赛中他们赢得了处罚和他们只赢得了对阵威尔士(2 - 0)。在决赛中,我们记得埃德尔是如何在第109或110分钟赢得比赛的。之后,葡萄牙的教练在每一个竞争失败了,2018年,他们在第一场比赛中失去了对阵乌拉圭后组织和2020年相同,组后的第一场比赛,他们消除了对一个弱比利时玩伊甸园风险和Kevin de Bruyne受伤在比赛中非常早期的。当我们看到费利克斯坐在替补席上,仍然和两个像达尼洛和若昂·帕尔欣哈这样的防守中场同场竞技时,我们感到很难过。明天对阵塞尔维亚,葡萄牙只需要得到1分就可以在小组中排名第一,教练肯定会为平局而战,就像他在上一场对阵爱尔兰的比赛中所做的那样,葡萄牙只要得到1分就可以排在小组第一。比赛结束后,教练费尔南多·桑托斯(Fernando Santos)表示,以5-0或0-0战胜爱尔兰和他们至少需要和塞尔维亚打平一样。考虑到他现在执教的是葡萄牙最好的一代教练——迪亚斯、坎切罗、门德斯、费尔南德斯、菲利克斯、席尔瓦,还有c罗,他的野心太小了。葡萄牙的缺阵非常严重,最好的中后卫佩佩在对爱尔兰的比赛中被红牌罚下,因此他将缺席这场重要的比赛,并将被何塞·方特换下。

塞尔维亚在预选赛的第一场比赛中表现很糟糕,但在我看来,一场接一场的比赛都有所进步。我记得他们有很棒的球员,但在集体方面总是失败。这支球队一开始也是一样的,但在我看来,现在他们比以前更稳固了。在过去的6场比赛中,他们赢了5场,只和爱尔兰打成1平(葡萄牙现在也没赢)。他们来自一个令人印象深刻的赢得4 - 0对卡塔尔在那里旋转几乎整个团队和卡塔尔并不容易喜欢我想当我看到他们对阵葡萄牙和很多工作了葡萄牙,特别在卡塔尔葡萄牙受益很多从卡塔尔的红牌。塞尔维亚在这场比赛中有很大的胜算,两支球队都得到了同样的17分,但平局足以让葡萄牙获得资格,所以这对他们来说是非常重要的决赛,因为他们梦想着参加2022年卡塔尔世界杯。如果两队需要赢得合格我不会发送这个赌注,但是当我知道葡萄牙的教练,他们达到我们的目标只有1点我需要发这一个我认为葡萄牙不会赢得超过1目标(如果他们赢了)。塞尔维亚有很大的机会让疲惫不堪的葡萄牙队大吃一惊。他们不会缺席太多的比赛,在我看来,他们会和最好的球队一起比赛。前锋米特罗维奇这个赛季的表现令人难以置信,他在富勒姆的17场比赛中打进了20个进球,打了5场比赛。我知道富勒姆正在征战英冠,但这个数字仍然很棒。

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