I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements. Odds on Arsenal raised up by 0.20 from opening odds on big Asian markets and I fully agree with this trend.
In my opinion Crystal Palace is very underrated in today's match up. I see very good chances for them with +1 HC line.
It's very prestigious game for the Eagles, they are small team from London and they wants to show up in derby match against much more famous opposition.
Crystal Palace under new coach Patrick Vieira improved a lot and they can be only better with time. For him as well it's a very special match as he is former player of Arsenal and club legend. For sure he wants to bring good performance against them.
Both teams without any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.
I believe Arsenal is really overrated in this match up. Numbers not lying. They won 2 of 3 home matches (1 loss), but they had a lot of luck at the back-according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 4.94 goals , but they conceded only 3.
On the other hand Crystal Palace in my eyes is underrated. They are without a win in 3 away matches so far, but they played better than results shows. They scored two goals, but according to the model they should score 2.91. They conceded 8 goals, but according to the model they should concede 5.90.
I see really good value on guests and fully agree with market movement. Arsenal is still not top club to back them with such low odds.