Absences will be determinant in this great game.

Spain broke the Italian's amazing streak of 37 matches unbeaten. But after that they achieved an important victory over Belgium in the UEFA Nations League, so confidence is high again. Also we must remember that in the defeat against Spain (1:2) suffered an early red card to Bonucci.

Italy is playing great football and it’s a really difficult side to beat. The team is full of quality, confidence, and with very good chemistry. In this tournament they are still unbeaten, with 4 victories and two draws against Bulgaria and Switzerland. Lately they are having a lack of goal but their squad is plenty of quality, so sooner or later they will be back to scoring goals easily again.

Two starters are out: Inmobile and Chiellini, but both will be replaced by Belotti and Acerbi. Other rotation players like Zaniolo and Pellegrini are out too, while Verratti and Florenzi have long-term injuries. So in the midfield we will see Locatelli, who scored two goals in the last game against Switzerland in the EURO 2020 (3:0).

On the other hand, Switzerland is the main reason for this pick. After 7 years, the coach Petkovic left the club when the EURO finished. The replacement (Murak Yakin) knows local football well but has zero experience in big clubs or international teams. So far he managed two victories over Lithuania (0:4) and Greece (2:1) and two draws against North Ireland (0:0) and Italy (0:0).

The new coach has changed the system from 3-4-1-2 to 4-2-3-1 and some players. In the past Embolo and Seferovic were starters along with Shaqiri, but now they use only one striker and none of them are playing. The players used by Murak Yanin are more physicall (also because Emblolo is injured) and with less quality.

Several key players are out for this match: Zuber, Fassnacht, Kobel, Xhaka, Seferovic, Embolo and Elvedi. And Switzerland doesn't have a big squad with good replacements like Italy, especially for Xhaka, Embolo and Seferovic.

In the previous game against Switzerland (both with full squad) Italy outplayed them and deserved the victory. Had the best chances, including a penalty missed, but the final result was 0:0. Also we must remember the easy win 3:0 in the EURO 2020. So in the two recent meetings, Italy outplayed Switzerland and deserved the victory.

For this match Italy must win and it is a very important match. They can’t afford to loose the ticket for the World Cup again, and if they don't win today will be forced to play playoff (where they lost in 2018 against Sweden). So they will have a huge motivation and support from fans in the stadium. Furthermore, I see the Switzerland squad weaker due to the coach's changes and the important absences. Italy has several players who can make the difference today, such as Chiesa or Locatelli.

Italy must win at home against a rival who has already outplayed two times, and I believe they will do it.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

缺席将是这场伟大比赛的决定性因素。

西班牙打破了意大利人惊人的37场不败纪录。但在那之后，他们在欧足联国家联赛中战胜了比利时，所以信心再次高涨。我们还必须记住，在1:2输给西班牙的比赛中，博努奇早早就被红牌罚下。

意大利踢得很好，这是一支很难击败的球队。这支球队有实力，有信心，有很好的化学反应。在本届杯赛中，他们仍然保持不败，四胜两平，分别对阵保加利亚和瑞士。最近他们缺少进球，但是他们的球队有足够的实力，所以他们迟早会再次轻松进球。

两名首发球员缺席:Inmobile和基耶利尼，但他们都将被贝洛蒂和阿克比取代。其他轮换球员，如扎尼奥洛和佩莱格里尼也没有上场，而韦拉蒂和弗洛伦齐也有长期的伤病。在中场，我们将看到Locatelli，他在2020年欧洲杯对阵瑞士的最后一场比赛(3:0)中攻入两球。

另一方面，瑞士是这个选择的主要原因。7年后，佩特科维奇在欧洲杯结束后离开了俱乐部。接替他的穆拉克·亚金(Murak Yakin)非常了解当地足球，但在大型俱乐部或国际球队没有任何经验。迄今为止，他取得了两场对立陶宛(0:4)和希腊(2:1)的胜利，两场对北爱尔兰(0:0)和意大利(0:0)的平局。

新教练把阵型从3-4-1-2改为4-2-3-1和一些球员。在过去，栓子和塞费罗维奇和沙奇里一起首发，但现在他们只使用一名前锋，而且他们都没有上场。穆拉克·亚宁使用的球员身体素质更强(也是因为恩布洛洛受伤了)，素质也更低。

几名关键球员缺席了这场比赛:尤伯、法斯纳赫特、科贝尔、沙卡、塞费洛维奇、姆栓罗和埃尔维迪。瑞士队没有像意大利那样的大阵容，也没有很好的替代者，尤其是扎卡、栓塞和塞费罗维奇。

在上一场对阵瑞士的比赛中(两场比赛都是全员上阵)，意大利击败了他们，这场胜利实至名归。他有最好的机会，包括错过了一个点球，但最终结果是0:0。我们还必须记住2020年欧洲杯3:0轻松取胜。因此，在最近的两场比赛中，意大利击败了瑞士，这场胜利实至名归。

这场比赛意大利必须赢，这是一场非常重要的比赛。他们不能再失去世界杯门票了，如果今天不能赢，他们将被迫进入季后赛(他们在2018年输给了瑞典)。所以他们将会有巨大的动力和球迷在球场的支持。此外，由于教练的变动和重要的缺阵，我看到瑞士队的阵容变弱了。意大利现在有很多球员可以改变现状，比如切耶萨和Locatelli。

意大利必须在主场战胜一个已经两次击败对手的对手，我相信他们会做到的。