I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match.

Odds on Rennes slashed down by 0.30 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kickoff.

Rennes coming here without any new absences, their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round match against PSG. They are fully of confidence as they recorded big win 2:0 at home against the strongest team in Ligue 1. Rennes looks great at both sides of the pitch - second-best defensive formation in whole league (1.0 goals conceded per game), but at the moment they are red-hot upfront. 10 goals scored in last 4 games. They should continue scoring today because hosts have serious squad problems, especially at the back.

Metz is without 3 first squad defenders today: Niakate, Bronn, Centonze (best scorer)-all of them played in last round match. Metz conceded more than one goal in 7 of last 9 matches. In addition to that they are without important midfielder Maiga (played last round) and key striker Niane (played in all 9 Metz matches in Ligue 1 so far).

In these circumstances I see Rennes as a much stronger favorite to grab 3 points.

我一直等到最后一刻才，因为我想看看今天比赛的最新指数变动和最有可能的阵容。

雷恩的指数下降了0.30，我完全同意这种趋势。我预计在开球前会有更大的降幅。

雷恩没有任何新的缺阵，他们的阵容应该和上一轮对巴黎圣日耳曼的比赛一模一样。他们在主场2:0大胜法甲最强的球队，信心十足。雷恩在球场的两边看起来都很棒——整个联盟第二好的防守阵型(场均失球1.0个)，但现在他们的锋线是火热的。近4场比赛进10球。他们今天应该会继续进球，因为主队有严重的问题，特别是在后防线。

梅茨今天没有3个首发后卫:尼亚卡特，波隆，森顿泽(最佳得分手)，他们都在上一轮比赛中出场。梅茨在过去的9场比赛中有7场失球超过1个。除此之外，他们没有重要的中场麦加(上一轮出场)和关键前锋尼亚内(迄今为止梅茨在法甲的9场比赛中全部出场)。

在这种情况下，我认为雷恩更有希望拿下3分。