Excellent value from EFL Trophy today 英锦赛福利特VS阿克宁顿
2021-11-09

Przem

外籍分析师

英锦标赛

11/10 03:45

已完赛

福利特
1:0
阿克宁顿
解读理由:

In my opinion Accrington Stanley have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

For me guests are very underrated. I don't see Fleetwood as a so big favorite here. Both teams plays in League One and without any shadow of doubt Fleetwood have much worse season as they are in relegation zone, 7 points behind Accrington. According to the stats both teams are on very similar level with the ball (Fleetwood have 261 accurate passes per game, Accrington have 238) and in attack (Accrington have 4.5 shots on target per game, Fleetwood 4.3). The biggest difference between both teams is defensive formation-Accrington were able to keep 4 clean sheet in current League One season, on the other hand Fleetwood made it only once. Hosts defenders are completely out of form-they conceded more than one goal in last 4 matches in a row. Accrington were able to keep clean sheet in their last away league game against Gillingham.

Both teams at the weekend lost in FA Cup. Fleetwood lost at home against Burton (they are only one point above Accrington in league table). Accrington lost against Port Vale from League Two and for sure they wants to bounce back in good style today.

Fleetwood the best player in current season (according to the ratings) is Danny Andrew, he as well is the best team scorer (6 goals) and the best assistant (3 assists). He played in 5 matches in 18 days and today he will have a rest. Same story for other Fleetwood key players because at the weekend they have extremely important league match against Doncaster (they are as well in relegation zone).

Accrington supporters were very disappointed after loss in FA Cup against Port Vale and many of the players which played in that game will play today as well. For sure their motivation is on the highest level to perform much better today.

Both teams have already qualification into next round, so today's match result don't have any impact on their situation in table. In these circumstances I expects much better line up from guests and much bigger motivation from their side to win here. Fleetwood motivation is under huge question mark especially before such big match at the weekend. Probably they will use many youngsters and reserve players today.

Value is on away side here.


在我看来,阿克宁顿有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

客队本场被低估了。我不认为福利特伍德是这里的大热门。两支球队都参加了联赛,毫无疑问,弗利特伍德本赛季的表现要糟糕得多,因为他们处于降级区,落后阿克灵顿 7 分。根据统计数据,两队在控球(弗利特伍德场均261次准确传球,阿克灵顿场均238次)和进攻(阿克灵顿场均4.5次射正,弗利特伍德4.3正)方面都处于非常相似的水平。两支球队最大的不同在于防守——阿克宁顿在本赛季能够保持4场零失球,而弗利特伍德只做到了一次。主队后卫完全失去状态——他们连续4场比赛都有失球。阿克宁顿在对阵吉林厄姆的上一场联赛客场比赛中保持零封。

上周末,两支球队都在足总杯中失利。福利特伍德在主场输给了伯顿(他们在积分榜上只比阿克灵顿高一分)。阿克宁顿在第二联赛中输给了维尔港,他们肯定希望今天能以出色的表现迎来反弹。

福利特伍德本赛季最佳球员(根据收视率)是丹尼安德鲁,他也是球队最佳射手(6球)和助攻最多的球员(3次助攻)。他在 18 天内打了 5 场比赛,今天他将轮休。其他福利特伍德关键球员的故事也是如此,因为在周末他们将与唐卡斯特进行极其重要的联赛比赛(对手也处于降级区)。

在足总杯对阵淡水河谷的比赛中失利后,阿克宁顿的支持者们非常失望,许多参加那场比赛的球员今天也将参加比赛。可以肯定的是,他们期待能够在今天表现得更好。

两支球队都已经进入下一轮,所以今天的比赛结果对他们的排名没有任何影响。在这种情况下,我预测客队会有更好对比表现,他们有更大的动力在本场抢分。福利特伍德的战意是个疑问,尤其是在周末如此重要的比赛之前。可能他们今天会使用很多年轻人和替补球员。

预测阿克宁顿不败。

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