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2021-10-17

Tapio

外籍分析师

英超

10/17 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Brentford vs Chelsea

Brentford host Chelsea at Brentford Community Stadium for this English Premier League round 8 match. The hosts have started the season well indeed, but let's take a look at where the value is today..

I believe the hosts - perhaps the most positive surprise in this league this season, are facing an opponent too strong today. I was more positive about Brentford's chances than the betting market in general before the season started but still even I would not have believed they would have banked this many points so far! We have profited betting on them in the season opener where they comfortably beat Arsenal 2-0 in front of ecstatic home fans. It was a good performance and a great pick at odds around 2.00 for Brentford +0.5 goals but we must remember they were promoted to the Premier League for this season and are not, despite the 7th place in the standings, a big club and will surely not be that high up in the standings at the end of the season. Brentford often play pretty open, high-risk football for their players' skill level. Not as open as Leeds of course though. For example versus Liverpool it was a 3-3 draw. In their most recent match they beat a mediocre team, West Ham, 2-1 away from home. However, they did not deserve the win as the hosts had some 60% ball possession. The hosts had 18 scoring attempts and Brentford had 13. The expected goals numbers were West Ham 1.50 and Brentford 1.20. The betting market seems value Brentford a little too much at the moment..

How about Chelsea then? They are reigning Champions League winners and one of the best teams in the world! I strongly believe they will exploit Brenford's defensive weaknesses and win this one. I suspect they will offer the hosts very little scoring chances.. Indeed, it is very hard to score against them as their defense is rock-solid! In their most recent match they pretty comfortably beat Southampton 3-1 a home. Let's not forget that another top team Man City failed to beat Southampton.. Chelsea lost to Juventus a few weeks ago in Champions League 0-1 in Turin but dominated the match but failed to create enough scoring chances against a surprisingly good Juventus defense. Before this they lost to a top-3 three team Man City, who played an amazingly good match that day. Losing this match is nothing Chelsea should be ashamed of. I believe these two losses and Brentford's good results affect the odds too much here. The difference in raw class is huge - we must remember that! I rate Chelsea as the second best team in the league in my power ratings that illustrate a team's overall class.

Chelsea have allowed just three goals so far this season in the Premier League. I want to highlight that they have not been lucky - they earned it! I would even say Chelsea have the best defense in club football in the whole World at the moment.. Former PSG manager German Thomas Tuchel replaced club legend F. Lampard this January this and Chelsea immediately significantly improved their level of football. The German started to work Chelsea's defense in particular and it did not take long to see the results on the pitch. They started to climb up the standings and managed to claim a top-4 place qualifying for the Champions League for this season.. Indeed, Chelsea are "European Champions" which is enough proof of how good they really are! They defeated Manchester City in the Champions League final at Estádio do Dragão in Porto in May. It indeed was a stunningly good performance by Chelsea, especially by N'Golo Kante who dominated Manchester City's stars and did not make a single real mistake in the match! City were around 50% favorites to win during the 90 minutes in the betting market but Chelsea fully deserved the 1-0 win - City had very few promising scoring chances.

According to a respected and well-known German website Transfermarkt.com that I have mentioned a few times before, Brentford's players have a total market value of 200 million euros whereas Chelsea's players are valued at a whopping almost 900 million euros! Based on what I have seen from them recently I would say their team's real market value should be about 1.1 billion! While the total market of a team's players does not fully reflect the overall class of a team as older but still very good players, like Ballon d'Or winner Croatian Luca Modric or the Italian legend and fresh European Champion Giorgio Chiellini, are less valuable than their true current value on the pitch. On the other hand, young and very promising future star players like Borusia Dortmund's Haaland, 21 have a higher market value than their current level in action would indicate. However, a team's players' total market value still does give us a good picture on how good the team is..

To sum up, Chelsea are big favorites and have a very good chance of bringing my fans and 8th winner in a row!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

布伦特福德vs切尔西

布伦特福德将在布伦特福德社区体育场迎战切尔西,进行英超第8轮比赛。东道主本赛季的开局确实不错,但让我们看看今天的价值在哪里。

我相信东道主——也许是本赛季联赛中最积极的惊喜,今天面对的对手太强大了。在赛季开始之前,我对布伦特福德的机会比一般的博彩市场更加乐观,但即使是我也不相信他们到目前为止能拿到这么多积分!我们已经在他们的赛季揭幕战中获利了,他们在欣喜若狂的主场球迷面前2-0轻松击败了阿森纳。这是一个很好的性能和布伦特福德的好选择不和约2.00 + 0.5的目标,但是我们必须记住他们被提升为本赛季的英超联赛,不是,尽管在排名第7位,一个大俱乐部,肯定不会有那么的高的排名在本赛季结束后。布伦特福德通常踢的是开放的、高风险的足球,以球员的技术水平来说。当然不像利兹那么开放。例如对阵利物浦时,比分是3-3平。在最近的一场比赛中,他们客场以2-1击败了实力平平的西汉姆。但是,由于主队的控球率只有60%左右,所以没有取得胜利。主队出手18次,布伦特福德出手13次。预期的进球数是西汉姆1.50和布伦特福德1.20。目前,博彩市场对布伦特福德的估值似乎有点过高。

那切尔西呢?他们是卫冕冠军,也是世界上最好的球队之一!我坚信他们会利用布伦福德的防守弱点赢得这场比赛。我怀疑他们会给东道主提供很少的得分机会。的确,在他们面前很难得分,因为他们的防守坚如磐石!在最近的一场比赛中,他们主场以3-1轻松击败了南安普顿。我们不要忘记另一支顶级球队曼城也没能击败南安普顿。在几周前的欧洲冠军联赛中,切尔西在都灵0-1输给了尤文图斯,但切尔西在比赛中占据了主导地位,但在面对尤文图斯令人惊讶的良好防守时未能创造足够的进球机会。在此之前,他们输给了排名前三的球队曼城,后者在那天打了一场精彩的比赛。输掉这场比赛并不是切尔西应该感到羞耻的。我相信这两场失利和布伦特福德的好成绩对胜算影响很大。raw class的差别是巨大的——我们必须记住这一点!在我对球队实力的评价中,我把切尔西评为联赛中第二好的球队。

切尔西本赛季到目前为止在英超联赛中只丢了3个球。我想强调的是,他们并不是幸运的,这是他们应得的!我甚至可以说切尔西拥有目前世界上最好的防守。今年1月,前巴黎圣日耳曼主帅托马斯·图赫尔取代了俱乐部传奇人物f·兰帕德,切尔西的足球水平迅速提高。德国人开始特别关注切尔西的防守,没过多久就看到了比赛的结果。他们的排名开始攀升,并设法获得了本赛季欧冠联赛前四名的资格。的确,切尔西是“欧洲冠军”,这足以证明他们有多棒!今年5月,他们在波尔图的Estádio do Dragão的欧冠决赛中击败了曼城。的确,切尔西的表现非常出色,尤其是恩戈洛·坎特,他统治着曼城的球星们,在比赛中没有犯一个真正的错误!在90分钟的比赛中,曼城大约有50%的胜率,但切尔西完全应该以1-0获胜——曼城几乎没有什么有希望的进球机会。

根据我之前提到过几次的德高望重的德国网站Transfermarkt.com,布伦特福德球员的总市值为2亿欧元,而切尔西球员的市值则高达近9亿欧元!根据我最近从他们身上看到的,我认为他们球队的真正市场价值应该是11亿!虽然整个市场团队的球员并不完全反映团队的整体类旧但仍然很好的球员,像金球奖得主克罗地亚卢卡·莫德里奇或意大利传奇和新鲜的欧洲冠军基耶利尼,不如他们真正有价值的当前值在球场上。另一方面,像多特蒙德的哈兰德这样年轻且前途光明的未来明星球员,21岁的市场价值要高于他们目前的水平。然而,一个球队球员的总市值仍然能让我们清楚地知道这支球队有多优秀。

总而言之,切尔西是我最喜欢的球队,并且有很好的机会让我8连红!

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