Granada back in business?
2021-10-22

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

10/23 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Granada took their first win of the season last round when they beat Sevilla by 1-0. Was it a deserved win? At least the xG-data says no as they give total of 0.08 of goal expectation to Granada in that game. Compared to Sevilla's 1.40 xG it is very little, and practically never a team should win a game after these numbers. They also lost the shot count by 3-14.

It was very good example of Granada season so far, they have been the worst club in La Liga so far, and it has to be said that the managerial change did cost them much and the variance factor is also catching them up, they were not a good side last season either but the luck was on their side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

格拉纳达队在上一轮以1-0击败塞维利亚队,取得了本赛季的首场胜利。这是一个应得的胜利吗?至少xg的数据是否定的,因为他们在那场比赛中给了格拉纳达0.08个进球期望。与塞维利亚的1.40 xG相比,这是非常少的,而且在这样的数据下,几乎没有一支球队应该赢一场比赛。他们还以3-14的比分输掉了比赛。

很好的例子格拉纳达赛季到目前为止,他们已经在西甲俱乐部最严重到目前为止,不得不说,成本管理改变了他们和方差因子也追上去,他们不是好球队上赛季但幸运是站在他们一边。

xD-data of Granada's last 7 games below:

Only time when they have had a reasonably even match on the pitch has been at home to Sociedad, who were some 10 players like down like they have been all early season.

They can not even can go behind injuries, there have not been many, the team just lack class and width in player material, and also tonight they have relatively full squad available. Granada have scored 6 goals so far, and unfortunately even that is more than would had deserved!

The one thing I can find is that they have had a long break to recover mentally from the poor start!

Osasuna on the other hand have been great, also somewhat lucky, and their home and away success has turned around from the usual as normally they have enjoyed from the best home atmosphere and advantage in the league.

只有在主场对阵皇家社会的比赛中,他们才有过一场公平的比赛。

他们甚至不能在伤病后继续前进,这类情况并不多见,球队在球员材料上缺乏档次和宽度,而且今晚他们有相对完整的阵容可供选择。格拉纳达到目前为止已经进了6个球,不幸的是,这已经超过了他应得的!

我能发现的一件事是,他们有一个很长的休息,以恢复精神从糟糕的开始!

另一方面,奥萨苏纳表现得很好,也有些幸运,他们的主场和客场的成功与往常不同,他们享受着联赛中最好的主场气氛和优势。

A look at xG from Osasuna's last 7 games:

What has to be noted that the schedule has been rather kind, there are newly promoted teams as well as Cadiz and Alaves who will fight against relegation also this season. Yet the last two games are rather impressive as they have kept high-flying Vallecano's goal expectation close to 0, and scored twice themselves away at Villarreal!

Injury-wise there are no major worries and Osasuna are likely to field more or less lineup than last time around, and the fact that Chimy Avila finally scored again after a serious injury is only a boost and I see him doing it again tonight at El Sadar!

It is not easy to predict the lineup of Granada head coach Robert Moreno for this, he is under threat of firing and can not be happy with what Granada have produced so far but are there seriously good enough options?

Local sports media sees it like this, and why not? Osasuna to win by 2-0 is my prediction.

值得注意的是,赛程相当不错,有新升级的球队,以及加的斯和阿拉维斯,他们也将在本赛季为保级而战。然而,上两场比赛令人印象深刻,他们让巴列卡诺的进球期望接近于0,并在客场对阵比利亚雷亚尔时连进两球!

在伤病方面没有什么大的担忧,奥萨苏纳的阵容可能会比上次多或少,事实上,阿维拉在严重受伤后终于再次得分,这只是一个提升,我看到他今晚在埃尔萨达尔再次做到了!

要预测格拉纳达主教练罗伯特·莫雷诺的阵容并不容易,他面临着被解雇的威胁,他对格拉纳达目前的阵容并不满意,但是否有足够好的选择呢?

当地体育媒体是这么看的,为什么不呢?我预测奥萨苏纳会以2-0获胜。


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