I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the most possible line ups for this game. I see excellent value in current odds and I believe Grenoble deserve to be bigger favorite today.

Grenoble don't have any new absences - today they will play with almost the strongest possible line up. From today's squad 10 of 11 players played in at least 15 of 18 Grenoble league matches in current season (only central midfielder Perez with 12 matches). They have good flow and rhythm together. On the other hand Auxerre today have two new absences - key winger Hein (16 matches) is suspended, striker Begraoui (1 goal in 9 matches) is unavailable due to injury.

It's hard to see Auxerre as a better team in overall - in last two seasons they finished in bottom half of the table (15th & 11th). On the other hand Grenoble finished last two previous seasons in top10.

In current season both teams plays on very high level - Grenoble is on 4th place, one position above Auxerre (2 points difference). Auxerre together with Toulouse have the best offense in league (5.2 shots on target per game, 1.9 goals scored per match), but Grenoble as well is very good in this department. Grenoble is much more creative team than Auxerre - they created 30 big chances to score (6 more than Auxerre). Grenoble sometimes had problems with finishing product, but still they scored 1.4 goals per match. On the other hand Grenoble is one class above Auxerre in defense - Grenoble kept clean sheet in 50% of matches (9 of 18), Auxerre conceded at least one goal in 14 of 18 matches. Grenoble have second-best defense in league with only 0.7 goals conceded per game, Auxerre conceded 1.1 goals per match so far.

Grenoble looks amazing at home - they are best home team in league, 7 wins in 8 matches with impressive 18:4 goals balance. Auxerre didn't looks so strong on away - 8th place in league away table, 3 wins in 8 matches and they conceded 11 goals in the process. Grenoble in overall is very solid home team as they went unbeaten in 32 of last 41 home league matches - they scored 50 goals in these matches. On the other hand Auxerre in overall is very poor away team - they lost 20 of last 41 away league matches, they conceded 50 goals in these matches.

I see very good value in these lines and I believe Grenoble is able to make goos result in today's match. Two factors should make a difference - defensive formation and home advantage.

我一直等到最后一刻，因为我想看到这场比赛中最可能出现的阵容。我觉得现在的胜算很有价值我相信格勒诺布尔今天应该更受欢迎。

格勒诺布尔没有新的缺阵——今天他们将派出最强阵容。在今天的阵容中，11名球员中有10人在本赛季的18场格勒诺布尔联赛中至少打了15场(只有中场球员佩雷斯打了12场)。他们在一起有很好的流畅和节奏。另一方面，欧塞尔今天又有两场新缺阵——关键边锋海因(16场比赛)停赛，前锋贝格拉维(9场比赛进1球)因伤缺阵。

很难看到欧塞尔在整体上有更好的表现——在过去的两个赛季里他们排在积分榜的下半位(第15和第11位)。另一方面，格勒诺布尔在前两个赛季都进入了前十。

本赛季两支球队的水平都非常高——格勒诺布尔排名第四，比欧塞尔多一个位置(差2分)。欧塞尔和图卢兹拥有联赛中最好的进攻(每场比赛5.2次射门，1.9个进球)，但格勒诺布尔在这方面也很出色。格勒诺布尔比欧塞尔更有创造力——他们创造了30次进球机会(比欧塞尔多6次)。格勒诺布尔有时会在完成比赛时遇到问题，但他们仍然每场比赛进1.4个球。另一方面，格勒诺布尔在防守方面比欧塞尔高一个级别——格勒诺布尔在50%的比赛中保持净胜球(18场比赛中9场)，欧塞尔在18场比赛中有14场至少失球。格勒诺布尔的防守在联赛中排名第二，每场比赛只丢0.7球，欧塞尔目前每场丢1.1球。

格勒诺布尔在主场的表现令人惊叹——他们是联赛中最好的主场球队，8场比赛7胜，18球4平。欧塞尔在联赛客场第8名的比赛中显得不那么强大，8场比赛3胜，在这个过程中他们丢了11个球。格勒诺布尔总的来说是一支非常稳固的主场球队，他们在过去41场主场比赛中有32场保持不败——在这些比赛中他们进了50个球。另一方面，欧塞尔在客场的表现非常糟糕——他们在过去的41场客场比赛中输了20场，在这些比赛中丢了50个球。

我认为格勒诺布很有价值，我相信格勒诺布尔能够在今天的比赛中取得结果。有两个因素会造成不同——防守阵型和主场优势。