Two years ago the teams met in the same place with rather similar squads, Bosnia won very deservedly by 4-1 and it does also reflect the class difference between these two than markets seem to think.

The setup for this is both clear, and very unclear. With two matches to go neither of them can lose if they want to qualify, and the draw is not a really a good option either as Bosnia will face Ukraina and Finland is to host France on Tuesday night!

There is again political turmoil in Bosnia, but the match takes place in Zenica as planned.

Bosnia have midfielder options Saric and Loncar out, and it is unclear whether the coach Petev will field 4 or 5 - man defense, but in general the defense has worked well.

The match in Finland ended in 2-2, Finland started with a 4-4-2 but changed it during the game to 5-man defense as they got constantly opened up very easily. The defensive problems of Finland however do not start with the formation, but the lack of individual defensive full-backs as from the suspected back five there are 2 or players who are not really up to this level. Väisänen, Granlund and Hämäläinen.

Finland are not in huge form as they have won only Kazakstan and Denmark in their last 14 games, and the Denmark match was the crazy anomaly where Eriksen got his heart attack and it to be honest it does not really count. There is a lot to hope for also in the play with the ball, and the points Finland have gained so far are practically all won by the decent strikers Pukki and Pohjanpalo.

Dzeko is a doubt too for Bosnia and his absence would make a different in the estimation, Finland miss no starters, but the form of the top player Glen Kamara in the midfield has significantly dropped recently.

Bosnia are 50% favourites to win here, give or take a few % depending on who they actually field, but Finland are not going to create a lot of xG and to gain points they would need another top finishing from the striker duo.

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本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

两年前，两支球队在同一个地方相遇，两支球队非常相似，波黑以4-1的比分赢得了比赛，这也反映了两队之间的等级差异。

这方面的准备工作既明确又不明确。还有两场比赛，如果他们想晋级就不能输，平局也不是一个好的选择，因为波斯尼亚将对阵乌克兰，芬兰将在周二晚上迎战法国!

波斯尼亚再次出现政治动荡，但比赛如期在泽尼察举行。

波斯尼亚的中场球员萨里奇和隆卡尔已经出局，教练佩特夫是否会安排4人或5人的防守还不清楚，但总的来说防守效果很好。

对芬兰队的比赛以2比2结束，芬兰队以442开局，但在比赛中改为5人防守，因为他们总是很容易被打开。然而，芬兰的防守问题并不是从阵型开始的，而是缺少个人防守边后卫，从五名后卫中有两名或其他球员没有达到这个水平。Väisänen, Granlund和Hämäläinen。

在过去的14场比赛中，芬兰队的状态并不好，他们只赢了哈萨克斯坦队和丹麦队。对丹麦的比赛是埃里克森突发心脏病的反常现象，说实话，这并不算真的。在有球的比赛中也有很多希望，芬兰目前获得的分数几乎都是由出色的前锋普基和波詹帕洛赢得的。

泽科在波斯尼亚也是一个疑问，他的缺席将会使估计有所不同，芬兰没有首发，但顶级球员格伦·卡马拉在中场的状态最近明显下降。

波黑有50%的获胜希望，这取决于他们派的是谁，但芬兰不会创造很多的xG，他们需要这对射手的另一个顶级进球来获得积分。

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